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137 Firehouse Rd 🌊 Lakefront
D- Composite 35.25
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.2/15.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,000

137 Firehouse Rd · Salona, PA 17751
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,248 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1975 0.54 ac lot $127/sqft · at area comps Est $165k · at est. · waterfront ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Updated doublewide offering newer kitchen with island, 2-sinks, slow closing drawers, new windows and walk-in shower. Please verify all room sizes. All inclusions are being offered as-is.

Key facts

  • Newer kitchen
  • Walk-in shower
  • Island

Tags

NEWER KITCHENISLANDWALK-IN SHOWER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $159k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-87 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (9.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (28.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (28.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Keystone Central SD (town): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #384 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 44 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clinton County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $113,155 (28.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.63%
Cash-on-cash
-2.36%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
11.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$165,154
List price
$159,000
Delta
-3.73%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
519 Long Run Rd 0.09mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,224 (-2%) 22mo $140,000 $114 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.3%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-31,385
Equity at exit
$23,707
10-year hold
IRR
-13.4%
Equity multiple
0.22×
Total profit
$-34,720
Equity at exit
$13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17751

Home prices YoY
-18.1%
Active inventory
31
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,132 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$-87

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,242
Max offer price $143,564
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $3 -5% $-42 +0% $-87 +5% $-132 +10% $-177
Rent -10% $-177 -5% $-132 +0% $-87 +5% $-43 +10% $2
Rate -1.0pp $-7 -0.5pp $-47 base $-87 +0.5pp $-129 +1.0pp $-170

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    statusdays on market $159,000 Pending 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,000 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,000 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,000 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,000 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-05-13
    price $159,000 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    Updated doublewide offering newer kitchen with island, 2-sinks, slow closing drawers, new windows and walk-in shower. Please verify all room sizes. All inclusions are being offered as-is.

  7. 2026-05-06
    price $159,000 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    Updated doublewide offering newer kitchen with island, 2-sinks, slow closing drawers, new windows and walk-in shower. Please verify all room sizes. All inclusions are being offered as-is.

  8. 2026-04-17
    listed $169,000 Active 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    Updated doublewide offering newer kitchen with island, 2-sinks, slow closing drawers, new windows and walk-in shower. Please verify all room sizes. All inclusions are being offered as-is.

  9. 2026-04-13
    listed $169,000 Active 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    Updated doublewide offering newer kitchen with island, 2-sinks, slow closing drawers, new windows and walk-in shower. Please verify all room sizes. All inclusions are being offered as-is.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$975 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,744 · $145/mo
Expected delta
+$769/yr (+$64/mo · 78.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,579
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,086
− Management
−$1,086
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable loss
−$3,896
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$935
After-tax cash flow
$-114/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Keystone Central SD
NCES district ID
4212725
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$42,713
Composite
32.09/100
National rank
#5810
State rank
#384 of 539 in PA

Livability — Salona

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Salona, PA
Population (ZIP)
7,145

Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,048 people
By 2030
38,812 · -0.6%
By 2040
38,011 · -2.7%
By 2050
36,931 · -5.4%
By 2075
34,077 · -12.7%
By 2100
29,683 · -24.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Lithuanian 3% Polish 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
92% English-only · German/W. Germanic 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Clinton

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.1% · R 70.0%
2008→2024 swing
-38.1pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -40.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.9 2020: R+36.3 2016: R+34.8 2012: R+11.3 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -34.22%
Current HPI
154.7316
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $159,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $159,000 WBVAR
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $169,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $169,000 WBVAR

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $975 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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