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484 Beach 44th St Duplex
D- Composite 38.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$899,999

484 Beach 44th St · New York, NY 11691
6 bd · 5.0 ba · 2,288 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 105 Days on market
Built 2004 2,862 sqft lot Est $808k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Spacious 2-family property offering three full levels of living space. The first floor features 3 bedrooms, a living/dining room, open-concept kitchen, and 2 full bathrooms. The 2nd floor offers 3 bedrooms, living/dining room, open-concept kitchen, and 2 full bathrooms. Full finished basement with a separate entrance provides additional versatile space. This property also features a private driveway. Ideal opportunity for owner-occupants or investors seeking space and income potential.

Key facts

  • Private driveway
  • 2,862 sq ft lot
  • 3 parking spots

Tags

FULL FINISHED BASEMENTPRIVATE DRIVEWAY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 3-space carport; Driveway; Private parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Duplex
  • Construction: Stucco and vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Not waterfront; Stucco and vinyl siding exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: One 3-bedroom unit
  • Bathrooms: Five full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Eat-in kitchen; ENERGY STAR qualified doors; Finished full basement (see remarks)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $900k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-236 ($-3k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-118/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $858k (4.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $726k (19.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $726k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 140 active listings in the ZIP; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $7,262/mo this rent would consume 155% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 4702% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($819k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $726,200 (19.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.55%
Cash-on-cash
0.91%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$807,664
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
449 Beach 45 St 0.09mi 6/4.0 2,400 (+5%) 6mo $970,000 $404 78
472 Beach 43rd St 0.05mi 6/4.0 2,000 (-13%) 2mo $800,000 $400 71
426 Beach 44th St 0.11mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,080 (-9%) 1mo $525,000 $252 62
1051 Bay 32nd St 0.48mi 6/4.0 2,392 (+4%) 6mo $845,000 $353 61
2810 Brookhaven Ave 0.72mi 6/2.0 2,352 (+3%) 7mo $790,400 $336 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.2%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-160,903
Equity at exit
$134,193
10-year hold
IRR
-10.4%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-159,626
Equity at exit
$77,815

Cash invested: $252,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11691

Active inventory
140
Price-to-rent
20.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,262 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,720
Tax from tax record
$452 /mo · $5,419/yr
Insurance
$375
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,525
Net cashflow
$-236

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,561
Max offer price $858,333
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $274 -5% $19 +0% $-236 +5% $-491 +10% $-745
Rent -10% $-810 -5% $-523 +0% $-236 +5% $51 +10% $338
Rate -1.0pp $217 -0.5pp $-7 base $-236 +0.5pp $-469 +1.0pp $-706

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $7,262

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$225,000
Closing costs
$27,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $899,999 Active 105 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $899,999 Active 102 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $899,999 Active 101 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $899,999 Active 99 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $899,999 Active 97 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $899,999 Active 93 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $899,999 Active 92 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $899,999 Active 91 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $899,999 Active 88 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $899,999 Active 87 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $899,999 Active 85 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $899,999 Active 84 DOM
  13. 2026-03-09
    price $899,999
  14. 2026-03-08
    listed $8 Active
  15. 2021-10-13
    soldstatus $800,000
  16. 2019-01-24
    soldstatus $640,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,419 · $452/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,315 · $860/mo
Expected delta
+$4,895/yr (+$408/mo · 90.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$87,144
− Mortgage interest
−$50,414
− Property taxes
−$5,419
− Insurance
−$9,618
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,972
− Management
−$6,972
− Depreciation
−$26,182
Taxable loss
−$18,433
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,424
After-tax cash flow
$1,593/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
69,359
Household income
$56,135
Rent vs Own
72.3% rent · 27.7% own
Severe rent burden
4702.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
Black 40% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 24% Two or more races 12% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 5%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
35% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 21% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -397.66%
Current HPI
281.4044
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+40.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $899,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-08 Listed $8 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $800,000 Public Records
  • 2019-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $640,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,419 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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