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808 Winston Ave
C- Composite 52.24
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$298,500

808 Winston Ave · Baltimore, MD 21212
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,808 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1920 7,627 sqft lot $165/sqft · at area comps Est $349k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Modernized Urban Living at 808 Winston Ave : Experience the perfect blend of classic Baltimore charm and contemporary design in this fully renovated single-family home. Originally built in 1920, this property has been transformed to meet modern needs, offering a rare 4-bedroom, 4-bathroom configuration in the Winston-Govans neighborhood . Key Property Highlights: Open Concept Layout: The main level features a seamless open floor plan, perfect for entertaining and everyday living. Four Spacious Bedrooms: Ample room for family, guests, or a dedicated home office. Four Modern Bathrooms: Enjoy the convenience of multiple updated bathrooms, a significant upgrade from the original single-bath layout . 3rd level Bonus Room: A versatile extra space that can serve as a playroom, media center, or additional lounge. Generous Living Space: Approximately 2100 square feet of interior living area . Outdoor Space: Situated on a 7,627 square foot lot, providing a sizable yard for outdoor activities .

Key facts

  • Outdoor space
  • Open concept layout
  • 3rd level bonus room

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUT3RD LEVEL BONUS ROOMOUTDOOR SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $298k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $255k (14.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $255k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $56k; list at $298k implies a 435% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $254,892 (14.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
7.34%
Cash-on-cash
3.75%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$348,787
List price
$298,500
Delta
-14.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5110 Kenilworth Ave 0.21mi 4/3.0 (-1) 1,850 (+2%) 7mo $305,000 $165 68
5302 The Alameda 0.35mi 4/3.0 (-1) 1,825 (+1%) 10mo $330,500 $181 61
4907 Crowson Ave 0.36mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,726 (-4%) 12mo $375,000 $217 59
619 Harwood Ave 0.51mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,800 (-0%) 8mo $340,000 $189 57
5304 Kenilworth Ave 0.31mi 4/3.0 (-1) 1,765 (-2%) 14mo $360,000 $204 57
4801 The Alameda 0.38mi 5/3.5 1,646 (-9%) 2mo $120,000 $73 55
4921 Alhambra Ave 0.13mi 6/5.0 (+1) 1,780 (-2%) 19mo $394,996 $222 55
509 Mccabe Ave 0.28mi 6/4.5 (+1) 1,920 (+6%) 5mo $385,000 $201 54
900 E 41st St 0.69mi 5/2.5 1,794 (-1%) 12mo $284,900 $159 50
5315 Midwood Ave 0.29mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,070 (+14%) 1mo $359,900 $174 49
5728 Govane Ave 0.72mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,624 (-10%) 2mo $247,000 $152 39
320 Tunbridge Rd 0.71mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,960 (+8%) 11mo $499,000 $255 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.9%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-27,592
Equity at exit
$44,507
10-year hold
IRR
2.4%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$15,021
Equity at exit
$25,809

Cash invested: $83,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21212

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,549 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,565
Tax from tax record
$63 /mo · $754/yr
Insurance
$124
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$535
Net cashflow
$261

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,218
Max offer price $298,500
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $430 -5% $346 +0% $261 +5% $177 +10% $92
Rent -10% $60 -5% $160 +0% $261 +5% $362 +10% $462
Rate -1.0pp $411 -0.5pp $337 base $261 +0.5pp $184 +1.0pp $105

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,625
Closing costs
$8,955
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
510 Winston Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1600 $2,800 $1.75 21d 1 0.26mi
531 Willow Ave Unit Na Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,800 $1.38 21d 1 0.43mi
706 E 43rd St Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 1596 $1,899 $1.19 3d 1 0.55mi
513 E 41st St Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 1620 $1,900 $1.17 45d 1 0.78mi
1545 E Cold Spring Ln Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1240 $2,000 $1.61 45d 1 0.82mi
6008 Clearspring Rd Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 1758 $3,600 $2.05 25d 1 1.16mi
1915 Hillenwood Rd Baltimore, MD 5.0 2.0 2199 $3,200 $1.46 5d 1 1.26mi
506 Cedarcroft Rd Baltimore, MD 5.0 3.0 1695 $3,100 $1.83 12d 1 1.27mi
6159 Parkway Dr Apt 1 Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1408 $2,200 $1.56 25d 1 1.33mi
6159 Parkway Dr Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1408 $2,200 $1.56 23d 1 1.33mi
2028 Hillenwood Rd Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1820 $2,100 $1.15 23d 1 1.36mi
6189 Northwood Dr Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1400 $2,200 $1.57 45d 1 1.39mi
1908 E Belvedere Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1425 $1,950 $1.37 21d 1 1.39mi
3421 University Pl Baltimore, MD 5.0 2.0 1960 $3,500 $1.79 25d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $298,500 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $298,500 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $298,500 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $298,500 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $298,500 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $298,500 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $298,500 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $298,500 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $298,500 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $298,500 Active 43 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $298,500 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $298,500 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $330,000 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $330,000 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-04-29
    status Active 1005-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1005 chars)

