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420 Virginia St 🏷️ Likely Rental
C+ Composite 63.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$107,000

420 Virginia St · Butte-Silver Bow (balance), MT 59701
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 649 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 40 Days on market
Built 1905 610 sqft lot Est $179k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow full of potential! This cozy home offers a functional layout and plenty of opportunity to make it your own. With a little love and vision, this property could truly shine. Great opportunity for an investment property, starter home, or project for someone looking to add their personal touch. Lease automatically transfers to a month to month lease at the end of July 2026.

Key facts

  • Built 1905
  • Listed 39 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size about 610 square feet (0.014 acres)
  • Financial info: Information not provided
  • HOA & community: Information not provided

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Security: Information not provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Information not provided
  • Exterior features: Public water available; Public sewer available; Sewer and water connections available; Lot zoned R2

Interior

  • Kitchen: Information not provided
  • Bedrooms: Information not provided
  • Flooring: Information not provided
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Natural gas heating; Has cooling and heating
  • Laundry & utility: Information not provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $107,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$179,124) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $107k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $107k).
  • Recommended offer: $104k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.9% in Butte-Silver Bow (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Butte H S (town): math 24% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #73 of 116 in MT (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Kennedy School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #223 of 293 statewide, top 79%, 246 students, 0% FRL); East Middle School (math 26% / reading 44%, grade F, #85 of 146 statewide, top 59%, 660 students, 0% FRL); Butte High School (math 24% / reading 50%, grade F, #48 of 132 statewide, top 37%, 1,317 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.4%/yr); 325 active listings in the ZIP; 109 units permitted in Silver Bow County in 2024 (25 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $740 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Silver Bow County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($104k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $103,790 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.28%
Cash-on-cash
7.09%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$179,124
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
202 W Woolman St 0.15mi 1/1.0 656 (+1%) 23mo $109,000 $166 72
238 S Dakota St 0.61mi 2/1.0 (+1) 744 (+15%) 12mo $205,000 $276 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$-107
Equity at exit
$15,954
10-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
2.39×
Total profit
$41,518
Equity at exit
$9,251

Cash invested: $29,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Montana
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; no rent control; preempted; rural-skewed market.

ZIP-level market 59701

Home prices YoY
-30.7%
Rents YoY
10.4%
Active inventory
325
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,126 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$561
Tax from tax record
$107 /mo · $1,280/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$177

Break-even live

Break-even rent $902
Max offer price $107,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $238 -5% $207 +0% $177 +5% $147 +10% $117
Rent -10% $88 -5% $133 +0% $177 +5% $222 +10% $266
Rate -1.0pp $231 -0.5pp $204 base $177 +0.5pp $149 +1.0pp $121

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,750
Closing costs
$3,210
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $107,000 Active 40 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $107,000 Active 39 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $107,000 Active 37 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $107,000 Active 36 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $107,000 Active 35 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $107,000 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $107,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $107,000 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $107,000 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $107,000 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $107,000 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $107,000 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $107,000 Active 22 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $107,000 Active 21 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $107,000 Active 20 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $107,000 Active 19 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $107,000 Active 18 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $107,000 Active 17 DOM
  19. 2026-05-13
    listed $107,000 Active 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow full of potential! This cozy home offers a functional layout and plenty of opportunity to make it your own. With a little love and vision, this property could truly shine. Great opportunity for an investment property, starter home, or project for someone looking to add their personal touch. Lease automatically transfers to a month to month lease at the end of July 2026.

  20. 2026-05-13
    listed $107,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow full of potential! This cozy home offers a functional layout and plenty of opportunity to make it your own. With a little love and vision, this property could truly shine. Great opportunity for an investment property, starter home, or project for someone looking to add their personal touch. Lease automatically transfers to a month to month lease at the end of July 2026.

  21. 2025-07-21
    price $122,000
  22. 2025-07-21
    price $122,000
  23. 2025-07-17
    historical $900
  24. 2025-07-10
    listed $900
  25. 2025-03-13
    listed $139,900 Active
  26. 2025-03-13
    listed $139,900 Active
  27. 2021-10-14
    soldstatus
  28. 2021-10-14
    soldstatus
  29. 2021-08-19
    listed $77,500
  30. 2007-06-08
    soldstatus
  31. 1998-02-12
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MT · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,280 · $107/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,280 · $107/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥86°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 26 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,512
− Mortgage interest
−$5,994
− Property taxes
−$1,280
− Insurance
−$535
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,081
− Management
−$1,081
− Depreciation
−$3,113
Taxable income
$428
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$103
After-tax cash flow
$2,023/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Butte H S
NCES district ID
3005310
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$37,852
Composite
30.74/100
National rank
#6162
State rank
#73 of 116 in MT

Livability — Butte-Silver Bow (balance)

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Butte-Silver Bow (balance), MT
County
Silver Bow County · 34,232 people
City population
35,306
Metro
Butte-Silver Bow, MT
Population (ZIP)
34,232
Household income
$60,437
Rent vs Own
30.3% rent · 69.7% own
Severe rent burden
1060.0

Population outlook (Silver Bow County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,745 people
By 2030
36,359 · +1.7%
By 2040
37,490 · +4.9%
By 2050
38,593 · +8.0%
By 2075
43,773 · +22.5%
By 2100
48,513 · +35.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Korean 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Silver Bow

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.0) · D 51.5% · R 44.5% · Other 4.0%
2008→2024 swing
-33.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 7.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.0 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+14.2 2012: D+32.5 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -119.08%
Current HPI
268.4972
Rent YoY
▲ 10.44%
Metro
Butte-Silver Bow, MT
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.41%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+38.1% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $107,000 BSCMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $107,000 MRMLS
  • 2025-07-21 Price Changed $122,000 BSCMLS
  • 2025-07-21 Price Changed $122,000 MRMLS
  • 2025-07-17 Rental Removed $900 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-07-10 Listed for Rent $900 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-03-13 Listed $139,900 MRMLS
  • 2025-03-13 Listed $139,900 BSCMLS
  • 2021-10-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-10-14 Sold (MLS) BSCMLS
  • 2021-08-19 Listed $77,500 BSCMLS
  • 2007-06-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1998-02-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+19.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,280 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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