🏷️ Likely Rental
673 Blythe Ave · Gallatin, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
**Do not disturb tenant.** For showings, drive by to view exterior. Home is in need of tlc and is believed to be a tear down or complete renovation. Value is believed to be in the land. Buyer/BA to verify all pertinent info
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 222 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $335 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 2.8% in Gallatin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#108 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Sumner County (suburban): math 44% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #12 of 139 in TN (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Benny C. Bills Elementary School (math 15% / reading 20%, grade F, #704 of 952 statewide, top 74%, 713 students, 0% FRL); Joe Shafer Middle School (math 35% / reading 23%, grade F, #110 of 333 statewide, top 34%, 666 students, 0% FRL); Gallatin Senior High School (math 15% / reading 28%, grade F, #172 of 332 statewide, top 52%, 1,659 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 34% district-wide (34 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Sumner County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1005 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,748 units permitted in Sumner County in 2024 (124 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sumner County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 223 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $150k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 223 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.57%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $268,823
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -44.20%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 425 Hall St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 1,023 (-7%) | 9mo | $166,500 | $163 | 77 |
| 667 N Boyers Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 1,030 (-7%) | 6mo | $191,000 | $185 | 64 |
| 124 West Gray St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+1%) | 11mo | $209,000 | $187 | 62 |
| 438 Hatten Track Rd | 0.37mi | 1/1.5 (-1) | 1,152 (+4%) | 9mo | $175,000 | $152 | 61 |
| 660 Virginia Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,112 (+1%) | 7mo | $299,900 | $270 | 61 |
| 131 E Woodrow St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,050 (-5%) | 12mo | $230,000 | $219 | 56 |
| 154 E Woodrow St | 0.42mi | 2/1.5 | 1,211 (+10%) | 9mo | $278,000 | $230 | 55 |
| 210 Ross Ave #110 | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,264 (+14%) | 0mo | $299,900 | $237 | 52 |
| 206 Ross Ave #110 | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,264 (+14%) | 3mo | $299,900 | $237 | 50 |
| 214 Ross Ave #110 | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,264 (+14%) | 7mo | $299,900 | $237 | 48 |
| 649 W Eastland St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,131 (+2%) | 11mo | $300,000 | $265 | 45 |
| 624 W Eastland St | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,029 (-7%) | 12mo | $234,500 | $228 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-7,021
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $5,578
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37066
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 1005
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,557 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $553/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$327
- Net cashflow
- $335
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $420 | -5% $377 | +0% $335 | +5% $293 | +10% $250 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $212 | -5% $273 | +0% $335 | +5% $396 | +10% $458 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $411 | -0.5pp $373 | base $335 | +0.5pp $296 | +1.0pp $257 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 429 Demoss St Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 702 | $1,475 | $2.10 | 16d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 614 N Water Ave Gallatin, TN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1097 | $1,454 | $1.33 | 3d | 17 | 0.24mi |
| 206 Ross Ave Gallatin, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $2,200 | $1.74 | 45d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 206 Ross Ave #110 Gallatin, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $2,075 | $1.64 | 6d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 547 N Water Ave Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,199 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 501 Small St Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,495 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 872 W Albert Gallatin Ave Gallatin, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 6d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 246 E Woodrow St Gallatin, TN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1488 | $1,950 | $1.31 | 9d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 500 Virginia Ave Gallatin, TN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $1,790 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 272 Brown Pl Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 774 | $995 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 665-681 W Eastland Ave Unit 681 Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,400 | $1.39 | 9d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 711 W Eastland Ave Unit C Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 711 W Eastland St Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,455 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 128 N Water Ave Gallatin, TN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 766 | $2,400 | $3.13 | 25d | 2 | 0.79mi |
| 230 N Hume Ave Unit 3 Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 146 N Trigg Ave #130 Gallatin, TN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1323 | $1,847 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1720 Elliott Williams Way Gallatin, TN | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1359 | $1,950 | $1.43 | 19d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 243 W Smith St Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,375 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 202 Cemetery Ave Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,375 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 257 W Smith St Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,375 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 122 S Ford St Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,099 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 209 W Bledsoe St Gallatin, TN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,725 | $1.89 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 234 W Winchester St Unit 234 Gallatin, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 203 N Electra St Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1020 | $1,199 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 550 E Bledsoe St Apt B24 Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 550 E Bledsoe St Gallatin, TN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,195 | $1.46 | 5d | 2 | 1.15mi |
| 302 A Dobbins Pike Gallatin, TN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 217 Greenleaf Cir Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,199 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 143 Morrison St Unit 2 Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,395 | $1.66 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 143 Morrison St #1 Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,295 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 203 Morrison St Gallatin, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 18d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 203 Morrison St Gallatin, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 22d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 203 Morrison St Unit B Gallatin, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,095 | $1.56 | 22d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 120 Lynn Dr Gallatin, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1277 | $1,990 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 112 Summerlin Dr Gallatin, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,895 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 940 E Main St Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1140 E Main St Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1020 | $1,275 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 194 W Morningside Dr Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,250 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 735 Trail Dr Gallatin, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,295 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $150,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-04-18historical 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
**Do not disturb tenant.** For showings, drive by to view exterior. Home is in need of tlc and is believed to be a tear down or complete renovation. Value is believed to be in the land. Buyer/BA to verify all pertinent info
-
2026-04-18status Active 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
**Do not disturb tenant.** For showings, drive by to view exterior. Home is in need of tlc and is believed to be a tear down or complete renovation. Value is believed to be in the land. Buyer/BA to verify all pertinent info
-
2025-10-31$300,000 Active 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
**Do not disturb tenant.** For showings, drive by to view exterior. Home is in need of tlc and is believed to be a tear down or complete renovation. Value is believed to be in the land. Buyer/BA to verify all pertinent info
-
2025-10-30historical $300,000 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
**Do not disturb tenant.** For showings, drive by to view exterior. Home is in need of tlc and is believed to be a tear down or complete renovation. Value is believed to be in the land. Buyer/BA to verify all pertinent info
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $553 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,065 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$512/yr (+$43/mo · 92.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,686
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$553
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,495
- − Management
- −$1,495
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $1,627
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$391
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,629/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sumner County
- NCES district ID
- 4704020
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,998
- Composite
- 36.44/100
- National rank
- #4667
- State rank
- #12 of 139 in TN
Livability — Gallatin
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #11017
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gallatin, TN
- County
- Sumner County · 196,654 people
- City population
- 64,650
- Metro
- Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 64,650
- Household income
- $81,614
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2172.0
Population outlook (Sumner County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,284 people
- By 2030
- 223,902 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 253,892 · +21.9%
- By 2050
- 281,199 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 344,866 · +65.6%
- By 2100
- 384,369 · +84.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sumner
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.8) · D 28.5% · R 70.3% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.9pp · 2024: -41.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.8 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+45.0 2012: R+42.0 2008: R+34.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.76%
- Current HPI
- 290.8043
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.39%
- Metro
- Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-18 Relisted — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-31 Listed $300,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-30 Coming Soon $300,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+9.8%/yrLatest (2025): $553 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…