133 Sunny Ln · Branson West, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Appreciation +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in the highly desirable Reeds Spring School District, this 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home sits on an oversized lot of over half an acre--offering space, comfort, and convenience all in one. Recent updates have been started and shine throughout the kitchen and main living areas, including refreshed cabinetry, countertops, paint, and flooring, creating a clean and inviting atmosphere. A custom mudroom adds both function and charm, perfect for everyday living. Enjoy a well-designed split floor plan that provides privacy and flexibility for families or guests. Tucked away at the back of the Catamount Subdivision, this home offers a quiet setting while still being just minutes from everything you need. As a bonus, a detached oversized outbuilding offers ample storage space and the perfect setup for a workshop, hobby room, or additional flex space. A rare combination of space, updates, and location--this one is ready to welcome you home.
Key facts
- Recent updates
- Split floor plan
- Quiet setting
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $175k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $220 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (8.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $160k (8.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.3% in Branson West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#830 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, housing D, schools F.
- Reeds Spring R-IV (rural): math 34% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #182 of 324 in MO (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 341 active listings in the ZIP; 191 units permitted in Stone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stone County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.38%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $299,000
- List price
- $174,900
- Delta
- -41.51%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-8,321
- Equity at exit
- $32,584
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $15,854
- Equity at exit
- $26,537
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65737
- Home prices YoY
- -0.9%
- Active inventory
- 341
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,601 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $662/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $220
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $174,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $174,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $174,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $174,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $174,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $174,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $174,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $174,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $174,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $174,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $174,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $184,900 949-char remark
Show marketing remark (949 chars)
Located in the highly desirable Reeds Spring School District, this 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home sits on an oversized lot of over half an acre--offering space, comfort, and convenience all in one. Recent updates have been started and shine throughout the kitchen and main living areas, including refreshed cabinetry, countertops, paint, and flooring, creating a clean and inviting atmosphere. A custom mudroom adds both function and charm, perfect for everyday living. Enjoy a well-designed split floor plan that provides privacy and flexibility for families or guests. Tucked away at the back of the Catamount Subdivision, this home offers a quiet setting while still being just minutes from everything you need. As a bonus, a detached oversized outbuilding offers ample storage space and the perfect setup for a workshop, hobby room, or additional flex space. A rare combination of space, updates, and location--this one is ready to welcome you home.
-
2026-04-09$199,900 Active 949-char remark
Show marketing remark (949 chars)
Located in the highly desirable Reeds Spring School District, this 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home sits on an oversized lot of over half an acre--offering space, comfort, and convenience all in one. Recent updates have been started and shine throughout the kitchen and main living areas, including refreshed cabinetry, countertops, paint, and flooring, creating a clean and inviting atmosphere. A custom mudroom adds both function and charm, perfect for everyday living. Enjoy a well-designed split floor plan that provides privacy and flexibility for families or guests. Tucked away at the back of the Catamount Subdivision, this home offers a quiet setting while still being just minutes from everything you need. As a bonus, a detached oversized outbuilding offers ample storage space and the perfect setup for a workshop, hobby room, or additional flex space. A rare combination of space, updates, and location--this one is ready to welcome you home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $662 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,697 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,035/yr (+$86/mo · 156.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,211
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$662
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,537
- − Management
- −$1,537
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable loss
- −$284
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$68
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,702/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen, bathrooms, and flooring. It has a good roof and exterior, but needs repairs and maintenance to its interior and systems.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen cabinets — several cabinets are damaged and need replacement
- Major kitchen countertops — countertops are worn and need replacement
- Major kitchen appliances — appliances are outdated and need replacement
- Major bathroom fixtures — fixtures are outdated and need replacement
- Major bathroom cabinetry — cabinetry is outdated and needs replacement
- Major flooring — hardwood flooring is worn and needs replacement
Value-add opportunities
- Resale new kitchen cabinets and countertops — new cabinets and countertops will modernize the kitchen and increase its appeal
- Resale new flooring — new flooring will improve the home's overall appearance and increase its value
- Resale new bathroom fixtures and cabinetry — new fixtures and cabinetry will modernize the bathrooms and increase their appeal
- Resale paint interior walls and ceiling treatments — fresh paint and updated ceiling treatments will improve the home's overall appearance and increase its value
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — improved landscaping and curb appeal will increase the home's overall appeal and increase its value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · several cabinets are damaged and need replacement | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| kitchen countertops · countertops are worn and need replacement | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| kitchen appliances · appliances are outdated and need replacement | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · fixtures are outdated and need replacement | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom cabinetry · cabinetry is outdated and needs replacement | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · hardwood flooring is worn and needs replacement | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $90,000–300,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale new kitchen cabinets and countertops — new cabinets and countertops will modernize the kitchen and increase its appeal ↑
- Resale new flooring — new flooring will improve the home's overall appearance and increase its value ↑
- Resale new bathroom fixtures and cabinetry — new fixtures and cabinetry will modernize the bathrooms and increase their appeal ↑
- Resale paint interior walls and ceiling treatments — fresh paint and updated ceiling treatments will improve the home's overall appearance and increase its value ↑
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — improved landscaping and curb appeal will increase the home's overall appeal and increase its value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Reeds Spring R-IV
- NCES district ID
- 2926160
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,158
- Composite
- 32.06/100
- National rank
- #5819
- State rank
- #182 of 324 in MO
Livability — Branson West
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #830
- US rank
- #24583
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Branson West, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,279
Population outlook (Stone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,147 people
- By 2030
- 26,405 · -6.2%
- By 2040
- 22,762 · -19.1%
- By 2050
- 19,706 · -30.0%
- By 2075
- 14,742 · -47.6%
- By 2100
- 10,832 · -61.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Stone
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.4) · D 18.9% · R 80.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.1pp toward R · 2008: -37.3pp · 2024: -61.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.4 2020: R+61.1 2016: R+62.1 2012: R+49.2 2008: R+37.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.17%
- Current HPI
- 239.032
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-7.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $184,900 SOMO
- 2026-04-09 Listed $199,900 SOMO
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $662 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…