2010 Conchita St · San Angelo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- ARV discount +12.5/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$182,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Wow! Another large Price Improvement! Check out this cute Santa Rita Charmer! Larger than appears! 4 bedrooms and 1 and a half baths. Nestled on a short, quiet street. Nice sized lot and ready for new owner. Large rooms, alley access. Large rooms, alley access, 2 large storage sheds, and a extra-large covered and enclosed patio. This home also features a walk-in pantry, walk in closets, dishwasher, Hardwood and Tile floors, (no carpet), zero scaped front yard, and an extra-large walk-in tiled shower! Attached garage with opener. Many more updates! Priced very well. Come take a look!
Key facts
- Alley access
- Large storage sheds
- Walk in closets
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Carport (1 car); Alley access; On-site storage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Frame construction
- Construction: Built on slab and pier/pillar foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Storage; Porch; Privacy fencing; Workshop
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Laminate counters; Ceiling fans; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $183k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($397/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (0.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $180k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Santa Rita El (math 67% / reading 57%, grade B, #321 of 4,322 statewide, top 8%, 371 students, 40% FRL); Lone Star Middle (math 28% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 903 students, 63% FRL); Central H S (math 22% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,029 of 1,632 statewide, top 64%, 3,065 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $51k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.78%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $205,759
- List price
- $182,900
- Delta
- -11.11%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1902 W Twohig Ave | 0.16mi | 3/4.0 (-1) | 1,688 (+5%) | 3mo | $237,500 | $141 | 67 |
| 1920 W Avenue J | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,404 (-13%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $146 | 63 |
| 1855 W Concho Ave | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,416 (-12%) | 4mo | $249,500 | $176 | 61 |
| 2013 Conchita Ave | 0.03mi | 3/4.0 (-1) | 1,404 (-13%) | 3mo | $234,500 | $167 | 60 |
| 311 S Jackson St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,426 (-11%) | 1mo | $149,000 | $104 | 58 |
| 2701 San Antonio St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 1,676 (+4%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $134 | 53 |
| 2704 W Beauregard Ave | 0.64mi | 4/4.0 | 1,546 (-4%) | 2mo | $219,900 | $142 | 53 |
| 2674 W Ave Ave N | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,456 (-9%) | 4mo | $219,000 | $150 | 47 |
| 2609 W Beauregard Ave | 0.51mi | 3/4.0 (-1) | 1,481 (-8%) | 2mo | $187,500 | $127 | 47 |
| 302 N Madison St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,459 (-9%) | 2mo | $149,900 | $103 | 44 |
| 2821 W Twohig Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,768 (+10%) | 4mo | $199,900 | $113 | 40 |
| 10 N Jefferson St | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,410 (-12%) | 7mo | $227,000 | $161 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 5.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $107,071
- Equity at exit
- $164,771
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.36×
- Total profit
- $325,761
- Equity at exit
- $355,334
Cash invested: $51,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76901
- Home prices YoY
- 6.4%
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 331
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,821 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$959
- Tax from tax record
- −$370 /mo · $4,442/yr
- Insurance
- −$76
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $33
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $137 | -5% $85 | +0% $33 | +5% $-19 | +10% $-70 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-111 | -5% $-39 | +0% $33 | +5% $105 | +10% $177 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $125 | -0.5pp $80 | base $33 | +0.5pp $-14 | +1.0pp $-62 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,725
- Closing costs
- $5,487
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2430 Rio Grande St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 210 N Jefferson St #210 San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1706 | $1,600 | $0.94 | 22d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1835 Willow St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1267 | $1,750 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2013 Rosemont Dr San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 22d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 417 N Jefferson St San Angelo, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1940 | $2,350 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 711 N Monroe St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1345 | $1,500 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2425 Waco St San Angelo, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $1,395 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2756 Sac Ave San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1461 | $1,650 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3344 Trinity Ave San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1545 | $1,900 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3207 Trinity Ave San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $1,995 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2102 Webster St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1233 | $1,750 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2804 Abilene St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2629 Forest Park Ave San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $1,895 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1405 Hassell St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,950 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2431 College Hills Blvd San Angelo, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $1,609 | $1.57 | 22d | 17 | 1.45mi |
| 1210 Guthrie St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1157 | $1,400 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2548 A and M Ave San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 22d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $182,900 Pending 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $182,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $182,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $182,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $182,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-14$182,900 Active 591-char remark
-
2026-03-17price $186,000
-
2025-10-14price $189,000
-
2025-10-07$193,800 Active
-
2025-07-01$198,900 Active
-
2025-05-27price $201,900
-
2025-02-27$206,900 Active
-
2025-02-05$212,900 Active
-
2025-01-08price $212,900
-
2024-11-28price $217,900
-
2024-11-18status Active
-
2024-09-07$219,900 Active
-
2024-06-20$224,900 Active
-
2024-06-13price $224,900
-
2024-05-13price $229,900
-
2024-04-16price $236,500
-
2024-03-21price $241,500
-
2024-02-10$246,500 Active
-
2016-12-16soldstatus
-
2016-12-09soldstatus
-
2015-09-15soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,442 · $370/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,442 · $370/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,853
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,245
- − Property taxes
- −$4,442
- − Insurance
- −$914
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,748
- − Management
- −$1,748
- − Depreciation
- −$5,321
- Taxable loss
- −$2,566
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$616
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,013/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Angelo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838700
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,501
- Composite
- 25.56/100
- National rank
- #7427
- State rank
- #627 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Angelo
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5030
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Angelo, TX
- County
- Tom Green County · 113,188 people
- City population
- 81,357
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,831
- Household income
- $69,450
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1034.0
Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 135,110 people
- By 2030
- 144,090 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 162,561 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 182,158 · +34.8%
- By 2075
- 232,274 · +71.9%
- By 2100
- 268,218 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 17% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 21% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 47.96%
- Current HPI
- 798.58
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.78%
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-25.8% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Pending — SAAR TX
- 2026-05-14 Listed $182,900 SAAR TX
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $186,000 SAAR TX
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $189,000 SAAR TX
- 2025-10-07 Listed $193,800 SAAR TX
- 2025-07-01 Listed $198,900 SAAR TX
- 2025-05-27 Price Changed $201,900 SAAR TX
- 2025-02-27 Listed $206,900 SAAR TX
- 2025-02-05 Listed $212,900 SAAR TX
- 2025-01-08 Price Changed $212,900 SAAR TX
- 2024-11-28 Price Changed $217,900 SAAR TX
- 2024-11-18 Relisted — SAAR TX
- 2024-09-07 Listed $219,900 SAAR TX
- 2024-06-20 Listed $224,900 SAAR TX
- 2024-06-13 Price Changed $224,900 SAAR TX
- 2024-05-13 Price Changed $229,900 SAAR TX
- 2024-04-16 Price Changed $236,500 SAAR TX
- 2024-03-21 Price Changed $241,500 SAAR TX
- 2024-02-10 Listed $246,500 SAAR TX
- 2016-12-16 Sold (MLS) — SAAR TX
- 2016-12-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-09-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,442 · +15.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…