137 Concorde Dr · Villa Rica, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$194,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Opportunity in Villa Rica! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath bi-level home is a full rehab with strong upside potential. Updates needed include kitchen, bathrooms, flooring, and general interior and exterior improvements. No HOA, no foundation leak issues reported. Perfect for fix-and-flip, BRRRR, or long-term rental. Convenient to I-20, shopping, dining, and schools. Sold As-Is. The photos have been generated with AI to show potential after items are removed. We have a new investor loan program with great rates and terms, contact us to learn more, and we can get you approved in 24 hours. This property is being sold as-is. Prospective buyers are encouraged to perform all necessary inspections and evaluations prior to purchase. Do not use ShowingTime. The agent is ONLY transactional. Please refer to private remarks for showing instructions. 3D Matterport tour available.
Key facts
- Convenient to i-20
- Full rehab
- Convenient to dining
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220-volt electric; Cable available; Electricity available; Phone available
- Home design: Multi/split levels; Entry includes foyer
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Basement with driveway access, partial and unfinished
- Exterior features: Patio; Paved road access; Located on a city street; Community near lake, park, shopping, public transport and schools
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Laminate counters; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master on main; Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bath with separate tub and shower; Two main-level bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Living room fireplace; Bay windows; Double-pane windows; No shared/common walls
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $170 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (2.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $191k (2.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.0% in Villa Rica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#224 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Carroll County (rural): math 42% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #38 of 174 in GA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Temple Elementary School (math 37% / reading 38%, grade F, #474 of 1,228 statewide, top 39%, 662 students, 75% FRL); Temple Middle School (math 31% / reading 36%, grade F, #206 of 470 statewide, top 45%, 621 students, 67% FRL); Temple High School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #213 of 424 statewide, top 51%, 746 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 669 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 876 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carroll County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $195k implies a 151% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.73%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $248,330
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605 Sheffield Ct | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,289 (-1%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $182 | 90 |
| 359 River Trace Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,277 (-2%) | 6mo | $248,000 | $194 | 84 |
| 221 Winchester Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,228 (-6%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $171 | 84 |
| 169 Concorde Dr | 0.10mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,305 (-0%) | 12mo | $245,000 | $188 | 76 |
| 604 Meadows Ct | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-4%) | 9mo | $229,000 | $182 | 75 |
| 421 River Trace Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-1%) | 10mo | $245,000 | $189 | 75 |
| 732 Newport Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,212 (-7%) | 1mo | $236,000 | $195 | 72 |
| 384 River Trace Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-8%) | 10mo | $239,900 | $200 | 68 |
| 417 River Trace Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-4%) | 13mo | $237,000 | $190 | 67 |
| 3150 Old Van Wert Rd | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-12%) | 6mo | $80,000 | $69 | 61 |
| 40 N Villa Rd | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,150 (-12%) | 12mo | $220,000 | $191 | 50 |
| 31 Chelsea Way | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,217 (-7%) | 5mo | $245,000 | $201 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-21,849
- Equity at exit
- $29,060
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-9,492
- Equity at exit
- $16,851
Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30180
- Home prices YoY
- -12.8%
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 669
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,906 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,022
- Tax from tax record
- −$232 /mo · $2,789/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $170
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $280 | -5% $225 | +0% $170 | +5% $115 | +10% $60 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $19 | -5% $95 | +0% $170 | +5% $245 | +10% $320 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $268 | -0.5pp $219 | base $170 | +0.5pp $119 | +1.0pp $68 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,725
- Closing costs
- $5,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 417 Remington Ct Villa Rica, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,680 | $1.37 | 1d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 600 Sheffield Ct Villa Rica, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,815 | $1.40 | 5d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 732 Newport Dr Villa Rica, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,735 | $1.43 | 1d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 816 Regency Ct Villa Rica, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 46d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 177 Melleray Ct Villa Rica, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1589 | $1,679 | $1.06 | 19d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 177 Melleray Ct Villa Rica, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1589 | $1,679 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 99 Powers PASS Villa Rica, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1269 | $2,195 | $1.73 | 3d | 4 | 0.94mi |
| 49 Melleray Ct Villa Rica, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1340 | $1,970 | $1.47 | 4d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 296 Whitney Ln Villa Rica, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,649 | $1.41 | 46d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 92 Tyson Ct Villa Rica, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $1,775 | $1.46 | 26d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 502 Robson Dr Villa Rica, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $1,765 | $1.24 | 26d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 502 Robson Dr Villa Rica, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $1,765 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1004 Merritt Dr Villa Rica, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1695 | $2,100 | $1.24 | 46d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1002 Merritt Dr Unit 2 Villa Rica, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1695 | $1,850 | $1.09 | 1d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $194,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $194,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $194,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $194,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $194,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $194,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $194,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $194,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,990 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $199,990 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,990 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,990 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,990 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,990 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-25$199,990 New 879-char remark
Show marketing remark (879 chars)
Investor Opportunity in Villa Rica! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath bi-level home is a full rehab with strong upside potential. Updates needed include kitchen, bathrooms, flooring, and general interior and exterior improvements. No HOA, no foundation leak issues reported. Perfect for fix-and-flip, BRRRR, or long-term rental. Convenient to I-20, shopping, dining, and schools. Sold As-Is. The photos have been generated with AI to show potential after items are removed. We have a new investor loan program with great rates and terms, contact us to learn more, and we can get you approved in 24 hours. This property is being sold as-is. Prospective buyers are encouraged to perform all necessary inspections and evaluations prior to purchase. Do not use ShowingTime. The agent is ONLY transactional. Please refer to private remarks for showing instructions. 3D Matterport tour available.
