181 Main St · Sebastian, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well maintained partially furnished with a nice location in Sebastian Highlands. Just a few minutes to the boat dock, restaurants, beaches & shopping. Newer septic drain field in 2015, formal & informal dining areas w/ split floor plan. Huge owners suite w/ walk-in closet & separate updated master bath. Separate laundry room, large kitchen w/ plenty of counter space and a huge private back yard if you would like to put a inground pool in or just entertain family or friends. Large covered lanai w/ A/C.
Key facts
- Newer roof
- 0.3 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot about 0.3 acres (approximately 1/4 to less than 1/2 acre)
- HOA & community: No association; No association approval required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available and connected
- Home design: Single Family Residence; Residential property; One level; Faces east
- Construction: Other construction materials; Other roof; Slab foundation; Built on one level
- Exterior features: Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $285k (4.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $285k (4.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.4% in Sebastian — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#89 in FL, #1,421 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, health & safety A; Watch: schools D+, amenities D-.
- Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 412 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,855/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 646% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.70%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $339,710
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 441 Avocado Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,467 (-9%) | 4mo | $325,000 | $222 | 74 |
| 572 Citrus Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,445 (-10%) | 0mo | $285,000 | $197 | 70 |
| 313 Sandcrest Cir | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,656 (+3%) | 6mo | $349,900 | $211 | 70 |
| 331 Easy St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,529 (-5%) | 4mo | $342,500 | $224 | 67 |
| 550 Park Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (+1%) | 2mo | $312,000 | $193 | 65 |
| 111 Sandcrest Cir | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,844 (+14%) | 2mo | $349,900 | $190 | 60 |
| 567 Gossamer Wing Way | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,711 (+6%) | 3mo | $545,000 | $319 | 58 |
| 605 Monarch Way | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,697 (+5%) | 6mo | $375,000 | $221 | 56 |
| 402 Toledo St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,820 (+13%) | 3mo | $370,000 | $203 | 48 |
| 356 Toledo St | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 | 1,848 (+15%) | 6mo | $372,000 | $201 | 45 |
| 418 Fleming St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,844 (+14%) | 0mo | $400,000 | $217 | 41 |
| 502 Park Ave | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,402 (-13%) | 3mo | $295,000 | $210 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-26,851
- Equity at exit
- $44,582
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $34,116
- Equity at exit
- $25,852
Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32958
- Home prices YoY
- -13.1%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 412
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,855 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,568
- Tax from tax record
- −$374 /mo · $4,488/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$599
- Net cashflow
- $189
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $358 | -5% $273 | +0% $189 | +5% $104 | +10% $19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-37 | -5% $76 | +0% $189 | +5% $301 | +10% $414 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $339 | -0.5pp $265 | base $189 | +0.5pp $111 | +1.0pp $32 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,750
- Closing costs
- $8,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 422 Avocado Ave Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1698 | $3,900 | $2.30 | 21d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 406 Easy St Sebastian, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1874 | $2,100 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 462 Lloyd St Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $2,400 | $1.53 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 351 Del Monte Rd Unit B Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,900 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 351 Del Monte Rd Unit B Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,900 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 393 S Wimbrow Dr Apt A Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,900 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 243 Harp Ter Unit A Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,885 | $1.64 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 11171 Airport Dr Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1191 | $1,900 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 246 S Wimbrow Dr Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $3,000 | $2.20 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $299,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $299,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $299,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $299,000
-
2026-05-13$319,000 Active
-
2022-11-15soldstatus $300,000
-
2022-11-07status Pending 524-char remark
Show marketing remark (524 chars)
Well maintained partially furnished with a nice location in Sebastian Highlands. Just a few minutes to the boat dock, restaurants, beaches & shopping. Newer septic drain field in 2015, formal & informal dining areas w/ split floor plan. Huge owners suite w/ walk-in closet & separate updated master bath. Separate laundry room, large kitchen w/ plenty of counter space and a huge private back yard if you would like to put a inground pool in or just entertain family or friends. Large covered lanai w/ A/C.
