525 Carlton Pointe Dr · Palmetto, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your dream home nestled in the charming community of Palmetto, GA! This stunning two-story residence offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. With three spacious bedrooms and two-and-a-half pristine baths, this home is designed for both family living and elegant entertainment. Step inside to discover an open-concept floor plan that seamlessly connects the cozy living area with a modern kitchen boasting sleek countertops, ample cabinetry, and top-of-the-line appliances. The second floor houses a serene master suite complete with an ensuite bathroom that promises relaxation with its luxurious features. Two additional well-appointed bedrooms offer flexibility for guests or a growing family. The convenience of laundry facilities on this level makes life easier. Outside, enjoy morning coffee or unwind after a long day on your private patio overlooking an expansive backyard-a perfect space for gardening or playful afternoons. A single-car garage provides not only parking but extra storage space as well.
Key facts
- Laundry facilities
- Private patio
- Expansive backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $177k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.6% in Palmetto — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#329 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Amana Academy School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #264 of 1,228 statewide, top 23%, 731 students, 30% FRL, charter); Bear Creek Middle School (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #339 of 470 statewide, top 72%, 1,108 students, 100% FRL); Creekside High School (math 30% / reading 24%, grade F, #160 of 424 statewide, top 38%, 1,768 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 41% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fulton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 227 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.54%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $248,680
- List price
- $179,900
- Delta
- -27.66%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 631 Carlton Pointe Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 | 1,520 (-1%) | 2mo | $239,900 | $158 | 90 |
| 814 Carlton Pointe Pl | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 | 1,688 (+10%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $124 | 79 |
| 658 Carlton Pointe Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 | 1,660 (+8%) | 5mo | $155,000 | $93 | 78 |
| 649 Carlton Pointe Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-9%) | 4mo | $208,000 | $148 | 73 |
| 508 Shaggy Hickory Trl | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-9%) | 2mo | $259,000 | $184 | 71 |
| 619 Carlton Rd | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,382 (-10%) | 20mo | $252,000 | $182 | 61 |
| 590 Carlton Rd | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,454 (-6%) | 20mo | $290,000 | $199 | 52 |
| 529 Toombs #A St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,591 (+3%) | 24mo | $315,000 | $198 | 40 |
| 509 Honeysuckle Ln | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,614 (+5%) | 23mo | $294,000 | $182 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-19,639
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-4,685
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30268
- Home prices YoY
- -22.1%
- Active inventory
- 227
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,829 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$53
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $148
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $273 | -5% $211 | +0% $148 | +5% $86 | +10% $24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $4 | -5% $76 | +0% $148 | +5% $221 | +10% $293 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $239 | -0.5pp $194 | base $148 | +0.5pp $102 | +1.0pp $54 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 545 Carlton Pointe Dr Palmetto, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,375 | $1.28 | 26d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 512 Tori Ct Palmetto, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2222 | $2,040 | $0.92 | 46d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 115 Anna Ave Palmetto, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1716 | $1,910 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 495 Anna Ave Palmetto, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,255 | $1.41 | 0d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 513 Toombs St Unit 5 Palmetto, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 26d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 640 Main St Palmetto, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,875 | $1.76 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 660 Magnolia Cir Palmetto, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1386 | $1,965 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 635 Magnolia Cir Palmetto, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1386 | $1,690 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 553 Magnolia Cir Palmetto, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1386 | $1,845 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 552 Magnolia Cir Palmetto, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1386 | $1,690 | $1.22 | 26d | 1 | 1.23mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $53 · $636/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $179,900 Under Contract 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $179,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $179,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-14status Back On Market 1029-char remark
Show marketing remark (1029 chars)
Welcome to your dream home nestled in the charming community of Palmetto, GA! This stunning two-story residence offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. With three spacious bedrooms and two-and-a-half pristine baths, this home is designed for both family living and elegant entertainment. Step inside to discover an open-concept floor plan that seamlessly connects the cozy living area with a modern kitchen boasting sleek countertops, ample cabinetry, and top-of-the-line appliances. The second floor houses a serene master suite complete with an ensuite bathroom that promises relaxation with its luxurious features. Two additional well-appointed bedrooms offer flexibility for guests or a growing family. The convenience of laundry facilities on this level makes life easier. Outside, enjoy morning coffee or unwind after a long day on your private patio overlooking an expansive backyard-a perfect space for gardening or playful afternoons. A single-car garage provides not only parking but extra storage space as well.
-
2026-04-27status Under Contract 1029-char remark
Show marketing remark (1029 chars)
Welcome to your dream home nestled in the charming community of Palmetto, GA! This stunning two-story residence offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. With three spacious bedrooms and two-and-a-half pristine baths, this home is designed for both family living and elegant entertainment. Step inside to discover an open-concept floor plan that seamlessly connects the cozy living area with a modern kitchen boasting sleek countertops, ample cabinetry, and top-of-the-line appliances. The second floor houses a serene master suite complete with an ensuite bathroom that promises relaxation with its luxurious features. Two additional well-appointed bedrooms offer flexibility for guests or a growing family. The convenience of laundry facilities on this level makes life easier. Outside, enjoy morning coffee or unwind after a long day on your private patio overlooking an expansive backyard-a perfect space for gardening or playful afternoons. A single-car garage provides not only parking but extra storage space as well.
-
2026-04-17$179,900 New 1029-char remark
Show marketing remark (1029 chars)
Welcome to your dream home nestled in the charming community of Palmetto, GA! This stunning two-story residence offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. With three spacious bedrooms and two-and-a-half pristine baths, this home is designed for both family living and elegant entertainment. Step inside to discover an open-concept floor plan that seamlessly connects the cozy living area with a modern kitchen boasting sleek countertops, ample cabinetry, and top-of-the-line appliances. The second floor houses a serene master suite complete with an ensuite bathroom that promises relaxation with its luxurious features. Two additional well-appointed bedrooms offer flexibility for guests or a growing family. The convenience of laundry facilities on this level makes life easier. Outside, enjoy morning coffee or unwind after a long day on your private patio overlooking an expansive backyard-a perfect space for gardening or playful afternoons. A single-car garage provides not only parking but extra storage space as well.
-
2016-11-01historical
-
2016-10-18price $70,500
-
2016-10-13price $79,600
-
2016-10-03status Back on Market
-
2016-10-01historical
-
2016-09-07$84,000 New
-
2014-05-01historical
-
2013-12-07price $88,461 Increased
-
2013-10-29$80,419 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,944
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,698
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,756
- − Management
- −$1,756
- − HOA
- −$636
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$1,111
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$267
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,048/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fulton County
- NCES district ID
- 1302280
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,035
- Composite
- 45.33/100
- National rank
- #2640
- State rank
- #12 of 174 in GA
Livability — Palmetto
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #329
- US rank
- #17351
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palmetto, GA
- County
- Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
- City population
- 10,874
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,874
- Household income
- $91,349
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 206.0
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,203,707 people
- By 2030
- 1,299,706 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 1,488,256 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 1,664,580 · +38.3%
- By 2075
- 2,036,072 · +69.2%
- By 2100
- 2,222,402 · +84.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.29%
- Current HPI
- 258.4993
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+123.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-04-27 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $179,900 GAMLS
- 2016-11-01 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2016-10-18 Price Changed $70,500 GAMLS
- 2016-10-13 Price Changed $79,600 GAMLS
- 2016-10-03 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2016-10-01 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2016-09-07 Listed $84,000 GAMLS
- 2014-05-01 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2013-12-07 Price Changed $88,461 GAMLS
- 2013-10-29 Listed $80,419 GAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…