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525 Carlton Pointe Dr
C Composite 56.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

525 Carlton Pointe Dr · Palmetto, GA 30268
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,540 sqft · SingleFamily · 24 Days on market
Built 2003 1,263 sqft lot $117/sqft · 28% below area Est $249k · 28% under $53/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your dream home nestled in the charming community of Palmetto, GA! This stunning two-story residence offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. With three spacious bedrooms and two-and-a-half pristine baths, this home is designed for both family living and elegant entertainment. Step inside to discover an open-concept floor plan that seamlessly connects the cozy living area with a modern kitchen boasting sleek countertops, ample cabinetry, and top-of-the-line appliances. The second floor houses a serene master suite complete with an ensuite bathroom that promises relaxation with its luxurious features. Two additional well-appointed bedrooms offer flexibility for guests or a growing family. The convenience of laundry facilities on this level makes life easier. Outside, enjoy morning coffee or unwind after a long day on your private patio overlooking an expansive backyard-a perfect space for gardening or playful afternoons. A single-car garage provides not only parking but extra storage space as well.

Key facts

  • Laundry facilities
  • Private patio
  • Expansive backyard

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLANMODERN KITCHENPRIVATE PATIOEXPANSIVE BACKYARDLAUNDRY FACILITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Recommended offer: $177k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.6% in Palmetto — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#329 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Amana Academy School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #264 of 1,228 statewide, top 23%, 731 students, 30% FRL, charter); Bear Creek Middle School (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #339 of 470 statewide, top 72%, 1,108 students, 100% FRL); Creekside High School (math 30% / reading 24%, grade F, #160 of 424 statewide, top 38%, 1,768 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 41% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fulton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 227 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $177,201 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.28%
Cash-on-cash
3.54%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$248,680
List price
$179,900
Delta
-27.66%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
631 Carlton Pointe Dr 0.12mi 3/2.5 1,520 (-1%) 2mo $239,900 $158 90
814 Carlton Pointe Pl 0.08mi 3/2.5 1,688 (+10%) 2mo $210,000 $124 79
658 Carlton Pointe Dr 0.10mi 3/2.5 1,660 (+8%) 5mo $155,000 $93 78
649 Carlton Pointe Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,404 (-9%) 4mo $208,000 $148 73
508 Shaggy Hickory Trl 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,404 (-9%) 2mo $259,000 $184 71
619 Carlton Rd 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,382 (-10%) 20mo $252,000 $182 61
590 Carlton Rd 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,454 (-6%) 20mo $290,000 $199 52
529 Toombs #A St 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,591 (+3%) 24mo $315,000 $198 40
509 Honeysuckle Ln 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,614 (+5%) 23mo $294,000 $182 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.7%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-19,639
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
-1.4%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-4,685
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30268

Home prices YoY
-22.1%
Active inventory
227
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,829 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax est. 1.5%
$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$53
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$384
Net cashflow
$148

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,641
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $273 -5% $211 +0% $148 +5% $86 +10% $24
Rent -10% $4 -5% $76 +0% $148 +5% $221 +10% $293
Rate -1.0pp $239 -0.5pp $194 base $148 +0.5pp $102 +1.0pp $54

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
545 Carlton Pointe Dr Palmetto, GA 2.0 2.0 1073 $1,375 $1.28 26d 1 0.12mi
512 Tori Ct Palmetto, GA 3.0 2.5 2222 $2,040 $0.92 46d 1 0.45mi
115 Anna Ave Palmetto, GA 3.0 2.5 1716 $1,910 $1.11 45d 1 0.68mi
495 Anna Ave Palmetto, GA 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,255 $1.41 0d 1 0.88mi
513 Toombs St Unit 5 Palmetto, GA 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,350 $1.12 26d 1 0.94mi
640 Main St Palmetto, GA 2.0 1.0 1066 $1,875 $1.76 45d 1 1.05mi
660 Magnolia Cir Palmetto, GA 3.0 2.5 1386 $1,965 $1.42 45d 1 1.12mi
635 Magnolia Cir Palmetto, GA 3.0 2.5 1386 $1,690 $1.22 45d 1 1.18mi
553 Magnolia Cir Palmetto, GA 3.0 2.5 1386 $1,845 $1.33 23d 1 1.22mi
552 Magnolia Cir Palmetto, GA 3.0 2.5 1386 $1,690 $1.22 26d 1 1.23mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$53 · $636/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $179,900 Under Contract 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $179,900 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,900 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,900 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    statusdays on market $179,900 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-05-14
    status Back On Market 1029-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1029 chars)

