8456 Mcgallion Rd · Silsbee, TX 77656

$150,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 63 Days on market

Built 1968 3.83 ac lot $149/sqft · 45% below area Est $270k · 44% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +18.9/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +5.9/10.0
• 1% rule +4.4/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Schools +2.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

THERE IS MOBILE HOME ON THE LAND, WEST OF THE HOME. NEEDS REPAIRS. WHICH IS INCLUDED IN THE PRICE. THERE ARE MANY BEAUTIFUL LARGE TREES, ALSO PECAN AND PEAR TREES. MANY AZALEA BUSHES. HOME NEEDS HELP.

Key facts

• Large trees
• Pear trees
• Pecan trees

Tags

• LARGE TREES
• PECAN TREES
• PEAR TREES
• AZALEA BUSHES

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $152 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (6.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $140k (6.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 5.2% in Silsbee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#263 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Silsbee ISD (town): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #614 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 358 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $140,316 (6.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.94% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.51%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.35%
• DSCR: 1.19
• GRM: 8.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $269,608
• List price: $150,000
• Delta: -44.36%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -9.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.65×
• Total profit: $-14,630
• Equity at exit: $22,365

10-year hold

• IRR: -0.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.99×
• Total profit: $-358
• Equity at exit: $12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77656

• Active inventory: 127
• Price-to-rent: 8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,403 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$787
• Tax from tax record: −$107 /mo · $1,284/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$295
• Net cashflow: $152

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,210

Max offer price $150,000

Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,500
• Closing costs: $4,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $150,000 Active 63 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $150,000 Active 62 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $150,000 Active 61 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $150,000 Active 60 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $150,000 Active 58 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $150,000 Active 55 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $150,000 Active 54 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $150,000 Active 53 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $150,000 Active 52 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 48 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 47 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 46 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 45 DOM
14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $150,000 Active 44 DOM
15. 2026-04-17
    listed $150,000 Active 200-char remark

    Show marketing remark (200 chars)

    THERE IS MOBILE HOME ON THE LAND, WEST OF THE HOME. NEEDS REPAIRS. WHICH IS INCLUDED IN THE PRICE. THERE ARE MANY BEAUTIFUL LARGE TREES, ALSO PECAN AND PEAR TREES. MANY AZALEA BUSHES. HOME NEEDS HELP.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,284 · $107/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,745 · $229/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,461/yr (+$122/mo · 113.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,838
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,402
• − Property taxes: −$1,284
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,347
• − Management: −$1,347
• − Depreciation: −$4,364
• Taxable loss: −$656
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$157
• After-tax cash flow: $1,986/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Silsbee ISD
• NCES district ID: 4840230
• Math proficiency: 25% ▼ -23.00%
• Reading proficiency: 36% ▼ -11.00%
• Median HH income: $44,907
• Composite: 26.09/100
• National rank: #7292
• State rank: #614 of 826 in TX

Livability — Silsbee

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #263
• US rank: #6215

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Hardin County · 39,783 people
• City population: 17,525
• Metro: Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
• Population (ZIP): 17,525
• Household income: $62,303
• Rent vs Own: 20.9% rent · 79.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 306.0

Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 57,780 people
• By 2030: 58,296 · +0.9%
• By 2040: 58,421 · +1.1%
• By 2050: 57,391 · -0.7%
• By 2075: 53,132 · -8.0%
• By 2100: 44,905 · -22.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (74%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 74% Black 14% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 4% Serbian 3% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hardin

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+75.8) · D 11.9% · R 87.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -61.2pp · 2024: -75.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+75.8 2020: R+73.8 2016: R+73.9 2012: R+67.6 2008: R+61.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -93.73%
• Current HPI: 141.1371
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-04-17 Listed $150,000 BBOR

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,284 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.