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133 Sunny Ln
C+ Composite 60.22
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$174,900

133 Sunny Ln · Branson West, MO 65737
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,782 sqft · Other · 71 Days on market
Built 1999 Fair condition 0.60 ac lot $98/sqft · 42% below area Est $299k · 42% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the highly desirable Reeds Spring School District, this 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home sits on an oversized lot of over half an acre--offering space, comfort, and convenience all in one. Recent updates have been started and shine throughout the kitchen and main living areas, including refreshed cabinetry, countertops, paint, and flooring, creating a clean and inviting atmosphere. A custom mudroom adds both function and charm, perfect for everyday living. Enjoy a well-designed split floor plan that provides privacy and flexibility for families or guests. Tucked away at the back of the Catamount Subdivision, this home offers a quiet setting while still being just minutes from everything you need. As a bonus, a detached oversized outbuilding offers ample storage space and the perfect setup for a workshop, hobby room, or additional flex space. A rare combination of space, updates, and location--this one is ready to welcome you home.

Key facts

  • Recent updates
  • Split floor plan
  • Quiet setting

Tags

OVERSIZED LOTRECENT UPDATESCUSTOM MUDROOMSPLIT FLOOR PLANQUIET SETTINGDETACHED OVERSIZED OUTBUILDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $175k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $220 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (8.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (8.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.3% in Branson West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#830 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, housing D, schools F.
  • Reeds Spring R-IV (rural): math 34% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #182 of 324 in MO (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 341 active listings in the ZIP; 191 units permitted in Stone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stone County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $160,094 (8.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.80%
Cash-on-cash
5.38%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$299,000
List price
$174,900
Delta
-41.51%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
17 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.3%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-8,321
Equity at exit
$32,584
10-year hold
IRR
4.0%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$15,854
Equity at exit
$26,537

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65737

Home prices YoY
-0.9%
Active inventory
341
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,601 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$917
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $662/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$336
Net cashflow
$220

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,323
Max offer price $174,900
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,725
Closing costs
$5,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $174,900 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $174,900 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $174,900 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $174,900 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $174,900 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $174,900 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $174,900 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $174,900 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $174,900 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $174,900 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $174,900 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $174,900 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $174,900 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $174,900 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $174,900 Active 52 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $174,900 Active 51 DOM
  17. 2026-04-30
    price $184,900 949-char remark
    Show marketing remark (949 chars)

    Located in the highly desirable Reeds Spring School District, this 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home sits on an oversized lot of over half an acre--offering space, comfort, and convenience all in one. Recent updates have been started and shine throughout the kitchen and main living areas, including refreshed cabinetry, countertops, paint, and flooring, creating a clean and inviting atmosphere. A custom mudroom adds both function and charm, perfect for everyday living. Enjoy a well-designed split floor plan that provides privacy and flexibility for families or guests. Tucked away at the back of the Catamount Subdivision, this home offers a quiet setting while still being just minutes from everything you need. As a bonus, a detached oversized outbuilding offers ample storage space and the perfect setup for a workshop, hobby room, or additional flex space. A rare combination of space, updates, and location--this one is ready to welcome you home.

  18. 2026-04-09
    listed $199,900 Active 949-char remark
    Show marketing remark (949 chars)

    Located in the highly desirable Reeds Spring School District, this 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home sits on an oversized lot of over half an acre--offering space, comfort, and convenience all in one. Recent updates have been started and shine throughout the kitchen and main living areas, including refreshed cabinetry, countertops, paint, and flooring, creating a clean and inviting atmosphere. A custom mudroom adds both function and charm, perfect for everyday living. Enjoy a well-designed split floor plan that provides privacy and flexibility for families or guests. Tucked away at the back of the Catamount Subdivision, this home offers a quiet setting while still being just minutes from everything you need. As a bonus, a detached oversized outbuilding offers ample storage space and the perfect setup for a workshop, hobby room, or additional flex space. A rare combination of space, updates, and location--this one is ready to welcome you home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$662 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,697 · $141/mo
Expected delta
+$1,035/yr (+$86/mo · 156.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,211
− Mortgage interest
−$9,797
− Property taxes
−$662
− Insurance
−$874
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,537
− Management
−$1,537
− Depreciation
−$5,088
Taxable loss
−$284
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$68
After-tax cash flow
$2,702/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen, bathrooms, and flooring. It has a good roof and exterior, but needs repairs and maintenance to its interior and systems.

Repairs flagged

  • Major kitchen cabinets — several cabinets are damaged and need replacement
  • Major kitchen countertops — countertops are worn and need replacement
  • Major kitchen appliances — appliances are outdated and need replacement
  • Major bathroom fixtures — fixtures are outdated and need replacement
  • Major bathroom cabinetry — cabinetry is outdated and needs replacement
  • Major flooring — hardwood flooring is worn and needs replacement

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale new kitchen cabinets and countertops — new cabinets and countertops will modernize the kitchen and increase its appeal
  • Resale new flooring — new flooring will improve the home's overall appearance and increase its value
  • Resale new bathroom fixtures and cabinetry — new fixtures and cabinetry will modernize the bathrooms and increase their appeal
  • Resale paint interior walls and ceiling treatments — fresh paint and updated ceiling treatments will improve the home's overall appearance and increase its value
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — improved landscaping and curb appeal will increase the home's overall appeal and increase its value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · several cabinets are damaged and need replacement Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen countertops · countertops are worn and need replacement Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen appliances · appliances are outdated and need replacement Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · fixtures are outdated and need replacement Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom cabinetry · cabinetry is outdated and needs replacement Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · hardwood flooring is worn and needs replacement Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 6 items $90,000–300,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale new kitchen cabinets and countertops — new cabinets and countertops will modernize the kitchen and increase its appeal
  • Resale new flooring — new flooring will improve the home's overall appearance and increase its value
  • Resale new bathroom fixtures and cabinetry — new fixtures and cabinetry will modernize the bathrooms and increase their appeal
  • Resale paint interior walls and ceiling treatments — fresh paint and updated ceiling treatments will improve the home's overall appearance and increase its value
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — improved landscaping and curb appeal will increase the home's overall appeal and increase its value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Reeds Spring R-IV
NCES district ID
2926160
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$42,158
Composite
32.06/100
National rank
#5819
State rank
#182 of 324 in MO

Livability — Branson West

Score
53/100
State rank
#830
US rank
#24583

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing D Health & safety C- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Branson West, MO
Population (ZIP)
8,279

Population outlook (Stone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,147 people
By 2030
26,405 · -6.2%
By 2040
22,762 · -19.1%
By 2050
19,706 · -30.0%
By 2075
14,742 · -47.6%
By 2100
10,832 · -61.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Stone

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.4) · D 18.9% · R 80.3%
2008→2024 swing
-24.1pp toward R · 2008: -37.3pp · 2024: -61.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.4 2020: R+61.1 2016: R+62.1 2012: R+49.2 2008: R+37.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.17%
Current HPI
239.032
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $184,900 SOMO
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $199,900 SOMO

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $662 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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