    Welcome to your dream home nestled in the charming community of Palmetto, GA! This stunning two-story residence offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. With three spacious bedrooms and two-and-a-half pristine baths, this home is designed for both family living and elegant entertainment. Step inside to discover an open-concept floor plan that seamlessly connects the cozy living area with a modern kitchen boasting sleek countertops, ample cabinetry, and top-of-the-line appliances. The second floor houses a serene master suite complete with an ensuite bathroom that promises relaxation with its luxurious features. Two additional well-appointed bedrooms offer flexibility for guests or a growing family. The convenience of laundry facilities on this level makes life easier. Outside, enjoy morning coffee or unwind after a long day on your private patio overlooking an expansive backyard-a perfect space for gardening or playful afternoons. A single-car garage provides not only parking but extra storage space as well.

  7. 2026-04-27
    status Under Contract 1029-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1029 chars)

    Welcome to your dream home nestled in the charming community of Palmetto, GA! This stunning two-story residence offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. With three spacious bedrooms and two-and-a-half pristine baths, this home is designed for both family living and elegant entertainment. Step inside to discover an open-concept floor plan that seamlessly connects the cozy living area with a modern kitchen boasting sleek countertops, ample cabinetry, and top-of-the-line appliances. The second floor houses a serene master suite complete with an ensuite bathroom that promises relaxation with its luxurious features. Two additional well-appointed bedrooms offer flexibility for guests or a growing family. The convenience of laundry facilities on this level makes life easier. Outside, enjoy morning coffee or unwind after a long day on your private patio overlooking an expansive backyard-a perfect space for gardening or playful afternoons. A single-car garage provides not only parking but extra storage space as well.

  8. 2026-04-17
    listed $179,900 New 1029-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1029 chars)

    Welcome to your dream home nestled in the charming community of Palmetto, GA! This stunning two-story residence offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. With three spacious bedrooms and two-and-a-half pristine baths, this home is designed for both family living and elegant entertainment. Step inside to discover an open-concept floor plan that seamlessly connects the cozy living area with a modern kitchen boasting sleek countertops, ample cabinetry, and top-of-the-line appliances. The second floor houses a serene master suite complete with an ensuite bathroom that promises relaxation with its luxurious features. Two additional well-appointed bedrooms offer flexibility for guests or a growing family. The convenience of laundry facilities on this level makes life easier. Outside, enjoy morning coffee or unwind after a long day on your private patio overlooking an expansive backyard-a perfect space for gardening or playful afternoons. A single-car garage provides not only parking but extra storage space as well.

  9. 2016-11-01
    historical
  10. 2016-10-18
    price $70,500
  11. 2016-10-13
    price $79,600
  12. 2016-10-03
    status Back on Market
  13. 2016-10-01
    historical
  14. 2016-09-07
    listed $84,000 New
  15. 2014-05-01
    historical
  16. 2013-12-07
    price $88,461 Increased
  17. 2013-10-29
    listed $80,419 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,944
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$2,698
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,756
− Management
−$1,756
− HOA
−$636
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$1,111
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$267
After-tax cash flow
$2,048/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton County
NCES district ID
1302280
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,035
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2640
State rank
#12 of 174 in GA

Livability — Palmetto

Score
61/100
State rank
#329
US rank
#17351

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Palmetto, GA
County
Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
City population
10,874
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
10,874
Household income
$91,349
Rent vs Own
27.1% rent · 72.9% own
Severe rent burden
206.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,203,707 people
By 2030
1,299,706 · +8.0%
By 2040
1,488,256 · +23.6%
By 2050
1,664,580 · +38.3%
By 2075
2,036,072 · +69.2%
By 2100
2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.29%
Current HPI
258.4993
Rent YoY
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+123.7% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $179,900 GAMLS
  • 2016-11-01 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2016-10-18 Price Changed $70,500 GAMLS
  • 2016-10-13 Price Changed $79,600 GAMLS
  • 2016-10-03 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2016-10-01 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2016-09-07 Listed $84,000 GAMLS
  • 2014-05-01 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2013-12-07 Price Changed $88,461 GAMLS
  • 2013-10-29 Listed $80,419 GAMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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