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800 Wren Ct
A Composite 87.51
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$239,900

800 Wren Ct · Hemlock Farms, PA 18428
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,632 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 153 Days on market
Built 1989 0.49 ac lot Est $287k · 16% under $243/mo HOA · 6% of rent ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 800 Wren Court, a charming cul-de-sac home in the heart of Hemlock Farms. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath property offers a solid layout, warm natural light, and the perfect chance to make it your own with a little TLC. As an estate sale, it has been thoughtfully decluttered and professionally cleaned, creating a clean canvas ready for your personal touches. Inside, the main living area features an inviting wood-burning fireplace and sliders that open to a generous deck with peaceful, wooded privacy. With some updating, this home can truly reflect your style -- whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a relaxing weekend escape. Set within one of the Poconos' premier amenity-fil

Key facts

  • Generous deck
  • Cul-de-sac home
  • Hiking trails

Tags

CUL-DE-SAC HOMEWOOD-BURNING FIREPLACEGENEROUS DECKPEACEFUL WOODED PRIVACYAMENITY-FILLED COMMUNITIESHIKING TRAILS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Community features: pool, clubhouse, tennis courts, playground, park, lake, fitness center
  • HOA & community: Hemlock Farms homeowners association; Association amenities include pool, indoor pool, clubhouse, fitness center, tennis courts, basketball court, playground, park, trails, lake access, spa/hot tub, sauna, dog park, game room, billiard room, meeting room, recreation room, picnic area, beach rights/access, exercise course, and security; Association provides maintenance of grounds, trash service, and snow removal; Annual association fee (derived monthly approx. $243.17)

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with gravel surface
  • Security: 24-hour security; Gated community with guard
  • Utilities: 200+ amp electric service; Cable available; Electricity available; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single family house; 2 stories; Residential property in Hemlock Farms
  • Construction: Concrete and frame construction; Concrete perimeter foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built above grade finished area approximately 1,632
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Deck; Shed(s); Corner lot; Wooded lot; Cul-de-sac lot; View of community lake

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Free‑standing refrigerator; Free‑standing gas range
  • Bedrooms: Total of 8 rooms (bedrooms included in room count)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (electric); Ceiling fan cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; His and hers closets; Insulated windows; Finished basement; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry room and basement laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $240k).
  • Recommended offer: $211k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 7.1% in Hemlock Farms — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#884 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 371 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $211,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
13.55%
Cash-on-cash
25.90%
DSCR
2.15
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$287,232
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
803 Lariat Ct 0.38mi 4/2.0 1,588 (-3%) 8mo $190,000 $120 70
800 Osprey Ct 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,568 (-4%) 9mo $310,000 $198 70
106 Fetlock Dr 0.24mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,700 (+4%) 7mo $255,000 $150 67
119 Ridgeway Dr 0.60mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,662 (+2%) 1mo $549,000 $330 61
120 Ridgeway Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,641 (+1%) 10mo $280,000 $171 60
118 Ledgeway Ln 0.45mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,716 (+5%) 8mo $399,999 $233 56
114 Heron Bay Rd 0.11mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,816 (+11%) 19mo $320,000 $176 56
804 Rowel Ct 0.33mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,536 (-6%) 18mo $189,900 $124 55
803 Fetlock Ct 0.32mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,837 (+13%) 7mo $290,000 $158 53
211 Stirrup Ln 0.51mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,638 (+0%) 22mo $283,500 $173 52
801 Saddlebrook Spur Spur 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,728 (+6%) 4mo $550,500 $319 50
101 Ridgeway Dr 0.75mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,420 (-13%) 6mo $292,500 $206 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.8%
Equity multiple
4.32×
Total profit
$223,183
Equity at exit
$216,121
10-year hold
IRR
38.0%
Equity multiple
9.71×
Total profit
$584,962
Equity at exit
$466,073

Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18428

Home prices YoY
9.2%
Active inventory
371
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,167 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,258
Tax from tax record
$241 /mo · $2,887/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$243
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$875
Net cashflow
$1,450

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,331
Max offer price $239,900
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,975
Closing costs
$7,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
101 Pommel Dr Hawley, PA 3.0 2.0 1691 $4,400 $2.60 1d 1 0.21mi
402 Canoe Brook Dr Hawley, PA 3.0 2.0 2055 $3,500 $1.70 1d 1 1.02mi
106 Corral Ln Hawley, PA 3.0 2.0 2150 $4,000 $1.86 4d 1 1.10mi
113 Portage Ln Milford, PA 3.0 2.0 1400 $4,000 $2.86 1d 1 1.41mi
313 Forest Dr Blooming Grove, PA 3.0 2.0 1200 $5,000 $4.17 1d 1 1.43mi
811 Hickory Ct Hawley, PA 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,500 $2.27 1d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$243 · $2,916/yr

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-25
    price $239,900
  3. 2026-01-28
    status Active
  4. 2026-01-16
    status Pending
  5. 2026-01-14
    price $259,900
  6. 2025-11-16
    listed $289,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,887 · $241/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,339 · $278/mo
Expected delta
+$452/yr (+$38/mo · 15.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$49,999
− Mortgage interest
−$13,438
− Property taxes
−$2,887
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,000
− Management
−$4,000
− HOA
−$2,916
− Depreciation
−$6,979
Taxable income
$14,580
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,499
After-tax cash flow
$13,901/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wallenpaupack Area SD
NCES district ID
4224750
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,027
Composite
41.97/100
National rank
#3345
State rank
#192 of 539 in PA

Livability — Hemlock Farms

Score
68/100
State rank
#884
US rank
#9421

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hemlock Farms, PA
Population (ZIP)
12,446

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,548 people
By 2030
51,622 · -3.6%
By 2040
46,490 · -13.2%
By 2050
40,372 · -24.6%
By 2075
31,951 · -40.3%
By 2100
26,821 · -49.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Portuguese 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 28.60%
Current HPI
340.8254
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending PWMLS
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $239,900 PWMLS
  • 2026-01-28 Relisted PWMLS
  • 2026-01-16 Pending PWMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $259,900 PWMLS
  • 2025-11-16 Listed $289,900 PWMLS

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,887 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…