-
2022-11-02soldstatus $300,000 Closed 524-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Well maintained partially furnished 3 bed 2 bath home. Great location that is minutes to the boat dock and beaches. Huge screed in under AC lanai. Split floorplan with a very large master bedroom. Separate laundry room with a utility shed in the backyard. Newer septic drain field 2015. Formally used as a rental, cash flows VERY well. Large backyard and room for boat pad out front.
-
2022-11-02soldstatus $300,000 Closed 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Well maintained partially furnished 3 bed 2 bath home. Great location that is minutes to the boat dock and beaches. Huge screed in under AC lanai. Split floorplan with a very large master bedroom. Separate laundry room with a utility shed in the backyard. Newer septic drain field 2015. Formally used as a rental, cash flows VERY well. Large backyard and room for boat pad out front.
-
2022-09-22status Pending 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Well maintained partially furnished 3 bed 2 bath home. Great location that is minutes to the boat dock and beaches. Huge screed in under AC lanai. Split floorplan with a very large master bedroom. Separate laundry room with a utility shed in the backyard. Newer septic drain field 2015. Formally used as a rental, cash flows VERY well. Large backyard and room for boat pad out front.
-
2022-09-16historical Active Under Contract 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Well maintained partially furnished 3 bed 2 bath home. Great location that is minutes to the boat dock and beaches. Huge screed in under AC lanai. Split floorplan with a very large master bedroom. Separate laundry room with a utility shed in the backyard. Newer septic drain field 2015. Formally used as a rental, cash flows VERY well. Large backyard and room for boat pad out front.
-
2022-09-01$300,000 Active 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Well maintained partially furnished 3 bed 2 bath home. Great location that is minutes to the boat dock and beaches. Huge screed in under AC lanai. Split floorplan with a very large master bedroom. Separate laundry room with a utility shed in the backyard. Newer septic drain field 2015. Formally used as a rental, cash flows VERY well. Large backyard and room for boat pad out front.
-
2022-08-31$300,000 Active 524-char remark
Show marketing remark (524 chars)
Well maintained partially furnished with a nice location in Sebastian Highlands. Just a few minutes to the boat dock, restaurants, beaches & shopping. Newer septic drain field in 2015, formal & informal dining areas w/ split floor plan. Huge owners suite w/ walk-in closet & separate updated master bath. Separate laundry room, large kitchen w/ plenty of counter space and a huge private back yard if you would like to put a inground pool in or just entertain family or friends. Large covered lanai w/ A/C.
-
2020-10-01price $224,999
-
2020-08-27price $248,000
-
2020-06-26$259,900 Active
-
2006-12-05soldstatus $156,900
-
1999-05-25soldstatus $85,000
-
1985-08-01soldstatus $67,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,488 · $374/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,488 · $374/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,256
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,749
- − Property taxes
- −$4,488
- − Insurance
- −$1,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,740
- − Management
- −$2,740
- − Depreciation
- −$8,698
- Taxable loss
- −$2,655
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$637
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,900/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River
- NCES district ID
- 1200930
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,597
- Composite
- 42.45/100
- National rank
- #3218
- State rank
- #35 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sebastian
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #89
- US rank
- #1421
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sebastian, FL
- County
- Indian River County · 143,738 people
- City population
- 30,023
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,023
- Household income
- $66,840
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 646.0
Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 165,104 people
- By 2030
- 172,869 · +4.7%
- By 2040
- 185,640 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 194,465 · +17.8%
- By 2075
- 211,115 · +27.9%
- By 2100
- 211,781 · +28.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Indian River
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.85%
- Current HPI
- 330.1691
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.22%
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+346.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $299,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-13 Listed $319,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-07 Pending — SCMLS
- 2022-11-02 Sold (MLS) $300,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2022-11-02 Sold (MLS) $300,000 SCMLS
- 2022-09-22 Pending — RAIRCMLS
- 2022-09-16 Contingent — RAIRCMLS
- 2022-09-01 Listed $300,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2022-08-31 Listed $300,000 SCMLS
- 2020-10-01 Price Changed $224,999 RAIRCMLS
- 2020-08-27 Price Changed $248,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2020-06-26 Listed $259,900 RAIRCMLS
- 2006-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $156,900 Public Records
- 1999-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 1985-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $4,488 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…