1806 S 5th St · Temple, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$78,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with 1 car garage convenient to downtown Temple, schools, shopping and commute. This home will be featured in an upcoming online auction on Hubzu.
Key facts
- 9,496 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1952
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $288 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.6% in Temple — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#122 in TX, #3,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute C-, crime D+.
- Temple ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #590 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 277 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,222 units permitted in Bell County in 2024 (246 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bell County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.83%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $146,896
- List price
- $78,000
- Delta
- -46.90%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1514 S 13th St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 999 (+3%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $150 | 68 |
| 1814 S 7th St | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-13%) | 8mo | $159,900 | $190 | 67 |
| 1506 S 9th St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 830 (-14%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $181 | 64 |
| 1202 S 7th St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 1,064 (+10%) | 4mo | $139,000 | $131 | 61 |
| 2014 S 9th St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 1,112 (+15%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $130 | 60 |
| 1506 S 11th St | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,056 (+9%) | 23mo | $185,000 | $175 | 46 |
| 914 S 2nd St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,081 (+12%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $153 | 42 |
| 710 Dunbar Rd | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,112 (+15%) | 11mo | $149,999 | $135 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $2,587
- Equity at exit
- $11,630
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $13,737
- Equity at exit
- $6,744
Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76504
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 277
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,238 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$409
- Tax from tax record
- −$248 /mo · $2,981/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $288
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $332 | -5% $310 | +0% $288 | +5% $266 | +10% $244 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $190 | -5% $239 | +0% $288 | +5% $337 | +10% $386 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $327 | -0.5pp $308 | base $288 | +0.5pp $268 | +1.0pp $247 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,500
- Closing costs
- $2,340
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1518 S 7th St Temple, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $1,100 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1615 S 11th St Temple, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $1,995 | $1.85 | 15d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1511 S 11th St Temple, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,095 | $1.49 | 15d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1117 S 9th St Unit B Temple, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2405 S 13th St Temple, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $1,065 | $1.28 | 15d | 4 | 0.48mi |
| 1205 S 17th St Temple, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $625 | $0.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1305 S 21st St Temple, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1118 Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit D Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 572 | $750 | $1.31 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1002 S 2nd St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,325 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1219 S 10th St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,050 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 603 East Avenue M Unit B Temple, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $945 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 640 SW H K Dodgen Loop Temple, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $1,899 | $2.22 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1201 S 25th St Temple, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,265 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 814 S Martin Luther King Blvd Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,100 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 902 S 23rd St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3114 Fenway Cir Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 806 S 23rd St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,445 | $1.45 | 15d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1001 S 29th St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1409 S 35th St Temple, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3514 Fenway Cir Temple, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 15d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3424 Fenway Cir Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 807 | $1,150 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1107 S 33rd St Unit B Temple, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1009 | $1,150 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3226 S 13th St Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,050 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 720 Azalea Dr Temple, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 780 | $1,375 | $1.76 | 15d | 10 | 1.05mi |
| 2510 S 31st St Temple, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 987 | $1,318 | $1.34 | 15d | 26 | 1.06mi |
| 703 S 16th St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,035 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3306 S 13th St Temple, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1007 | $1,350 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 708 Henderson St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,025 | $0.94 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1104 S Terrace St Unit A Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $750 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 901 S 20th St Unit b Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 615 | $750 | $1.22 | 15d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3311 Bordon Dr Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $995 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2102 Scott Blvd Temple, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 924 | $1,717 | $1.86 | 15d | 22 | 1.10mi |
| 3312 Bordon Dr Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,095 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3323 Kickapoo Dr Temple, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1007 | $1,400 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1321 S 39th St Temple, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1006 | $1,200 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1053 Cavendish Ave Temple, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1007 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3350 S 13th St Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $995 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3349 Addison Way Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,200 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1001 S Terrace St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,015 | $0.93 | 15d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1218 S 26th St Unit A Temple, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-21$78,000 Active 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with 1 car garage convenient to downtown Temple, schools, shopping and commute. This home will be featured in an upcoming online auction on Hubzu.
-
2026-04-21$78,000 Active 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with 1 car garage convenient to downtown Temple, schools, shopping and commute. This home will be featured in an upcoming online auction on Hubzu.
-
1994-11-28soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,981 · $248/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,981 · $248/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,858
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,369
- − Property taxes
- −$2,981
- − Insurance
- −$390
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,189
- − Management
- −$1,189
- − Depreciation
- −$2,269
- Taxable income
- $2,471
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$593
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,865/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Temple ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4842330
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,120
- Composite
- 26.8/100
- National rank
- #7123
- State rank
- #590 of 826 in TX
Livability — Temple
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #3814
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Temple, TX
- County
- Bell County · 345,090 people
- City population
- 96,587
- Metro
- Killeen-Temple, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,166
- Household income
- $52,803
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1489.0
Population outlook (Bell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 371,114 people
- By 2030
- 389,104 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 420,592 · +13.3%
- By 2050
- 447,779 · +20.7%
- By 2075
- 499,130 · +34.5%
- By 2100
- 505,680 · +36.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Hispanic / Latino 29% Black 15% Two or more races 14% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bell
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.2) · D 41.3% · R 57.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -16.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.2 2020: R+8.5 2016: R+15.1 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -159.28%
- Current HPI
- 186.1148
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.33%
- Metro
- Killeen-Temple, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listed $78,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $78,000 CTXMLS
- 1994-11-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+9.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,981 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…