7815 Summerfield Rd · Lambertville, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- ARV discount +6.1/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beauriful lot with wooded view in rear surrounds this 2/3 bedroon 2-sty home. Large living room open to family room with vaulted ceiling and gas fireplace. Completely remodeled kitchen with newer stainless steel appliaances. First floor laundry and half bath. Upstairs features master suite with walk-in closet and full bath. Poetential 3rd bedroom or office upstairs. . Unique Michigan basement with good ceiling height. Private deck in rear. 2.5 car detached garage. Home warranty offered. Home is in execllent condition throughout. Public water at street. Age of home is approximate.
Key facts
- Master suite
- Private deck
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Detached, assigned 2-car garage
- Utilities: Private well water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Built with other construction materials; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Steam heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Gas fireplace; Water softener (rented); 7 total rooms; Block basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $663 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $219k).
- Recommended offer: $212k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 5.1% in Lambertville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#78 in MI, #1,689 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Bedford Public Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #150 of 540 in MI (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 264 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $117k; list at $219k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.98%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $212,562
- List price
- $219,000
- Delta
- 3.03%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3323 Deepwood Dr | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,483 (-1%) | 14mo | $292,500 | $197 | 66 |
| 3336 Springdale St | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,508 (+0%) | 12mo | $165,000 | $109 | 66 |
| 3235 Shelton Ave | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,574 (+5%) | 20mo | $176,000 | $112 | 63 |
| 3157 Maplewood Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,287 (-14%) | 5mo | $219,500 | $171 | 55 |
| 3633 Essex St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,576 (+5%) | 11mo | $225,000 | $143 | 45 |
| 3335 Woodmont Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,671 (+11%) | 19mo | $272,500 | $163 | 41 |
| 3409 Walnut St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,560 (+4%) | 22mo | $220,000 | $141 | 34 |
| 2585 Hasen Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,304 (-13%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $138 | 31 |
| 3468 Fairwood Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (+12%) | 14mo | $325,000 | $193 | 30 |
| 8236 Michelle Ln | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,639 (+9%) | 24mo | $299,999 | $183 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $6,659
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $59,822
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48144
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,495 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $819/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$524
- Net cashflow
- $663
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7076 Middlebury Dr Lambertville, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,495 | $2.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $219,000 Pending 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $219,000 Active 33 DOM
Show marketing remark (587 chars)
Beauriful lot with wooded view in rear surrounds this 2/3 bedroon 2-sty home. Large living room open to family room with vaulted ceiling and gas fireplace. Completely remodeled kitchen with newer stainless steel appliaances. First floor laundry and half bath. Upstairs features master suite with walk-in closet and full bath. Poetential 3rd bedroom or office upstairs. . Unique Michigan basement with good ceiling height. Private deck in rear. 2.5 car detached garage. Home warranty offered. Home is in execllent condition throughout. Public water at street. Age of home is approximate.
-
2026-06-10days on market $219,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $219,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $219,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 587-char remark
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2026-06-07days on market $219,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $219,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $219,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $219,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $219,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $219,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-11$239,900 Active 563-char remark
Show marketing remark (587 chars)
Beauriful lot with wooded view in rear surrounds this 2/3 bedroon 2-sty home. Large living room open to family room with vaulted ceiling and gas fireplace. Completely remodeled kitchen with newer stainless steel appliaances. First floor laundry and half bath. Upstairs features master suite with walk-in closet and full bath. Poetential 3rd bedroom or office upstairs. . Unique Michigan basement with good ceiling height. Private deck in rear. 2.5 car detached garage. Home warranty offered. Home is in execllent condition throughout. Public water at street. Age of home is approximate.
-
2026-05-11$239,900 Active 563-char remark
Show marketing remark (587 chars)
Beauriful lot with wooded view in rear surrounds this 2/3 bedroon 2-sty home. Large living room open to family room with vaulted ceiling and gas fireplace. Completely remodeled kitchen with newer stainless steel appliaances. First floor laundry and half bath. Upstairs features master suite with walk-in closet and full bath. Poetential 3rd bedroom or office upstairs. . Unique Michigan basement with good ceiling height. Private deck in rear. 2.5 car detached garage. Home warranty offered. Home is in execllent condition throughout. Public water at street. Age of home is approximate.
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2021-07-14soldstatus $117,000
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2021-06-04historical
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2021-06-04historical
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2021-05-29price $145,000
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2021-05-28price $145,000
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2021-05-28status Active
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2021-05-28status Active
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2021-05-28historical Contingent - Continue To Show
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2021-05-28historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl
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2021-05-06$149,900 Active
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2021-05-06$149,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $819 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,096 · $175/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,277/yr (+$106/mo · 156.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$819
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,395
- − Management
- −$2,395
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable income
- $4,598
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,103
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,854/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bedford Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2604470
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,784
- Composite
- 38.22/100
- National rank
- #4252
- State rank
- #150 of 540 in MI
Livability — Lambertville
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #1689
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lambertville, MI
- City population
- 10,275
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,275
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 144,439 people
- By 2030
- 140,033 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 128,408 · -11.1%
- By 2050
- 115,024 · -20.4%
- By 2075
- 87,273 · -39.6%
- By 2100
- 63,110 · -56.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Lithuanian 5% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 2% Spanish 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.7% · R 62.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -27.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.1 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.1 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.72%
- Current HPI
- 163.3496
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+46.1% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-06-14 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $219,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $219,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-11 Listed $239,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-11 Listed $239,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $117,000 Public Records
- 2021-06-04 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2021-06-04 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-05-29 Price Changed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-05-28 Price Changed $145,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-05-28 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2021-05-28 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-05-28 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2021-05-28 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-05-06 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-05-06 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $819 · -57.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…