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4691 Hwy 1
D Composite 41.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.4/30.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$154,000

4691 Hwy 1 · Mathews, LA 70394
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 79 Days on market
Built 1970 3,911 sqft lot $171/sqft · 30% above area Est $128k · 20% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers the perfect combination of comfort, updates, and location. Situated just minutes from local hospitals, grocery stores, and a highly recognized high school, this property delivers both convenience and peaceful bayou living. Fully remodeled and move-in ready, this home has seen extensive upgrades, including: New roof and exterior improvements (boxing & Hardie board siding) Fresh interior and exterior paint Modern wall finishes in the living room and kitchen Updated ductwork and electrical system Tankless hot water heater (approximately 2 years old) Ceramic tile and vinyl flooring throughout Cement added around the home for additional parking and functionality Inside, you’ll find a clean, updated interior with an upgraded bathroom and durable flooring throughout. Step outside and enjoy peaceful waterfront views, all while being just minutes from everything you need. This is a rare opportunity to own a fully updated waterfront home in a prime Raceland location—perfect for homeowners or investors alike.

Key facts

  • Ceramic flooring
  • 2 year old roof
  • Waterfront home

Tags

WATERFRONT HOMECERAMIC FLOORINGUPDATED BATHROOM2 YEAR OLD ROOFTANKLESS HOT WATER HEATERBAYOU VIEWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $154k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (9.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#191 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lafourche Parish (other): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #22 of 98 in LA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 319 units permitted in Lafourche Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $86k; list at $154k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,000 (9.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.64%
Cash-on-cash
4.80%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$128,494
List price
$154,000
Delta
19.85%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.9%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-14,017
Equity at exit
$22,962
10-year hold
IRR
0.6%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,713
Equity at exit
$13,315

Cash invested: $43,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70394

Active inventory
128
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$808
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $739/yr
Insurance
$64
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$173

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,181
Max offer price $154,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $260 -5% $216 +0% $173 +5% $129 +10% $85
Rent -10% $62 -5% $117 +0% $173 +5% $228 +10% $283
Rate -1.0pp $250 -0.5pp $212 base $173 +0.5pp $133 +1.0pp $92

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,500
Closing costs
$4,620
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
75 Central Lafourche Dr Raceland, LA 3.0 1.5 1114 $1,400 $1.26 24d 1 0.98mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $154,000 Active 79 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $154,000 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $154,000 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $154,000 Active 76 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $154,000 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $154,000 Active 73 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $154,000 Active 72 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $154,000 Active 70 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $154,000 Active 69 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $154,000 Active 68 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $154,000 Active 67 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $154,000 Active 64 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $154,000 Active 63 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $154,000 Active 62 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $154,000 Active 61 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $154,000 Active 60 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $154,000 Active 59 DOM
  18. 2026-04-01
    listed $154,000 Active 1068-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1053 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers the perfect combination of comfort, updates, and location. Situated just minutes from local hospitals, grocery stores, and a highly recognized high school, this property delivers both convenience and peaceful bayou living. Fully remodeled and move-in ready, this home has seen extensive upgrades, including: New roof and exterior improvements (boxing & Hardie board siding) Fresh interior and exterior paint Modern wall finishes in the living room and kitchen Updated ductwork and electrical system Tankless hot water heater (approximately 2 years old) Ceramic tile and vinyl flooring throughout Cement added around the home for additional parking and functionality Inside, you'll find a clean, updated interior with an upgraded bathroom and durable flooring throughout. Step outside and enjoy peaceful waterfront views, all while being just minutes from everything you need. This is a rare opportunity to own a fully updated waterfront home in a prime Raceland location--perfect for homeowners or investors alike.

  19. 2026-04-01
    listed $154,000 Active 1053-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1053 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers the perfect combination of comfort, updates, and location. Situated just minutes from local hospitals, grocery stores, and a highly recognized high school, this property delivers both convenience and peaceful bayou living. Fully remodeled and move-in ready, this home has seen extensive upgrades, including: New roof and exterior improvements (boxing & Hardie board siding) Fresh interior and exterior paint Modern wall finishes in the living room and kitchen Updated ductwork and electrical system Tankless hot water heater (approximately 2 years old) Ceramic tile and vinyl flooring throughout Cement added around the home for additional parking and functionality Inside, you'll find a clean, updated interior with an upgraded bathroom and durable flooring throughout. Step outside and enjoy peaceful waterfront views, all while being just minutes from everything you need. This is a rare opportunity to own a fully updated waterfront home in a prime Raceland location--perfect for homeowners or investors alike.

  20. 2018-11-30
    soldstatus $86,100
  21. 2010-01-21
    listed $82,000
  22. 2005-04-20
    listed $90,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$739 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$847 · $71/mo
Expected delta
+$108/yr (+$9/mo · 14.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,800
− Mortgage interest
−$8,626
− Property taxes
−$739
− Insurance
−$770
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,344
− Management
−$1,344
− Depreciation
−$4,480
Taxable loss
−$503
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$121
After-tax cash flow
$2,193/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lafourche Parish
NCES district ID
2200900
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -43.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -32.00%
Median HH income
$49,703
Composite
34.4/100
National rank
#5205
State rank
#22 of 98 in LA

Livability — Mathews

Score
63/100
State rank
#191
US rank
#15196

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mathews, LA
Population (ZIP)
13,683

Population outlook (Lafourche County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
102,122 people
By 2030
103,361 · +1.2%
By 2040
104,401 · +2.2%
By 2050
102,795 · +0.7%
By 2075
95,599 · -6.4%
By 2100
82,303 · -19.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 21% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 23% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lafourche

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.1) · D 18.4% · R 80.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-16.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -62.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.1 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.5 2008: R+46.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.48%
Current HPI
136.5498
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+71.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $154,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $154,000 GBRMLS
  • 2018-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $86,100 Public Records
  • 2010-01-21 Listed $82,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2005-04-20 Listed $90,000 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

-1.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $739 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…