106 Martin Luther King Dr · Columbia, MS
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3-bedroom, 2-bath cottage-style home located just minutes from historic downtown Columbia. This property offers a unique opportunity for someone looking to renovate and restore a home with strong potential. Major systems have already been updated such as HVAC and hot water heater, including a roof that is only 5 years old, helping reduce some of the larger upfront renovation.
Key facts
- Cottage-style home
- Roof 5 years old
- 0.3 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Has a carport (1 space); Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Wood siding exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: No specific exterior features listed; Lot dimensions approximately 70 x 185
Interior
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: No built-in appliances listed; Wood floors; 3 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $59k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#154 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B, housing B; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Columbia School District (town): math 39% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #45 of 130 in MS (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.78%
- DSCR
- 3.08
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $4,574
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $22,966
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39429
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,331 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $217
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $258 | -5% $238 | +0% $217 | +5% $197 | +10% $177 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $112 | -5% $165 | +0% $217 | +5% $270 | +10% $323 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $247 | -0.5pp $232 | base $217 | +0.5pp $202 | +1.0pp $187 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $59,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $59,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $59,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $59,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$59,000 Active
-
2026-03-19historical
-
2026-02-24price $69,900
-
2026-02-17price $74,900
-
2026-02-11price $79,900
-
2026-02-10$99,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,976
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$5,414
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,278
- − Management
- −$1,278
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $2,100
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$504
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,106/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This single-family home requires moderate renovations to improve its curb appeal and functionality, with a focus on landscaping, exterior painting, and interior updates.
Repairs flagged
- Major Driveway — Severe wear and unevenness.
- Major Landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt.
- Major Paint — Worn and dull appearance on walls and exterior.
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — No visible damage, but may need updating for resale value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and exterior painting — Enhances curb appeal and resale value.
- Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics.
- Both Appliance upgrades — Modernizes the home and attracts more buyers/renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Driveway · Severe wear and unevenness. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping · Overgrown and unkempt. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Paint · Worn and dull appearance on walls and exterior. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · No visible damage, but may need updating for resale value. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $45,500–153,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and exterior painting — Enhances curb appeal and resale value. ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics. ↑
- Both Appliance upgrades — Modernizes the home and attracts more buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801170
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,192
- Composite
- 31.87/100
- National rank
- #5866
- State rank
- #45 of 130 in MS
Livability — Columbia
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #154
- US rank
- #15293
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbia, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,583
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,813 people
- By 2030
- 21,301 · -6.6%
- By 2040
- 18,176 · -20.3%
- By 2050
- 15,215 · -33.3%
- By 2075
- 9,388 · -58.8%
- By 2100
- 5,335 · -76.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 34% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.6) · D 28.7% · R 70.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: -31.4pp · 2024: -41.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.6 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.11%
- Current HPI
- 132.3278
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-40.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $59,000 HAAR
- 2026-03-19 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $69,900 MLSU
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $74,900 MLSU
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $79,900 MLSU
- 2026-02-10 Listed $99,900 MLSU
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…