808 Winston Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.1/30.0
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$298,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Modernized Urban Living at 808 Winston Ave : Experience the perfect blend of classic Baltimore charm and contemporary design in this fully renovated single-family home. Originally built in 1920, this property has been transformed to meet modern needs, offering a rare 4-bedroom, 4-bathroom configuration in the Winston-Govans neighborhood . Key Property Highlights: Open Concept Layout: The main level features a seamless open floor plan, perfect for entertaining and everyday living. Four Spacious Bedrooms: Ample room for family, guests, or a dedicated home office. Four Modern Bathrooms: Enjoy the convenience of multiple updated bathrooms, a significant upgrade from the original single-bath layout . 3rd level Bonus Room: A versatile extra space that can serve as a playroom, media center, or additional lounge. Generous Living Space: Approximately 2100 square feet of interior living area . Outdoor Space: Situated on a 7,627 square foot lot, providing a sizable yard for outdoor activities .
Key facts
- Outdoor space
- Open concept layout
- 3rd level bonus room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $298k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $255k (14.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $255k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $298k implies a 435% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.75%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $348,787
- List price
- $298,500
- Delta
- -14.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5110 Kenilworth Ave | 0.21mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,850 (+2%) | 7mo | $305,000 | $165 | 68 |
| 5302 The Alameda | 0.35mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,825 (+1%) | 10mo | $330,500 | $181 | 61 |
| 4907 Crowson Ave | 0.36mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,726 (-4%) | 12mo | $375,000 | $217 | 59 |
| 619 Harwood Ave | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,800 (-0%) | 8mo | $340,000 | $189 | 57 |
| 5304 Kenilworth Ave | 0.31mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,765 (-2%) | 14mo | $360,000 | $204 | 57 |
| 4801 The Alameda | 0.38mi | 5/3.5 | 1,646 (-9%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $73 | 55 |
| 4921 Alhambra Ave | 0.13mi | 6/5.0 (+1) | 1,780 (-2%) | 19mo | $394,996 | $222 | 55 |
| 509 Mccabe Ave | 0.28mi | 6/4.5 (+1) | 1,920 (+6%) | 5mo | $385,000 | $201 | 54 |
| 900 E 41st St | 0.69mi | 5/2.5 | 1,794 (-1%) | 12mo | $284,900 | $159 | 50 |
| 5315 Midwood Ave | 0.29mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,070 (+14%) | 1mo | $359,900 | $174 | 49 |
| 5728 Govane Ave | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,624 (-10%) | 2mo | $247,000 | $152 | 39 |
| 320 Tunbridge Rd | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,960 (+8%) | 11mo | $499,000 | $255 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-27,592
- Equity at exit
- $44,507
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $15,021
- Equity at exit
- $25,809
Cash invested: $83,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21212
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,549 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,565
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $754/yr
- Insurance
- −$124
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$535
- Net cashflow
- $261
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $430 | -5% $346 | +0% $261 | +5% $177 | +10% $92 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $60 | -5% $160 | +0% $261 | +5% $362 | +10% $462 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $411 | -0.5pp $337 | base $261 | +0.5pp $184 | +1.0pp $105 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,625
- Closing costs
- $8,955
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 510 Winston Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,800 | $1.75 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 531 Willow Ave Unit Na Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 706 E 43rd St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1596 | $1,899 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 513 E 41st St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1620 | $1,900 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1545 E Cold Spring Ln Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $2,000 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 6008 Clearspring Rd Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1758 | $3,600 | $2.05 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1915 Hillenwood Rd Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2199 | $3,200 | $1.46 | 5d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 506 Cedarcroft Rd Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1695 | $3,100 | $1.83 | 12d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 6159 Parkway Dr Apt 1 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $2,200 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 6159 Parkway Dr Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $2,200 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2028 Hillenwood Rd Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $2,100 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 6189 Northwood Dr Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,200 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1908 E Belvedere Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,950 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3421 University Pl Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1960 | $3,500 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $298,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $298,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $298,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $298,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $298,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $298,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $298,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $298,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $298,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $298,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $298,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $298,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $330,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $330,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-04-29status Active 1005-char remark
Show marketing remark (1005 chars)
Modernized Urban Living at 808 Winston Ave : Experience the perfect blend of classic Baltimore charm and contemporary design in this fully renovated single-family home. Originally built in 1920, this property has been transformed to meet modern needs, offering a rare 4-bedroom, 4-bathroom configuration in the Winston-Govans neighborhood . Key Property Highlights: Open Concept Layout: The main level features a seamless open floor plan, perfect for entertaining and everyday living. Four Spacious Bedrooms: Ample room for family, guests, or a dedicated home office. Four Modern Bathrooms: Enjoy the convenience of multiple updated bathrooms, a significant upgrade from the original single-bath layout . 3rd level Bonus Room: A versatile extra space that can serve as a playroom, media center, or additional lounge. Generous Living Space: Approximately 2100 square feet of interior living area . Outdoor Space: Situated on a 7,627 square foot lot, providing a sizable yard for outdoor activities .
