277/278 Richard St · West Livingston, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
277/278 Richard St in Coldspring offers the perfect blend of peaceful country living and outdoor adventure. This 3 bed 1 bath home with new kitchen and included appliances is nestled within a 5 minute walk to the scenic Trinity River and just minutes from the renowned Livingston Dam, this property is ideal for anyone seeking a relaxing weekend retreat, vacation getaway, or income-producing investment property. Enjoy easy access to boating, fishing, kayaking, and nature trails while still being within driving distance of Houston. The area is known for its natural beauty, peaceful atmosphere, and growing appeal among outdoor enthusiasts and short-term rental travelers. With increasing interes
Key facts
- Boating
- New kitchen
- Included appliances
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Road surface: dirt; Has additional parcels
Exterior
- Security: Owned security system
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Residential property; Faces southeast; Built in 1997; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Construction: Wood siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Deck; Fully fenced yard; Storage; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (first level) — 12' x 13'; Bedroom (first level) — 10' x 12'; Bedroom (first level) — 10' x 12'
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (first level) — 6' x 12'
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Marble counters; Ceiling fans
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.5% in West Livingston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#1,501 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Coldspring-Oakhurst CISD (rural): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #732 of 826 in TX (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Coldspring-Oakhurst H S (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,044 of 1,632 statewide, top 66%, 496 students, 55% FRL).
- Market conditions: 362 active listings in the ZIP; 575 units permitted in San Jacinto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Jacinto County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.36%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $39,000
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1300 Janning St | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,024 (+2%) | 4mo | $40,000 | $39 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-5,467
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $18,522
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77331
- Active inventory
- 362
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,626 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$342
- Net cashflow
- $283
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $383 | -5% $333 | +0% $283 | +5% $233 | +10% $182 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $154 | -5% $218 | +0% $283 | +5% $347 | +10% $411 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $356 | -0.5pp $320 | base $283 | +0.5pp $245 | +1.0pp $207 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
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2026-06-19days on market $145,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $145,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $145,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-05-31remarks 699-char remark
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2026-05-31$145,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,515
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,175
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,561
- − Management
- −$1,561
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $1,152
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$277
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,116/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers a blend of peaceful country living and outdoor adventure, with a new kitchen and appliances. It's ideal for a relaxing weekend retreat or income-producing investment property.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — existing cabinets, minor wear
- Minor bathroom fixtures — existing fixtures, minor wear
- Minor HVAC system — existing system, minor wear
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
- Resale repair minor siding — enhances curb appeal
- Resale replace minor flooring — enhances interior appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · existing cabinets, minor wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · existing fixtures, minor wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| HVAC system · existing system, minor wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale repair minor siding — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale replace minor flooring — enhances interior appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coldspring-Oakhurst CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814520
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,916
- Composite
- 20.07/100
- National rank
- #8653
- State rank
- #732 of 826 in TX
Livability — West Livingston
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #1501
- US rank
- #25668
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,348
Population outlook (San Jacinto County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 29,069 people
- By 2030
- 29,750 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 30,714 · +5.7%
- By 2050
- 31,010 · +6.7%
- By 2075
- 31,616 · +8.8%
- By 2100
- 29,874 · +2.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 13% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Jacinto
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.3) · D 17.0% · R 82.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.0pp toward R · 2008: -38.3pp · 2024: -65.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.3 2020: R+61.9 2016: R+58.4 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+38.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
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Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -146.98%
- Current HPI
- 199.0493
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $145,000 HARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…