    Modernized Urban Living at 808 Winston Ave : Experience the perfect blend of classic Baltimore charm and contemporary design in this fully renovated single-family home. Originally built in 1920, this property has been transformed to meet modern needs, offering a rare 4-bedroom, 4-bathroom configuration in the Winston-Govans neighborhood . Key Property Highlights: Open Concept Layout: The main level features a seamless open floor plan, perfect for entertaining and everyday living. Four Spacious Bedrooms: Ample room for family, guests, or a dedicated home office. Four Modern Bathrooms: Enjoy the convenience of multiple updated bathrooms, a significant upgrade from the original single-bath layout . 3rd level Bonus Room: A versatile extra space that can serve as a playroom, media center, or additional lounge. Generous Living Space: Approximately 2100 square feet of interior living area . Outdoor Space: Situated on a 7,627 square foot lot, providing a sizable yard for outdoor activities .

  16. 2026-04-23
    status Pending 1005-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1005 chars)

    Modernized Urban Living at 808 Winston Ave : Experience the perfect blend of classic Baltimore charm and contemporary design in this fully renovated single-family home. Originally built in 1920, this property has been transformed to meet modern needs, offering a rare 4-bedroom, 4-bathroom configuration in the Winston-Govans neighborhood . Key Property Highlights: Open Concept Layout: The main level features a seamless open floor plan, perfect for entertaining and everyday living. Four Spacious Bedrooms: Ample room for family, guests, or a dedicated home office. Four Modern Bathrooms: Enjoy the convenience of multiple updated bathrooms, a significant upgrade from the original single-bath layout . 3rd level Bonus Room: A versatile extra space that can serve as a playroom, media center, or additional lounge. Generous Living Space: Approximately 2100 square feet of interior living area . Outdoor Space: Situated on a 7,627 square foot lot, providing a sizable yard for outdoor activities .

  17. 2026-04-16
    listed $330,000 Active 1005-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1005 chars)

    Modernized Urban Living at 808 Winston Ave : Experience the perfect blend of classic Baltimore charm and contemporary design in this fully renovated single-family home. Originally built in 1920, this property has been transformed to meet modern needs, offering a rare 4-bedroom, 4-bathroom configuration in the Winston-Govans neighborhood . Key Property Highlights: Open Concept Layout: The main level features a seamless open floor plan, perfect for entertaining and everyday living. Four Spacious Bedrooms: Ample room for family, guests, or a dedicated home office. Four Modern Bathrooms: Enjoy the convenience of multiple updated bathrooms, a significant upgrade from the original single-bath layout . 3rd level Bonus Room: A versatile extra space that can serve as a playroom, media center, or additional lounge. Generous Living Space: Approximately 2100 square feet of interior living area . Outdoor Space: Situated on a 7,627 square foot lot, providing a sizable yard for outdoor activities .

  18. 2023-08-04
    soldstatus $55,800
  19. 2003-05-30
    soldstatus $44,000
  20. 2003-04-15
    historical
  21. 2002-11-27
    listed $44,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$754 · $63/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,004 · $167/mo
Expected delta
+$1,250/yr (+$104/mo · 165.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,587
− Mortgage interest
−$16,721
− Property taxes
−$754
− Insurance
−$1,492
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,447
− Management
−$2,447
− Depreciation
−$8,684
Taxable loss
−$1,958
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$470
After-tax cash flow
$3,603/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
33,974
Household income
$96,685
Rent vs Own
31.2% rent · 68.8% own
Severe rent burden
769.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Black 35% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -392.44%
Current HPI
267.4569
Rent YoY
▲ 4.65%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+635.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-23 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $330,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $55,800 Public Records
  • 2003-05-30 Sold (MLS) $44,000 MRIS
  • 2003-04-15 Delisted MRIS
  • 2002-11-27 Listed $44,900 MRIS

Property tax history

-9.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $754 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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