1225 N Franklin Ave · Springfield, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- ARV discount +10.4/15.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Northside home near Lincoln Park is ready for new owner! This 2 bedroom, 2 bath home has so much character & features a cozy covered front porch, hardwood floors, an updated kitchen, beautiful built ins, a fenced in yard, detached garage & sits on two lots! This home has been pre-inspected for buyers peace of mind!
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Large backyard
- Updated bathrooms
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Shingle roof
- Construction: Built in 1940; Unfinished basement (foundation present)
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on upper/main levels as noted: Bedroom 1 upper, Bedroom 2 upper)
- Flooring: Hardwood in main living, family and dining rooms; Tile in kitchen; Carpet in bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Cable available; Ceiling fan(s); Radon mitigation system; High speed internet; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($184/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (4.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $124k (4.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.9% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#122 in IL, #2,138 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Springfield SD 186 (urban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #438 of 620 in IL (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Enos Elem School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,477 of 2,056 statewide, top 74%, 255 students, 0% FRL); U S Grant Middle School (math 6% / reading 15%, grade F, #580 of 665 statewide, top 88%, 529 students, 0% FRL); Lanphier High School (math 10% / reading 16%, grade F, #501 of 693 statewide, top 73%, 1,058 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 64% district-wide (64 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 225 units permitted in Sangamon County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sangamon County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $83k; list at $130k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.51%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $138,724
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630 W Maple Ave | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,583 (-10%) | 3mo | $84,750 | $54 | 71 |
| 1028 N 4th St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,793 (+2%) | 6mo | $65,000 | $36 | 62 |
| 840 W Oak Ridge Ave | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 | 1,842 (+5%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $92 | 61 |
| 1057 N Rutledge St | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,536 (-12%) | 14mo | $125,000 | $81 | 58 |
| 1144 N 3rd St | 0.43mi | 2/1.5 | 1,569 (-11%) | 14mo | $123,000 | $78 | 48 |
| 1443 N 3rd St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,608 (-8%) | 11mo | $125,000 | $78 | 48 |
| 1449 N 3rd St | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,618 (-8%) | 15mo | $127,500 | $79 | 47 |
| 1312 N 3rd St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-15%) | 11mo | $130,000 | $87 | 43 |
| 1301 N 4th St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,516 (-14%) | 12mo | $123,000 | $81 | 41 |
| 1022 N 3rd St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-15%) | 9mo | $25,000 | $17 | 40 |
| 417 E Keys Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,569 (-11%) | 10mo | $105,000 | $67 | 39 |
| 1128 W Elliott Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,492 (-15%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $90 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-17,541
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,214
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62702
- Home prices YoY
- -34.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,237 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$227 /mo · $2,720/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $15
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $89 | -5% $52 | +0% $15 | +5% $-21 | +10% $-58 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-82 | -5% $-34 | +0% $15 | +5% $64 | +10% $113 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $81 | -0.5pp $48 | base $15 | +0.5pp $-18 | +1.0pp $-53 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1030 N MacArthur Blvd Springfield, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 400 E Jefferson St Springfield, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1420 | $1,220 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 922 Governor St Springfield, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1682 | $1,200 | $0.71 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $129,900 Under Contract 18 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $129,900 Under Contract 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Under Contract 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Under Contract 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Under Contract 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Under Contract 12 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $129,900 Under Contract 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Under Contract 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $129,900 Under Contract 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Under Contract 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09status $129,900 Under Contract 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-03$129,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,720 · $227/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,835 · $236/mo
- Expected delta
- +$114/yr (+$10/mo · 4.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,846
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$2,720
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,188
- − Management
- −$1,188
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$1,955
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$469
- After-tax cash flow
- $653/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield SD 186
- NCES district ID
- 1737080
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,744
- Composite
- 16.89/100
- National rank
- #9142
- State rank
- #438 of 620 in IL
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #2138
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, IL
- County
- Sangamon County · 115,414 people
- City population
- 59,955
- Metro
- Springfield, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,033
- Household income
- $51,136
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1230.0
Population outlook (Sangamon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,317 people
- By 2030
- 196,127 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 188,664 · -4.9%
- By 2050
- 179,624 · -9.4%
- By 2075
- 155,027 · -21.8%
- By 2100
- 122,588 · -38.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 17% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sangamon
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.6% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.3pp toward R · 2008: 4.4pp · 2024: -5.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.0 2020: R+4.4 2016: R+9.4 2012: R+8.7 2008: D+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.98%
- Current HPI
- 149.1926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.95%
- Metro
- Springfield, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+154.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $129,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
- 2021-10-19 Sold (MLS) $83,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-21 Listed $87,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
- 2010-05-19 Sold (MLS) $77,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-03-29 Listed $79,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
- 2010-01-08 Sold (MLS) $34,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-06-10 Listed $51,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2023): $2,720 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…