1934 McKinstry St · Detroit, MI 48209

$139,900

4 bd · 1.0 ba · 923 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market

Built 1900 $152/sqft · 50% below area Est $277k · 50% under ↓ 13% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +25.7/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +8.5/10.0
• 1% rule +6.8/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.3/10.0

Listing remarks

This home has been updated. It has new kitchen marble wall tile stainless steel exhaust vet fan new cabinets. There is electric fireplace in living room. The bathroom has jetted tub ceramic floor to ceiling tiles. Its freshly painted top to bottom. Oak floors have been refinished. Patio for BBQ with off street driveway and garage.

Key facts

• Jetted tub
• Electric fireplace
• Built 1900

Tags

• KITCHEN MARBLE WALL TILE
• STAINLESS STEEL EXHAUST FAN
• ELECTRIC FIREPLACE
• JETTED TUB
• CERAMIC FLOOR TO CEILING TILES
• OAK FLOORS REFINISHED

Property features AI

Exterior

• Home design: Built in 1900
• Construction: Living area approximately 923
• Exterior features: Property is in the Central Southwest subdivision

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
• Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
• Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $1,646/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 831% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $15k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $135,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.18% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.15%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.21%
• DSCR: 1.45
• GRM: 7.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $277,047
• List price: $139,900
• Delta: -42.28%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 1 within 2.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4219 Toledo St	0.22mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,058 (+15%)	22mo	$76,500	$72	42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 31.8%
• Equity multiple: 3.49×
• Total profit: $97,451
• Equity at exit: $126,033

10-year hold

• IRR: 27.4%
• Equity multiple: 7.90×
• Total profit: $270,330
• Equity at exit: $271,795

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 48209

• Home prices YoY: 21.8%
• Active inventory: 66
• Price-to-rent: 7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,646 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$734
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$175 /mo · $2,098/yr
• Insurance: −$58
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$346
• Net cashflow: $333

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,224

Max offer price $139,900

Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $34,975
• Closing costs: $4,197
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2835 23rd St Unit 2 Detroit, MI	3.0	2.0	1100	$1,450	$1.32	16d	1	0.88mi
3309 14th St Detroit, MI	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	942	$2,230	$2.37	1d	11	1.49mi

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $139,900 Active 37 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   pricedays on market $139,900 Active 36 DOM
3. 2026-06-15
   days on market $159,900 Active 34 DOM
4. 2026-06-13
   days on market $159,900 Active 32 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $159,900 Active 31 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $159,900 Active 28 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $159,900 Active 27 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $159,900 Active 26 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $159,900 Active 23 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,900 Active 22 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 20 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 19 DOM
13. 2026-05-12
    listed $159,900 Active 332-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,750
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,837
• − Property taxes: −$2,098
• − Insurance: −$700
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,580
• − Management: −$1,580
• − Depreciation: −$4,070
• Taxable income: $1,885
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$453
• After-tax cash flow: $3,548/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Detroit Public Schools Community District
• NCES district ID: 2601103
• Math proficiency: 10% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 24% ▲ 6.00%
• Median HH income: $25,815
• Composite: 13.06/100
• National rank: #9564
• State rank: #499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #218
• US rank: #5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Detroit, MI
• County: Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
• City population: 572,865
• Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
• Population (ZIP): 27,184
• Household income: $43,161
• Rent vs Own: 38.8% rent · 61.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 831.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,675,273 people
• By 2030: 1,620,300 · -3.3%
• By 2040: 1,502,341 · -10.3%
• By 2050: 1,384,039 · -17.4%
• By 2075: 1,124,592 · -32.9%
• By 2100: 881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (76%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 76% White 17% Two or more races 14% Black 6% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 58% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Lithuanian 0%
• Foreign-born: 26% · Canada
• Languages at home: 38% English-only · Spanish 62%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 73.77%
• Current HPI: 412.9753
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

-12.5% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-16 Price Changed $139,900 FSBO.com
• 2026-05-12 Listed $159,900 FSBO.com

Property tax history

-13.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $272 · -76.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.