544 Sandlick Rd · Princeton, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 4 bed 2 bath home offers a covered/screened in front porch along with 2 outbuildings great for a workshop or storage. Home has a large yard providing plenty of space for outside recreation. Don't let this one get away!
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Two outbuildings
- 0.9 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (2 spaces); Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Covered and screened patio/porch; Outbuilding; Rolling slope lot; Corner lot; Gravel road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Cooktop; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Attic fan; Ceiling fan(s); Electric heating
- Interior features: Covered and screened patio/porch; Crawl space basement; Dishwasher; Dryer; Refrigerator; Cooktop; Gas water heater
- Laundry & utility: Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $608 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 6.2% in Princeton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#88 in KY, #3,490 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
- Caldwell County (rural): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #78 of 165 in KY (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Caldwell County Primary School (523 students, 64% FRL); Caldwell County Middle School (math 25% / reading 42%, grade F, #105 of 217 statewide, top 51%, 421 students, 55% FRL); Caldwell County High School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #76 of 254 statewide, top 34%, 544 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caldwell County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.57%
- DSCR
- 2.45
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $150,920
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603 Hopkinsville St | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 1,660 (+8%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $75 | 54 |
| 100 N Chestnut St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,485 (-4%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $98 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $25,754
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 35.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.23×
- Total profit
- $72,277
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42445
- Home prices YoY
- -7.9%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,422 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $755/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $608
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $653 | -5% $631 | +0% $608 | +5% $585 | +10% $563 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $496 | -5% $552 | +0% $608 | +5% $664 | +10% $720 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $648 | -0.5pp $628 | base $608 | +0.5pp $587 | +1.0pp $566 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $80,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $80,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-17price $80,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $90,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $90,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $90,000
-
2026-03-30$100,000 Active
-
2021-12-13soldstatus $77,500 223-char remark
Show marketing remark (223 chars)
This 4 bed 2 bath home offers a covered/screened in front porch along with 2 outbuildings great for a workshop or storage. Home has a large yard providing plenty of space for outside recreation. Don't let this one get away!
-
2021-12-13soldstatus $77,500
Show marketing remark (223 chars)
This 4 bed 2 bath home offers a covered/screened in front porch along with 2 outbuildings great for a workshop or storage. Home has a large yard providing plenty of space for outside recreation. Don't let this one get away!
-
2021-07-06$88,900 223-char remark
Show marketing remark (223 chars)
This 4 bed 2 bath home offers a covered/screened in front porch along with 2 outbuildings great for a workshop or storage. Home has a large yard providing plenty of space for outside recreation. Don't let this one get away!
-
2007-05-31soldstatus $38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $755 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $755 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,069
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$755
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,365
- − Management
- −$1,365
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $6,374
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,530
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,765/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caldwell County
- NCES district ID
- 2100840
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,080
- Composite
- 28.12/100
- National rank
- #6819
- State rank
- #78 of 165 in KY
Livability — Princeton
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #3490
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Princeton, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,371
Population outlook (Caldwell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,100 people
- By 2030
- 11,739 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 11,088 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 10,543 · -12.9%
- By 2075
- 9,406 · -22.3%
- By 2100
- 8,084 · -33.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Caldwell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.2) · D 20.3% · R 78.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.7pp · 2024: -58.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.2 2020: R+54.0 2016: R+54.4 2012: R+35.0 2008: R+26.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -20.07%
- Current HPI
- 232.7067
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+136.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $90,000 WKRMLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $100,000 WKRMLS
- 2021-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
- 2021-12-13 Sold (MLS) $77,500 WKRMLS
- 2021-07-06 Listed $88,900 WKRMLS
- 2007-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $755 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…