6907 Chasewood Dr · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.3/15.0
$112,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
CHASEWOOD CHARMER – JUST RENOVATED, move-in ready 2-bedroom, 2-bath townhome perfect for first-time buyers. Incredible opportunity to own at an unbeatable price. This cozy home offers a functional layout with NEW 2026 PAINT, FLOORING, LIGHTING, APPLIANCES, BATHROOMS and MORE! Inside, you’ll find a welcoming living area centered around a fireplace offering a warm and inviting focal point. Bright and cheery remodeled kitchen with dining area and 2 pantries. 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Front of the home faces a shared courtyard, while the back offers a private fenced yard. Covered carport parking is accessed from the rear street. Beyond the home, the community features amenities i
Key facts
- Community amenities
- Remodeled kitchen
- Private fenced yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Briargate HOA (Goodlife Management); Monthly association fee; Association amenities: pool, tennis courts, basketball court; Association fee covers common areas, recreation facilities, and trash
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Detached carport; Additional parking; 1 carport space
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential single-story home; Faces east; Full ownership; Entry level: first floor
- Construction: Built in 1974; Brick and wood siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Private yard; Concrete road access; Community pool (association)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Pantry; Quartz counters
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (first floor) — 14 x 12; Bedroom (first floor) — 12 x 10
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Brick walls; Pantry; Quartz counters; Tub with shower; Ceiling fans; Kitchen/dining combo; Wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in utility room; Washer; Dryer; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $112k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Fort Bend ISD (suburban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #140 of 826 in TX (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Blue Ridge El (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #4,180 of 4,322 statewide, top 97%, 263 students, 89% FRL); Christa Mcauliffe Middle (math 9% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,583 of 1,662 statewide, top 96%, 835 students, 94% FRL); Willowridge H S (math 12% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,389 of 1,632 statewide, top 86%, 1,319 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 35% district-wide (55 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-33 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fort Bend ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 188 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $157 of equity ($774 loan paydown + $-617 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.18%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $100,406
- List price
- $112,000
- Delta
- 11.55%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6913 Chasewood Dr | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,312 (+13%) | 4mo | $99,000 | $75 | 69 |
| 15405 Nickel Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,123 (-4%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $147 | 53 |
| 7610 Goudin Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,303 (+12%) | 6mo | $220,000 | $169 | 50 |
| 6647 Villarreal Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,268 (+9%) | 0mo | $194,800 | $154 | 45 |
| 7319 Bahia Ln | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,323 (+14%) | 22mo | $199,500 | $151 | 44 |
| 15906 Willbriar Ln | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,320 (+13%) | 1mo | $182,500 | $138 | 40 |
| 6631 Indian Falls Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,310 (+12%) | 8mo | $191,500 | $146 | 37 |
| 7502 Dawnbriar Ct | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,308 (+12%) | 11mo | $240,000 | $183 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.55% appreciation · 0.34% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $5,150
- Equity at exit
- $29,469
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $20,208
- Equity at exit
- $33,071
Cash invested: $31,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77489
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,598 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$587
- Tax from tax record
- −$160 /mo · $1,923/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- HOA
- −$228
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $240
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $303 | -5% $272 | +0% $240 | +5% $208 | +10% $177 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $114 | -5% $177 | +0% $240 | +5% $303 | +10% $366 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $296 | -0.5pp $268 | base $240 | +0.5pp $211 | +1.0pp $181 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,000
- Closing costs
- $3,360
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15703 Baybriar Dr Missouri City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1252 | $1,615 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 15823 Baybriar Dr Missouri City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $1,641 | $1.23 | 6d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 13960 Hillcroft St Unit 13975 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $1,299 | $1.28 | 0d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 13960 Hillcroft St Unit 321 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $1,310 | $1.29 | 9d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 13960 Hillcroft St Unit 13981 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $1,340 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 13960 Hillcroft St Unit 1174 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 12d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 13960 Hillcroft St Unit 425 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,540 | $1.16 | 9d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 13960 Hillcroft St Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,524 | $1.14 | 0d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 13960 Hillcroft St Unit 13975 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $1,345 | $1.32 | 15d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 13960 Hillcroft St Unit 14017 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,540 | $1.16 | 17d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 13939 Hillcroft Ave Unit 13976 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $1,703 | $1.56 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 13939 Hillcroft Ave Unit 13972 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $2,164 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 13939 Hillcroft Ave Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 985 | $1,778 | $1.80 | 4d | 22 | 1.22mi |
| 16211 Corsair Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1139 | $1,813 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 16432 Chimney Rock Rd Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1026 | $1,327 | $1.29 | 11d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 16432 Chimney Rock Rd Unit 2112 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1026 | $1,276 | $1.24 | 0d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 16432 Chimney Rock Rd Unit 16465 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $1,524 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 16432 Chimney Rock Rd Unit 16489 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1026 | $1,317 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 16432 Chimney Rock Rd Unit 3174 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $1,513 | $1.12 | 11d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 16432 Chimney Rock Rd Apt 424 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1026 | $1,292 | $1.26 | 6d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 16432 Chimney Rock Rd Unit 3112 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $1,473 | $1.09 | 0d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $228 · $2,736/yr
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-08$112,000 Active 1021-char remark
-
1996-07-16soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,923 · $160/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,050 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- +$127/yr (+$11/mo · 6.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,173
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,274
- − Property taxes
- −$1,923
- − Insurance
- −$560
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,534
- − Management
- −$1,534
- − HOA
- −$2,736
- − Depreciation
- −$3,258
- Taxable income
- $1,355
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$325
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,555/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Bend ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819650
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $82,360
- Composite
- 44.61/100
- National rank
- #2779
- State rank
- #140 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Fort Bend County · 836,777 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,292
- Household income
- $74,689
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1121.0
Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,004,526 people
- By 2030
- 1,153,104 · +14.8%
- By 2040
- 1,453,718 · +44.7%
- By 2050
- 1,753,781 · +74.6%
- By 2075
- 2,455,772 · +144.5%
- By 2100
- 2,930,528 · +191.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 13% White 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.55%
- Current HPI
- 288.1306
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.34%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-25 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $112,000 HARMLS
- 1996-07-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,923 · +35.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…