145 Lake Nancy Ln #125 · West Palm Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large corner 2/2 unit with formal dining area. All tile floors except master bedroom. Lg eat-in kitchen. Short walk to satellite pool or Phase B Clubhouse. One small Pet OK. Unit needs some updating. Active 55+ community with full time social director. Courtesy Bus 2 days a wk to grocery, malls, shops etc. 24/7 guard gated.
Key facts
- $799 HOA
- Parking
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $127 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#75 in FL, #1,255 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Benoist Farms Elementary School (math 22% / reading 28%, grade F, #2,030 of 2,144 statewide, top 95%, 421 students, 80% FRL); Jeaga Middle School (math 18% / reading 30%, grade F, #532 of 571 statewide, top 94%, 941 students, 78% FRL); Royal Palm Beach High School (math 22% / reading 38%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 2,343 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 52% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-23 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 574 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $51k; list at $100k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.44%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.10×
- Total profit
- $58,798
- Equity at exit
- $89,998
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.72×
- Total profit
- $160,036
- Equity at exit
- $194,084
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33411
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 574
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,965 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $736/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$799
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $127
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $183 | -5% $155 | +0% $127 | +5% $98 | +10% $70 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-29 | -5% $49 | +0% $127 | +5% $204 | +10% $282 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $177 | -0.5pp $152 | base $127 | +0.5pp $101 | +1.0pp $74 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 Lake Nancy Dr #241 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1193 | $1,900 | $1.59 | 11d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1139 Lake Terry Dr Unit A West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 918 | $2,300 | $2.51 | 21d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 108 Lake Nancy Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 967 | $1,800 | $1.86 | 25d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1153 Lake Victoria Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,725 | $2.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1477 Lake Crystal Dr Unit D West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,975 | $2.13 | 17d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1465 Lake Crystal Dr Unit A West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,900 | $2.10 | 2d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1440 Lake Crystal Dr Unit B West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,900 | $2.10 | 0d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 221 Lake Meryl Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1455 Lake Crystal Dr Unit H West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,850 | $2.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1455 Lake Crystal Dr Unit H West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,850 | $2.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1525 Lake Crystal Dr Unit C West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,800 | $1.99 | 8d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1453 Lake Crystal Dr Unit D West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,900 | $2.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1020 Lake Victoria Dr Unit B West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 922 | $2,200 | $2.39 | 18d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1215 N Benoist Farms Rd #203 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,750 | $2.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1440 Windorah Way Unit D West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,900 | $2.10 | 4d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1545 Lake Crystal Dr Unit D West Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,675 | $2.39 | 14d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1133 Golden Lakes Blvd #813 West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $2,000 | $1.90 | 0d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1133 Golden Lakes Blvd #813 West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 999 | $2,050 | $2.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1133 Golden Lakes Blvd #813 West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 999 | $2,050 | $2.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1542 Lake Crystal Dr Unit H West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,900 | $2.11 | 22d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1542 Lake Crystal Dr Unit H West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,900 | $2.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1500 Windorah Way Unit D West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,850 | $2.05 | 8d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1500 Windorah Way Unit D West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,850 | $2.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1547 Lake Crystal Dr Unit A West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,900 | $2.11 | 14d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1547 Lake Crystal Dr Unit A West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,950 | $2.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1421 Windorah Way Unit E West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,975 | $2.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1421 Windorah Way Unit E West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,975 | $2.18 | 15d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1103 Golden Lakes Blvd #1013 West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 999 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 3d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1103 Golden Lakes Blvd #1011 West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 999 | $2,100 | $2.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 959 Lake Terry Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 138 Lake Frances Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 812 | $1,845 | $2.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1461 Windorah Way Unit E West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,900 | $2.10 | 8d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1540 Windorah Way Unit D West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,850 | $2.05 | 19d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1063 Golden Lakes Blvd #322 West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 999 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1564 Lake Crystal Dr Unit F West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,850 | $2.05 | 17d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 161 Lake Frances Dr Unit 161 West Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 704 | $1,430 | $2.03 | 8d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1101 N Benoist Farms Rd #106 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,700 | $2.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1566 Lake Crystal Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1566 Lake Crystal Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 19d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1080 N Benoist Farms Rd #204 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,500 | $2.12 | 17d | 1 | 0.40mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $799 · $9,588/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-01status Pending
-
2026-03-29$99,900 Active
-
2014-10-29soldstatus $51,000
-
2014-10-27historical 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
Large corner 2/2 unit with formal dining area. All tile floors except master bedroom. Lg eat-in kitchen. Short walk to satellite pool or Phase B Clubhouse. One small Pet OK. Unit needs some updating. Active 55+ community with full time social director. Courtesy Bus 2 days a wk to grocery, malls, shops etc. 24/7 guard gated.
-
2014-10-24soldstatus $51,000 Closed 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
Large corner 2/2 unit with formal dining area. All tile floors except master bedroom. Lg eat-in kitchen. Short walk to satellite pool or Phase B Clubhouse. One small Pet OK. Unit needs some updating. Active 55+ community with full time social director. Courtesy Bus 2 days a wk to grocery, malls, shops etc. 24/7 guard gated.
-
2014-09-24status Pending 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
Large corner 2/2 unit with formal dining area. All tile floors except master bedroom. Lg eat-in kitchen. Short walk to satellite pool or Phase B Clubhouse. One small Pet OK. Unit needs some updating. Active 55+ community with full time social director. Courtesy Bus 2 days a wk to grocery, malls, shops etc. 24/7 guard gated.
-
2014-09-22$54,900 Active 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
Large corner 2/2 unit with formal dining area. All tile floors except master bedroom. Lg eat-in kitchen. Short walk to satellite pool or Phase B Clubhouse. One small Pet OK. Unit needs some updating. Active 55+ community with full time social director. Courtesy Bus 2 days a wk to grocery, malls, shops etc. 24/7 guard gated.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $736 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $829 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$94/yr (+$8/mo · 12.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,583
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$736
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,887
- − Management
- −$1,887
- − HOA
- −$9,588
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $484
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$116
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,404/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Palm Beach
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #1255
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 75,299
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 76,863
- Household income
- $92,591
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1870.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 23% Two or more races 16% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 6% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 17.04%
- Current HPI
- 903.78
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.85%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+82.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-29 Listed $99,900 Beaches MLS
- 2014-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
- 2014-10-27 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2014-10-24 Sold (MLS) $51,000 Beaches MLS
- 2014-09-24 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2014-09-22 Listed $54,900 Beaches MLS
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $736 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…