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Lot 6 Falling Rock Rd 🏗️ New Construction
B+ Composite 78.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$30,000

Lot 6 Falling Rock Rd · Harpers Ferry, IA 54626
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 660 sqft · SingleFamily · 29 Days on market
Built 1971 Fair condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Attention Sportsmen! Affordable base camp for sale! Great location along the great River Road between Prairie du Chien and Lynxville, WI. This fully furnished 2 bedroom, 1 bath mobile home is situated in the falling rock campground. The Mississippi River and boat launch are directly across the road and provide easy access to a multitude of recreational opportunities. Lot rent is $2,500/year.

Key facts

  • Mississippi river
  • Boat launch
  • Fully furnished

Tags

FULLY FURNISHEDMISSISSIPPI RIVERBOAT LAUNCHRECREATIONAL OPPORTUNITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Sold furnished with stove and refrigerator included (seller's personal property excluded)

Exterior

  • Utilities: Private septic system; Community well available; LP gas
  • Home design: Single-family property; Estimated living area 660 above grade; One-story (main level living)
  • Construction: Aluminum/steel siding
  • Exterior features: Deck; Aluminum/steel exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range/oven; Refrigerator; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (approx. 8 x 10); Second bedroom on main level (approx. 7 x 8)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; Bathroom includes a tub; No master bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: LP gas heat; Window A/C unit
  • Interior features: Living room on main level; Pantry off the kitchen; No basement (slab)
  • Laundry & utility: Window A/C unit (listed with appliances)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $440 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($819 rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $30k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#657 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D, schools F.
  • Seneca Area School District (rural): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #254 of 426 in WI (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 40 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
  • Crawford County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $29,550 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.73%
Cap rate
23.89%
Cash-on-cash
62.86%
DSCR
3.80
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.09% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
72.8%
Equity multiple
5.83×
Total profit
$40,568
Equity at exit
$22,975
10-year hold
IRR
68.2%
Equity multiple
12.54×
Total profit
$96,915
Equity at exit
$45,781

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 54626

Home prices YoY
4.3%
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$819 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax est. 1.5%
$38 /mo · $450/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$172
Net cashflow
$440

Break-even live

Break-even rent $262
Max offer price $30,000
Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $461 -5% $450 +0% $440 +5% $430 +10% $419
Rent -10% $375 -5% $408 +0% $440 +5% $472 +10% $505
Rate -1.0pp $455 -0.5pp $448 base $440 +0.5pp $432 +1.0pp $424

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $30,000 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $30,000 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $30,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $30,000 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $30,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $30,000 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $30,000 Active 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $30,000 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $30,000 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $30,000 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $30,000 Active 16 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $30,000 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $30,000 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $30,000 Active 11 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $30,000 Active 10 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $30,000 Active 9 DOM
  17. 2026-05-21
    listed $30,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,833
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$450
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$787
− Management
−$787
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$5,107
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,226
After-tax cash flow
$4,055/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

The home requires significant exterior and interior repairs, including repainting and staining/replacing the deck and railings. These updates will significantly improve its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Exterior siding — Peeling and in need of repainting.
  • Major Deck and railings — Weathered and could benefit from staining or replacement.
  • Major Interior walls — In need of painting.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior siding and repainting the interior walls — Fresh paint will improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making it more attractive to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Staining or replacing the deck and railings — A well-maintained deck and railings will enhance the home's curb appeal and provide a functional outdoor space for potential buyers or renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exterior siding · Peeling and in need of repainting. Major $15,000–50,000
Deck and railings · Weathered and could benefit from staining or replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Interior walls · In need of painting. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior siding and repainting the interior walls — Fresh paint will improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making it more attractive to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Staining or replacing the deck and railings — A well-maintained deck and railings will enhance the home's curb appeal and provide a functional outdoor space for potential buyers or renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Seneca Area School District
NCES district ID
5513470
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$47,194
Composite
36.65/100
National rank
#9247
State rank
#254 of 426 in WI

Livability — Harpers Ferry

Score
63/100
State rank
#657
US rank
#15194

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,388

Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,748 people
By 2030
15,301 · -2.8%
By 2040
14,309 · -9.1%
By 2050
13,357 · -15.2%
By 2075
11,727 · -25.5%
By 2100
9,883 · -37.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 19% Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crawford

2024 margin
R (+13.8) · D 42.5% · R 56.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-40.8pp toward R · 2008: 27.0pp · 2024: -13.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.8 2020: R+7.7 2016: R+5.5 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+27.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.09%
Current HPI
198.1752
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $30,000 SCWMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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