S2778 County Road K · Reedsburg, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great edge of town location, close to city amenities and peaceful. Nicely remodelled and updated 1974 Marshfield by Wick mobile home on . 73 acre lot just outside of Reedsburg. Comfortable 3 bedroom 1 1/2 bath had all wall panelling removed, insulated to R13 and drywalled (except bath room walls) and new flooring installed throughout in 2021. Kitchen was opened up and redone in 2025/26. 1/2 bath was reconfigured to be ensuite and full bath includes new tub/surround. Both baths have new toilets. Includes a pitched metal roof and dual-pane vinyl windows. 12X20 front deck to relax on and watch the world go by. Tree-lined blacktop driveway brings you home. 20X30 garage with 1-car automatic door
Key facts
- Kitchen opened up
- Reconfigured ensuite
- New tub surround
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Range/oven, refrigerator, washer & dryer and all window treatments included; Seller's personal property excluded; Choice Home Warranty — Ultimate Plan through 6/21/2030
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage with opener
- Utilities: Well water; Private septic system (mound system); Natural gas service
- Home design: Single-family home; One story; Estimated finished area above grade about 910
- Construction: Builder listed for year built; Block foundation; Crawl space with outside-only entry or slab options noted
- Exterior features: Deck; Vinyl exterior; Lot size about 0.73 acre; Zoned R
Interior
- Kitchen: Range/oven; Refrigerator; Microwave; Breakfast bar
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (Main) — 7 x 13; Bedroom 2 (Main) — 10 x 13; Bedroom 3 (Main) — 7 x 9
- Bathrooms: One full bath; One half bath; Master bedroom has its own bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heat; Central air; Wall furnace; Wall air conditioning
- Interior features: Great room; Cable/satellite available; High-speed internet
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Mud room (5 x 7)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($848/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (18.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $131k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.2% in Reedsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#187 in WI, #4,937 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Reedsburg School District (town): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #242 of 342 in WI (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Pineview Elementary (382 students, 46% FRL); Webb Middle (math 27% / reading 36%, grade F, #245 of 383 statewide, top 65%, 586 students, 47% FRL); Reedsburg Area High (math 36% / reading 46%, grade F, #88 of 483 statewide, top 18%, 898 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 527 units permitted in Sauk County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.89%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-21,479
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-13,188
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53959
- Home prices YoY
- -34.7%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,306 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $670/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $71
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $161 | -5% $116 | +0% $71 | +5% $25 | +10% $-20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-33 | -5% $19 | +0% $71 | +5% $122 | +10% $174 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $151 | -0.5pp $111 | base $71 | +0.5pp $29 | +1.0pp $-13 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 S Walnut St Reedsburg, WI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 871 | $1,285 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $159,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $159,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $159,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $159,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $159,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $159,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-26$159,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $670 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,814 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,144/yr (+$95/mo · 170.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,670
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$670
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,254
- − Management
- −$1,254
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$1,915
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$460
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,307/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Reedsburg School District
- NCES district ID
- 5512660
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,578
- Composite
- 29.34/100
- National rank
- #6544
- State rank
- #242 of 342 in WI
Livability — Reedsburg
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #4937
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Sauk County · 36,155 people
- City population
- 14,451
- Metro
- Baraboo, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,451
- Household income
- $77,924
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 294.0
Population outlook (Sauk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,065 people
- By 2030
- 66,755 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 66,999 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 65,499 · -0.9%
- By 2075
- 60,000 · -9.2%
- By 2100
- 51,070 · -22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Sauk
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.2pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: D+1.7 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+18.5 2008: D+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.25%
- Current HPI
- 229.9937
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Baraboo, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $159,900 SCWMLS
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $670 · +10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…