-
2026-05-21$199,990 Active
-
2015-07-29price $74,900 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
Fantastic Home in Great Condition! Open Family Room with Fireplace/Dining Room, Spacious Kitchen, Seller has painted with modern fresh colors and installed quality laminated Hardwood Floors. Spacious Bedrooms & Nice Master Suite! This home is MUCH Larger than others in the Community. Expansive Daylight Basement. Needs just a little TLC to make it SHINE! This home will be SOLD AS IS -
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2015-07-23soldstatus $77,500
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2015-07-13soldstatus $77,500 Sold 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
Fantastic Home in Great Condition! Open Family Room with Fireplace/Dining Room, Spacious Kitchen, Seller has painted with modern fresh colors and installed quality laminated Hardwood Floors. Spacious Bedrooms & Nice Master Suite! This home is MUCH Larger than others in the Community. Expansive Daylight Basement. Needs just a little TLC to make it SHINE! This home will be SOLD AS IS -
-
2015-05-26status Under Contract 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
Fantastic Home in Great Condition! Open Family Room with Fireplace/Dining Room, Spacious Kitchen, Seller has painted with modern fresh colors and installed quality laminated Hardwood Floors. Spacious Bedrooms & Nice Master Suite! This home is MUCH Larger than others in the Community. Expansive Daylight Basement. Needs just a little TLC to make it SHINE! This home will be SOLD AS IS -
-
2015-05-26price $77,500 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
Fantastic Home in Great Condition! Open Family Room with Fireplace/Dining Room, Spacious Kitchen, Seller has painted with modern fresh colors and installed quality laminated Hardwood Floors. Spacious Bedrooms & Nice Master Suite! This home is MUCH Larger than others in the Community. Expansive Daylight Basement. Needs just a little TLC to make it SHINE! This home will be SOLD AS IS -
-
2015-05-13$74,900 New 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
Fantastic Home in Great Condition! Open Family Room with Fireplace/Dining Room, Spacious Kitchen, Seller has painted with modern fresh colors and installed quality laminated Hardwood Floors. Spacious Bedrooms & Nice Master Suite! This home is MUCH Larger than others in the Community. Expansive Daylight Basement. Needs just a little TLC to make it SHINE! This home will be SOLD AS IS -
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2010-06-10historical
-
2010-03-26soldstatus $68,500 Sold
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2010-02-25status Pending
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2010-02-25price $65,500
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2010-02-23price $65,500
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2009-12-23$70,000 Active
-
2000-11-10soldstatus $87,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,789 · $232/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,789 · $232/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,869
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,917
- − Property taxes
- −$2,789
- − Insurance
- −$974
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,829
- − Management
- −$1,829
- − Depreciation
- −$5,670
- Taxable loss
- −$1,141
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$274
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,312/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carroll County
- NCES district ID
- 1300840
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,692
- Composite
- 35.62/100
- National rank
- #4888
- State rank
- #38 of 174 in GA
Livability — Villa Rica
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #13182
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Villa Rica, GA
- County
- Carroll County · 124,888 people
- City population
- 43,013
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,013
- Household income
- $88,514
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 853.0
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,370 people
- By 2030
- 127,186 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 133,534 · +8.2%
- By 2050
- 137,612 · +11.5%
- By 2075
- 142,892 · +15.8%
- By 2100
- 136,294 · +10.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- German 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.2) · D 29.1% · R 70.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -41.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.2 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+40.1 2012: R+37.7 2008: R+32.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.97%
- Current HPI
- 321.1874
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.42%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+127.5% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $199,990 GAMLS
- 2026-05-21 Listed $199,990 FMLS
- 2015-07-29 Price Changed $74,900 GAMLS
- 2015-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
- 2015-07-13 Sold (MLS) $77,500 GAMLS
- 2015-05-26 Pending — GAMLS
- 2015-05-26 Price Changed $77,500 GAMLS
- 2015-05-13 Listed $74,900 GAMLS
- 2010-06-10 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2010-03-26 Sold (MLS) $68,500 FMLS
- 2010-02-25 Pending — FMLS
- 2010-02-25 Price Changed $65,500 GAMLS
- 2010-02-23 Price Changed $65,500 FMLS
- 2009-12-23 Listed $70,000 FMLS
- 2000-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $87,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,789 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…