Triplex
1606 Foster Ave · Schenectady, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$315,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
3-Family Building updates made throughout the current ownership. Features 3 bedrooms Apartment first floor, 2 Bedrooms Apartment second floor. 1 Bedroom Apartment second floor. Tenant Pays Separate Utilities. Easy access to show. Call to view.
Key facts
- 3,049 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 197 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2×2bd/1.0ba + 1×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $359/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $315k).
- Recommended offer: $277k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 6.3% in Schenectady — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#167 in NY, #2,597 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
- Schenectady City School District (urban): math 38% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #556 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 154 units permitted in Schenectady County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,279/mo this rent would consume 81% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 1016% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Schenectady County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 197 days — a 12% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $315k implies a 215% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 197 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.66%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $347,508
- List price
- $315,000
- Delta
- -9.35%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1588 Foster Ave | 0.02mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,200 (+2%) | 6mo | $315,000 | $143 | 82 |
| 1695 Foster Ave | 0.15mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,208 (+2%) | 6mo | $244,000 | $111 | 75 |
| 1540 Foster Ave | 0.11mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,024 (-6%) | 7mo | $214,650 | $106 | 70 |
| 1712 Foster Ave | 0.17mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,332 (+8%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $120 | 68 |
| 515 South Ave | 0.56mi | 5/3.0 | 2,070 (-4%) | 6mo | $172,000 | $83 | 62 |
| 1610 Avenue A | 0.23mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,442 (+13%) | 5mo | $268,000 | $110 | 59 |
| 1708 Avenue A | 0.30mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,390 (+11%) | 4mo | $320,000 | $134 | 56 |
| 762 Eastern Ave | 0.69mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,205 (+2%) | 3mo | $269,900 | $122 | 53 |
| 1755 Avenue B | 0.38mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,400 (+11%) | 6mo | $325,000 | $135 | 50 |
| 1039 Wendell Ave | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,984 (-8%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $111 | 42 |
| 2139 Foster Ave | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,400 (+11%) | 2mo | $315,000 | $131 | 39 |
| 206 Front St | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,880 (-13%) | 2mo | $299,000 | $159 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $17,725
- Equity at exit
- $46,968
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.18×
- Total profit
- $104,380
- Equity at exit
- $27,235
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12308
- Home prices YoY
- -14.6%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 17.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,279 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax from tax record
- −$520 /mo · $6,237/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$899
- Net cashflow
- $1,078
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,970 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,485 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,485 |
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $1,309 |
| Total (3 units) | $4,279 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509 Nott St Unit 507 Schenectady, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,695 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1687 Avenue A Schenectady, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1672 | $2,300 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1747 Oneida St Schenectady, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $2,700 | $1.67 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1347 Union St Schenectady, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2188 | $3,750 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $315,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $315,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $315,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $315,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $315,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $315,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $315,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $315,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $315,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $315,000 Active 186 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $325,000 Active 182 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $325,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $325,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $325,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $325,000 Active 178 DOM
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2025-12-03$325,000 Active 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
3-Family Building updates made throughout the current ownership. Features 3 bedrooms Apartment first floor, 2 Bedrooms Apartment second floor. 1 Bedroom Apartment second floor. Tenant Pays Separate Utilities. Easy access to show. Call to view.
-
2022-03-15soldstatus $100,000
-
2022-03-01$100,000 Active 18-char remark
Show marketing remark (18 chars)
SOLD BEFORE PRINT!
-
2018-06-01historical
-
2017-10-31$74,900 New
-
2017-10-31historical
-
2017-04-20$79,900 New
-
2009-05-01historical
-
2008-09-15$79,900
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2002-09-06soldstatus $30,000
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2002-08-30soldstatus $30,000
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2002-07-07historical
-
1996-10-15$34,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,237 · $520/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,237 · $520/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $51,348
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$6,237
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,108
- − Management
- −$4,108
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable income
- $8,512
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,043
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,887/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Schenectady City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3626010
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▲ 12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,453
- Composite
- 30.2/100
- National rank
- #6309
- State rank
- #556 of 590 in NY
Livability — Schenectady
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #2597
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Schenectady, NY
- County
- Schenectady County · 141,369 people
- City population
- 141,369
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,511
- Household income
- $63,434
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1016.0
Population outlook (Schenectady County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 155,046 people
- By 2030
- 154,322 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 151,796 · -2.1%
- By 2050
- 148,621 · -4.1%
- By 2075
- 141,229 · -8.9%
- By 2100
- 126,014 · -18.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Schenectady
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 55.4% · R 44.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.8pp toward R · 2008: 12.7pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+15.7 2016: D+5.8 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+12.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.17%
- Current HPI
- 344.8675
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+831.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-03 Listed $325,000 Global MLS
- 2022-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2022-03-01 Listed $100,000 Global MLS
- 2018-06-01 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2017-10-31 Listed $74,900 Global MLS
- 2017-10-31 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2017-04-20 Listed $79,900 Global MLS
- 2009-05-01 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2008-09-15 Listed $79,900 Global MLS
- 2002-09-06 Sold (MLS) $30,000 Global MLS
- 2002-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2002-07-07 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 1996-10-15 Listed $34,900 Global MLS
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $6,237 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…