Duplex
484 Beach 44th St · New York, NY
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.4/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$899,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Spacious 2-family property offering three full levels of living space. The first floor features 3 bedrooms, a living/dining room, open-concept kitchen, and 2 full bathrooms. The 2nd floor offers 3 bedrooms, living/dining room, open-concept kitchen, and 2 full bathrooms. Full finished basement with a separate entrance provides additional versatile space. This property also features a private driveway. Ideal opportunity for owner-occupants or investors seeking space and income potential.
Key facts
- Private driveway
- 2,862 sq ft lot
- 3 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 3-space carport; Driveway; Private parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Duplex
- Construction: Stucco and vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Not waterfront; Stucco and vinyl siding exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: One 3-bedroom unit
- Bathrooms: Five full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Eat-in kitchen; ENERGY STAR qualified doors; Finished full basement (see remarks)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $900k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-236 ($-3k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-118/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $858k (4.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $726k (19.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $726k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 140 active listings in the ZIP; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,262/mo this rent would consume 155% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 4702% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($819k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.91%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $807,664
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 449 Beach 45 St | 0.09mi | 6/4.0 | 2,400 (+5%) | 6mo | $970,000 | $404 | 78 |
| 472 Beach 43rd St | 0.05mi | 6/4.0 | 2,000 (-13%) | 2mo | $800,000 | $400 | 71 |
| 426 Beach 44th St | 0.11mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,080 (-9%) | 1mo | $525,000 | $252 | 62 |
| 1051 Bay 32nd St | 0.48mi | 6/4.0 | 2,392 (+4%) | 6mo | $845,000 | $353 | 61 |
| 2810 Brookhaven Ave | 0.72mi | 6/2.0 | 2,352 (+3%) | 7mo | $790,400 | $336 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-160,903
- Equity at exit
- $134,193
- IRR
- -10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-159,626
- Equity at exit
- $77,815
Cash invested: $252,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11691
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 20.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,262 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,720
- Tax from tax record
- −$452 /mo · $5,419/yr
- Insurance
- −$375
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,525
- Net cashflow
- $-236
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $274 | -5% $19 | +0% $-236 | +5% $-491 | +10% $-745 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-810 | -5% $-523 | +0% $-236 | +5% $51 | +10% $338 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $217 | -0.5pp $-7 | base $-236 | +0.5pp $-469 | +1.0pp $-706 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2.5 | $7,262 |
| #1 | 3 | 2.5 | $3,631 |
| #2 | 3 | 2.5 | $3,631 |
| Total (2 units) | $7,262 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $225,000
- Closing costs
- $27,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $899,999 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $899,999 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $899,999 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $899,999 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $899,999 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $899,999 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $899,999 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $899,999 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $899,999 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $899,999 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $899,999 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $899,999 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-03-09price $899,999
-
2026-03-08$8 Active
-
2021-10-13soldstatus $800,000
-
2019-01-24soldstatus $640,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,419 · $452/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,315 · $860/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,895/yr (+$408/mo · 90.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $87,144
- − Mortgage interest
- −$50,414
- − Property taxes
- −$5,419
- − Insurance
- −$9,618
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,972
- − Management
- −$6,972
- − Depreciation
- −$26,182
- Taxable loss
- −$18,433
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,424
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,593/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 69,359
- Household income
- $56,135
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4702.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 40% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 24% Two or more races 12% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 21% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -397.66%
- Current HPI
- 281.4044
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+40.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $899,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-08 Listed $8 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $800,000 Public Records
- 2019-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $640,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,419 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…