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403 S Adams St
C+ Composite 61.31
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

403 S Adams St · Nevada, MO 64772
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,962 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 97 Days on market
Built 1880 $51/sqft · 32% below area Est $146k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A historical Nevada home. The current owners have some health issues, so the home doesn't show as well as they would like. It's a good solid house but needs refreshed. It has many positive features including central heat & air, hardwood floors, 2 car detached garage, lots of square footage, corner lot, deck, covered porch. .. It would be nice to see it freshly painted & changes made more fitting for the era of it's time to bring it back to it's glory! The owners have currently converted it into a 5 bedroom, but the wall & door that was added can easily be removed to open it back up. It has a flue from a woodstove in the past.

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Central heat and air
  • Deck

Tags

CENTRAL HEAT AND AIRHARDWOOD FLOORSCORNER LOTDECKCOVERED PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $169 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 5.0% in Nevada — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#519 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Nevada R-V (town): math 33% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #180 of 324 in MO (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Truman Elem. (math 25% / reading 41%, grade F, #744 of 1,115 statewide, top 67%, 500 students, 58% FRL); Nevada Middle (math 38% / reading 43%, grade F, #180 of 391 statewide, top 47%, 529 students, 54% FRL); Nevada High (math 38% / reading 52%, grade D-, #176 of 521 statewide, top 34%, 786 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 57 units permitted in Vernon County in 2024 (38 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Vernon County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,909 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.32%
Cash-on-cash
7.23%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$146,394
List price
$99,900
Delta
-31.76%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
325 S Ash St 0.08mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,790 (-9%) 0mo $1 74
628 S Clay St 0.21mi 3/3.0 1,848 (-6%) 3mo $183,000 $99 74
928 W Arch St 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,868 (-5%) 1mo $215,000 $115 69
710 W Ewing St 0.50mi 3/2.0 2,072 (+6%) 1mo $1 66
704 W Burton St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,964 (+0%) 6mo $167,500 $85 62
802 S Timberbrook Dr 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,723 (-12%) 1mo $228,000 $132 61
519 W Cherry St 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,712 (-13%) 6mo $162,700 $95 60
626 W Allison St 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,791 (-9%) 2mo $203,500 $114 59
429 N Washington St 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,871 (-5%) 8mo $1 58
805 W Sycamore St 0.33mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,205 (+12%) 8mo $1 50
514 N Washington St 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,842 (-6%) 7mo $179,900 $98 49
1115 S Cedar St 0.59mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,680 (-14%) 6mo $230,000 $137 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-5,456
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$9,046
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64772

Active inventory
105
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,039 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,041/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$218
Net cashflow
$169

Break-even live

Break-even rent $826
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $225 -5% $197 +0% $169 +5% $140 +10% $112
Rent -10% $87 -5% $128 +0% $169 +5% $210 +10% $251
Rate -1.0pp $219 -0.5pp $194 base $169 +0.5pp $143 +1.0pp $116

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
317 E Hickory St Nevada, MO 3.0 1.0 1296 $1,050 $0.81 45d 1 0.68mi
515 N Tower St Nevada, MO 3.0 1.0 1305 $1,025 $0.79 45d 1 0.88mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,900 Active 97 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,900 Active 96 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 94 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 93 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 92 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 91 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 89 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 88 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 85 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 84 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 83 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 82 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 79 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 78 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 77 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 76 DOM
  17. 2026-03-16
    listed $99,900 Active 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    A historical Nevada home. The current owners have some health issues, so the home doesn't show as well as they would like. It's a good solid house but needs refreshed. It has many positive features including central heat & air, hardwood floors, 2 car detached garage, lots of square footage, corner lot, deck, covered porch. .. It would be nice to see it freshly painted & changes made more fitting for the era of it's time to bring it back to it's glory! The owners have currently converted it into a 5 bedroom, but the wall & door that was added can easily be removed to open it back up. It has a flue from a woodstove in the past.

  18. 2024-07-30
    historical
  19. 2024-07-19
    listed $74,900 Active
  20. 2018-07-02
    soldstatus $69,900
  21. 2018-06-29
    soldstatus
  22. 2018-05-01
    listed $69,900
  23. 2015-06-03
    listed $69,900
  24. 2012-03-23
    listed $78,500
  25. 2009-04-21
    soldstatus
  26. 2008-05-05
    listed $79,900
  27. 1997-03-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,041 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,041 · $87/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,469
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,041
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$998
− Management
−$998
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$431
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$104
After-tax cash flow
$1,920/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nevada R-V
NCES district ID
2921840
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$38,804
Composite
32.14/100
National rank
#5792
State rank
#180 of 324 in MO

Livability — Nevada

Score
59/100
State rank
#519
US rank
#19644

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Nevada, MO
Population (ZIP)
12,930

Population outlook (Vernon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,169 people
By 2030
19,639 · -2.6%
By 2040
18,551 · -8.0%
By 2050
17,549 · -13.0%
By 2075
15,314 · -24.1%
By 2100
13,132 · -34.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Portuguese 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vernon

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.5) · D 19.8% · R 79.3%
2008→2024 swing
-37.5pp toward R · 2008: -22.0pp · 2024: -59.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.5 2020: R+57.2 2016: R+56.2 2012: R+37.3 2008: R+22.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.21%
Current HPI
150.7283
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $99,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-30 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-19 Listed $74,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
  • 2018-06-29 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-05-01 Listed $69,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-06-03 Listed $69,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-03-23 Listed $78,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-04-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-05-05 Listed $79,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-03-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,041 · +13.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…