5429 Daily Rd · West Branch, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Prime Location Near Secord Lake – Cabin with Endless Potential! Escape to the heart of Michigan's outdoor playground at 5429 Daily Rd. This cozy cabin is perfectly situated steps away from easy access to Secord Lake, offering all the water-life perks without the FLTF Assessment. If you prefer the trails to the water, you are just minutes away from a massive system of ORV trails and thousands of acres of state land, making this the ultimate "home base" for year-round adventure. This property is a fantastic opportunity for an investor or a DIY enthusiast to finish a retreat exactly to their liking. Significant structural and mechanical updates have already been completed, including a repaired artesian well pump, a well-maintained septic system, and upgraded copper/PEX plumbing. Structural improvements feature replaced floor joists and brand-new subflooring, with beautiful hardwood flooring already started (the seller is even including enough additional flooring material to finish the job!). Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 0.76 acre lot
- Built 1945
- Listed 27 days
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Wood siding; Slab foundation; Built with standard residential construction
- Exterior features: Deck; Gravel road access
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No cooling; Electric heating; Propane heating
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $56k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($876 rent vs $56k).
- Recommended offer: $55k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 2.5% in West Branch — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#331 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- West Branch-Rose City Area Schools (rural): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #306 of 540 in MI (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Surline Elementary School (math 34% / reading 37%, grade F, #731 of 1,397 statewide, top 53%, 601 students, 68% FRL); Surline Middle School (math 21% / reading 44%, grade F, #314 of 493 statewide, top 64%, 582 students, 70% FRL); Ogemaw Heights High School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #214 of 713 statewide, top 36%, 573 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Gladwin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $386 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gladwin County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.43%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $200,368
- List price
- $55,900
- Delta
- -72.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $10,416
- Equity at exit
- $8,335
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.18×
- Total profit
- $34,184
- Equity at exit
- $4,833
Cash invested: $15,652 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48610
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $876 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$293
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$70 /mo · $838/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$184
- Net cashflow
- $306
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $344 | -5% $325 | +0% $306 | +5% $286 | +10% $267 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $236 | -5% $271 | +0% $306 | +5% $340 | +10% $375 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $334 | -0.5pp $320 | base $306 | +0.5pp $291 | +1.0pp $276 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,975
- Closing costs
- $1,677
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $55,900 Pending 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $55,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-14$55,900 Active 1054-char remark
Show marketing remark (1054 chars)
Prime Location Near Secord Lake – Cabin with Endless Potential! Escape to the heart of Michigan’s outdoor playground at 5429 Daily Rd. This cozy cabin is perfectly situated steps away from easy access to Secord Lake, offering all the water-life perks without the FLTF Assessment. If you prefer the trails to the water, you are just minutes away from a massive system of ORV trails and thousands of acres of state land, making this the ultimate "home base" for year-round adventure. This property is a fantastic opportunity for an investor or a DIY enthusiast to finish a retreat exactly to their liking. Significant structural and mechanical updates have already been completed, including a repaired artesian well pump, a well-maintained septic system, and upgraded copper/PEX plumbing. Structural improvements feature replaced floor joists and brand-new subflooring, with beautiful hardwood flooring already started (the seller is even including enough additional flooring material to finish the job!). Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-14$55,900 Active 1061-char remark
Show marketing remark (1054 chars)
Prime Location Near Secord Lake – Cabin with Endless Potential! Escape to the heart of Michigan’s outdoor playground at 5429 Daily Rd. This cozy cabin is perfectly situated steps away from easy access to Secord Lake, offering all the water-life perks without the FLTF Assessment. If you prefer the trails to the water, you are just minutes away from a massive system of ORV trails and thousands of acres of state land, making this the ultimate "home base" for year-round adventure. This property is a fantastic opportunity for an investor or a DIY enthusiast to finish a retreat exactly to their liking. Significant structural and mechanical updates have already been completed, including a repaired artesian well pump, a well-maintained septic system, and upgraded copper/PEX plumbing. Structural improvements feature replaced floor joists and brand-new subflooring, with beautiful hardwood flooring already started (the seller is even including enough additional flooring material to finish the job!). Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-14$55,900 Active
Show marketing remark (1054 chars)
Prime Location Near Secord Lake – Cabin with Endless Potential! Escape to the heart of Michigan’s outdoor playground at 5429 Daily Rd. This cozy cabin is perfectly situated steps away from easy access to Secord Lake, offering all the water-life perks without the FLTF Assessment. If you prefer the trails to the water, you are just minutes away from a massive system of ORV trails and thousands of acres of state land, making this the ultimate "home base" for year-round adventure. This property is a fantastic opportunity for an investor or a DIY enthusiast to finish a retreat exactly to their liking. Significant structural and mechanical updates have already been completed, including a repaired artesian well pump, a well-maintained septic system, and upgraded copper/PEX plumbing. Structural improvements feature replaced floor joists and brand-new subflooring, with beautiful hardwood flooring already started (the seller is even including enough additional flooring material to finish the job!). Schedule your showing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,509
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,131
- − Property taxes
- −$838
- − Insurance
- −$280
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$841
- − Management
- −$841
- − Depreciation
- −$1,626
- Taxable income
- $2,953
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$709
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,958/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This cabin requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Focus on updating the interior walls, flooring, and landscaping to enhance curb appeal and resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Worn and need replacement or refinishing.
- Moderate Exterior siding — Worn and needs repainting or replacement.
- Major Flooring — Worn and uneven, needs replacement.
- Major Interior walls — Worn and discoloration, needs repainting or replacement.
- Major Landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt, needs trimming and planting.
- Major Deck — Worn and needs repair or replacement.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and updating interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Replacing worn flooring — Improves comfort and safety, enhances resale value.
- Both Rebuilding or repairing the deck — Enhances outdoor living space and curb appeal.
- Both Landscaping and trimming — Enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space.
- Both Upgrading HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency, enhances resale value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Worn and need replacement or refinishing. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Exterior siding · Worn and needs repainting or replacement. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Flooring · Worn and uneven, needs replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Interior walls · Worn and discoloration, needs repainting or replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping · Overgrown and unkempt, needs trimming and planting. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Deck · Worn and needs repair or replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $66,000–230,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting and updating interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Replacing worn flooring — Improves comfort and safety, enhances resale value. ↑
- Both Rebuilding or repairing the deck — Enhances outdoor living space and curb appeal. ↑
- Both Landscaping and trimming — Enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space. ↑
- Both Upgrading HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency, enhances resale value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Branch-Rose City Area Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2635850
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,145
- Composite
- 29.15/100
- National rank
- #6580
- State rank
- #306 of 540 in MI
Livability — West Branch
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #331
- US rank
- #8152
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,261
Population outlook (Gladwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,440 people
- By 2030
- 22,281 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 19,867 · -15.2%
- By 2050
- 17,667 · -24.6%
- By 2075
- 12,909 · -44.9%
- By 2100
- 8,629 · -63.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Gladwin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -42.2pp toward R · 2008: 1.5pp · 2024: -40.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.7 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+34.7 2012: R+7.2 2008: D+1.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.02%
- Current HPI
- 125.4127
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-06-10 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-10 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $55,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $55,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $55,900 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…