10608 Pin Oak Rd · Preston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.4/15.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home recently renovated just minutes from beautiful Lake Texoma in Kingston, Oklahoma! This inviting property offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience, ideal for a full-time residence, weekend getaway, or investment opportunity. Enjoy a spacious layout with a cozy living area and functional kitchen. Step outside to a large covered porch & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; perfect for relaxing mornings, evening gatherings, or soaking in the peaceful surroundings. The property also features a detached shop and shed building, providing plenty space for storage, hobbies, or lake toys. With its prime location within walking distance to the lake, and boat r
Key facts
- Large covered porch
- Detached shop
- Recently renovated
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $482 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $175k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.9% in Preston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,306 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
- Kingston (rural): math 27% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #70 of 270 in OK (top 26%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 42 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Marshall County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $8k; list at $180k implies a 2300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.49%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $161,728
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3691 Kiowa | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,080 (+2%) | 12mo | $62,500 | $58 | 78 |
| 10707 Driftwood Rd | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+14%) | 16mo | $185,000 | $152 | 57 |
| 4065 Lake Beach Rd | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,164 (+9%) | 20mo | $170,000 | $146 | 46 |
| 4208 Aqua Rd | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 952 (-10%) | 9mo | $168,000 | $176 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.56×
- Total profit
- $128,793
- Equity at exit
- $162,158
- IRR
- 28.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.05×
- Total profit
- $355,175
- Equity at exit
- $349,700
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73439
- Home prices YoY
- 12.3%
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,185 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,700/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$459
- Net cashflow
- $482
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $607 | -5% $545 | +0% $482 | +5% $420 | +10% $358 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $310 | -5% $396 | +0% $482 | +5% $569 | +10% $655 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $573 | -0.5pp $528 | base $482 | +0.5pp $436 | +1.0pp $388 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $180,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $180,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $180,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $180,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $180,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$180,000 Active
-
2007-07-09soldstatus $7,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,223
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$2,700
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,098
- − Management
- −$2,098
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $3,109
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$746
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,043/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kingston
- NCES district ID
- 4016590
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,655
- Composite
- 24.88/100
- National rank
- #7585
- State rank
- #70 of 270 in OK
Livability — Preston
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1306
- US rank
- #22637
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,011
Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,405 people
- By 2030
- 18,038 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 19,513 · +12.1%
- By 2050
- 21,283 · +22.3%
- By 2075
- 27,884 · +60.2%
- By 2100
- 35,435 · +103.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 16% Native American 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Marshall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.4) · D 17.7% · R 81.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.6pp toward R · 2008: -38.8pp · 2024: -63.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.4 2020: R+62.5 2016: R+56.6 2012: R+45.7 2008: R+38.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 26.96%
- Current HPI
- 246.2253
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+2300.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $180,000 FSBO.com
- 2007-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $206 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…