🏷️ Likely Rental
19220 NW 7th Ave · Miami Gardens, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$5,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT HOUSE CORNER HOUSE !!!!!! THIS IS A BEAUTIFULL 4 BEDROOMD AND 3 FULL BATHROOMS , THE HOME WAS RECENTLY UPDATED WITH A NEW KITCHEN INCLUDING QUARTZ COUNTER-TOPS , NEW FLOORING A/C , NEW BATHROOMS, THIS HOUSE WAS JUST PAINTED BOTH ON THE INTERIOR AND EXTERIOR. THE PROPERTY IS SITUATED MINUTES FROM SCHOOL WALMART , SHOPPING , HIGHWAYS, THE PROPERTIY HAS BIG YARD
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- 3 garage spots
- Built 1954
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Garage (3 spaces); 3 total parking spaces
- Utilities: Other water source; Other sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One story
- Construction: Construction details: See remarks; Other roof
- Exterior features: Front porch
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 room total
- Flooring: Other
- Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Other flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($25k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $5k).
- Cap rate 513.5% vs local median 3.1% in Miami Gardens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#338 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 238 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,719/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 2480% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 54.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 513.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1811.61%
- DSCR
- 81.61
- GRM
- 0.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $517,980
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 265 NW 189th Ter | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 | 1,175 (+1%) | 10mo | $541,000 | $460 | 59 |
| 19720 NW 4th Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,215 (+4%) | 7mo | $565,000 | $465 | 54 |
| 1041 NW 199th St | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 1,175 (+1%) | 13mo | $400,000 | $340 | 53 |
| 18310 NW 5th Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,095 (-6%) | 8mo | $500,000 | $457 | 41 |
| 20011 NW 3rd Pl | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,225 (+5%) | 17mo | $545,000 | $445 | 37 |
| 1341 NW 190th St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,170 (+0%) | 18mo | $399,000 | $341 | 35 |
| 1061 NW 200 | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+3%) | 20mo | $500,000 | $417 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 90.91×
- Total profit
- $125,875
- Equity at exit
- $746
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 181.23×
- Total profit
- $252,316
- Equity at exit
- $432
Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33169
- Home prices YoY
- -20.6%
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 238
- Price-to-rent
- 0.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,719 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$26
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$6 /mo · $75/yr
- Insurance
- −$2
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$571
- Net cashflow
- $2,114
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,117 | -5% $2,115 | +0% $2,114 | +5% $2,112 | +10% $2,110 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,899 | -5% $2,006 | +0% $2,114 | +5% $2,221 | +10% $2,328 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,116 | -0.5pp $2,115 | base $2,114 | +0.5pp $2,112 | +1.0pp $2,111 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,250
- Closing costs
- $150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $5,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $5,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $5,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $5,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 300-char remark
-
2026-06-07$5,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,629
- − Mortgage interest
- −$280
- − Property taxes
- −$75
- − Insurance
- −$25
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,610
- − Management
- −$2,610
- − Depreciation
- −$145
- Taxable income
- $26,883
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,452
- After-tax cash flow
- $18,911/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Miami Gardens
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #338
- US rank
- #5854
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miami Gardens, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 81,592
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,702
- Household income
- $62,562
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2480.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 10% White 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 18%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 19% Spanish 16%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.91%
- Current HPI
- 524.9052
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.61%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-82.8% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $5,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2020-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $285,000 Public Records
- 2020-02-06 Sold (MLS) $285,000 MARMLS
- 2019-11-05 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2019-10-30 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2019-10-18 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2019-09-01 Pending — MARMLS
- 2019-07-10 Listed $295,000 MARMLS
- 2017-07-28 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2017-05-09 Listed $172,000 MARMLS
- 2013-08-07 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2013-02-09 Listed $75,000 MARMLS
- 2007-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
- 2006-09-13 Listed $215,000 MARMLS
- 1980-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $47,200 Public Records
- 1979-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
- 1978-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.2%/yrLatest (2025): $7,761 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…