-
2026-04-23status Pending 1005-char remark
Show marketing remark (1005 chars)
Modernized Urban Living at 808 Winston Ave : Experience the perfect blend of classic Baltimore charm and contemporary design in this fully renovated single-family home. Originally built in 1920, this property has been transformed to meet modern needs, offering a rare 4-bedroom, 4-bathroom configuration in the Winston-Govans neighborhood . Key Property Highlights: Open Concept Layout: The main level features a seamless open floor plan, perfect for entertaining and everyday living. Four Spacious Bedrooms: Ample room for family, guests, or a dedicated home office. Four Modern Bathrooms: Enjoy the convenience of multiple updated bathrooms, a significant upgrade from the original single-bath layout . 3rd level Bonus Room: A versatile extra space that can serve as a playroom, media center, or additional lounge. Generous Living Space: Approximately 2100 square feet of interior living area . Outdoor Space: Situated on a 7,627 square foot lot, providing a sizable yard for outdoor activities .
-
2026-04-16$330,000 Active 1005-char remark
Show marketing remark (1005 chars)
Modernized Urban Living at 808 Winston Ave : Experience the perfect blend of classic Baltimore charm and contemporary design in this fully renovated single-family home. Originally built in 1920, this property has been transformed to meet modern needs, offering a rare 4-bedroom, 4-bathroom configuration in the Winston-Govans neighborhood . Key Property Highlights: Open Concept Layout: The main level features a seamless open floor plan, perfect for entertaining and everyday living. Four Spacious Bedrooms: Ample room for family, guests, or a dedicated home office. Four Modern Bathrooms: Enjoy the convenience of multiple updated bathrooms, a significant upgrade from the original single-bath layout . 3rd level Bonus Room: A versatile extra space that can serve as a playroom, media center, or additional lounge. Generous Living Space: Approximately 2100 square feet of interior living area . Outdoor Space: Situated on a 7,627 square foot lot, providing a sizable yard for outdoor activities .
-
2023-08-04soldstatus $55,800
-
2003-05-30soldstatus $44,000
-
2003-04-15historical
-
2002-11-27$44,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $754 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,004 · $167/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,250/yr (+$104/mo · 165.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,587
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,721
- − Property taxes
- −$754
- − Insurance
- −$1,492
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,447
- − Management
- −$2,447
- − Depreciation
- −$8,684
- Taxable loss
- −$1,958
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$470
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,603/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,974
- Household income
- $96,685
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 769.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 35% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -392.44%
- Current HPI
- 267.4569
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+635.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-23 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $330,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $55,800 Public Records
- 2003-05-30 Sold (MLS) $44,000 MRIS
- 2003-04-15 Delisted — MRIS
- 2002-11-27 Listed $44,900 MRIS
Property tax history
-9.5%/yrLatest (2025): $754 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…