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1606 Foster Ave Triplex
B Composite 71.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.7/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$315,000

1606 Foster Ave · Schenectady, NY 12308
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,160 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 197 Days on market
Built 1900 3,049 sqft lot $146/sqft · 9% below area Est $348k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

3-Family Building updates made throughout the current ownership. Features 3 bedrooms Apartment first floor, 2 Bedrooms Apartment second floor. 1 Bedroom Apartment second floor. Tenant Pays Separate Utilities. Easy access to show. Call to view.

Key facts

  • 3,049 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 197 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2×2bd/1.0ba + 1×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $315k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $359/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $315k).
  • Recommended offer: $277k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 6.3% in Schenectady — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#167 in NY, #2,597 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
  • Schenectady City School District (urban): math 38% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #556 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 154 units permitted in Schenectady County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,279/mo this rent would consume 81% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 1016% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Schenectady County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 197 days — a 12% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $315k implies a 215% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $277,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 197 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
10.40%
Cash-on-cash
14.66%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$347,508
List price
$315,000
Delta
-9.35%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1588 Foster Ave 0.02mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,200 (+2%) 6mo $315,000 $143 82
1695 Foster Ave 0.15mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,208 (+2%) 6mo $244,000 $111 75
1540 Foster Ave 0.11mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,024 (-6%) 7mo $214,650 $106 70
1712 Foster Ave 0.17mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,332 (+8%) 2mo $280,000 $120 68
515 South Ave 0.56mi 5/3.0 2,070 (-4%) 6mo $172,000 $83 62
1610 Avenue A 0.23mi 6/3.0 (+1) 2,442 (+13%) 5mo $268,000 $110 59
1708 Avenue A 0.30mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,390 (+11%) 4mo $320,000 $134 56
762 Eastern Ave 0.69mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,205 (+2%) 3mo $269,900 $122 53
1755 Avenue B 0.38mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,400 (+11%) 6mo $325,000 $135 50
1039 Wendell Ave 0.68mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,984 (-8%) 4mo $220,000 $111 42
2139 Foster Ave 0.68mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,400 (+11%) 2mo $315,000 $131 39
206 Front St 0.69mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,880 (-13%) 2mo $299,000 $159 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.2%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$17,725
Equity at exit
$46,968
10-year hold
IRR
14.6%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$104,380
Equity at exit
$27,235

Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12308

Home prices YoY
-14.6%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
17.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,279 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,652
Tax from tax record
$520 /mo · $6,237/yr
Insurance
$131
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$899
Net cashflow
$1,078

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,915
Max offer price $315,000
Occupancy floor 70%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 1 1 $1,309
Total (3 units) $4,279

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,750
Closing costs
$9,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
509 Nott St Unit 507 Schenectady, NY 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,695 $1.21 44d 1 0.19mi
1687 Avenue A Schenectady, NY 4.0 1.0 1672 $2,300 $1.38 44d 1 0.25mi
1747 Oneida St Schenectady, NY 4.0 2.0 1620 $2,700 $1.67 14d 1 0.80mi
1347 Union St Schenectady, NY 4.0 1.5 2188 $3,750 $1.71 44d 1 1.09mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $315,000 Active 197 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $315,000 Active 196 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $315,000 Active 195 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $315,000 Active 194 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $315,000 Active 192 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $315,000 Active 191 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $315,000 Active 189 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $315,000 Active 188 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $315,000 Active 187 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $315,000 Active 186 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $325,000 Active 182 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $325,000 Active 181 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $325,000 Active 180 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $325,000 Active 179 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $325,000 Active 178 DOM
  16. 2025-12-03
    listed $325,000 Active 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    3-Family Building updates made throughout the current ownership. Features 3 bedrooms Apartment first floor, 2 Bedrooms Apartment second floor. 1 Bedroom Apartment second floor. Tenant Pays Separate Utilities. Easy access to show. Call to view.

  17. 2022-03-15
    soldstatus $100,000
  18. 2022-03-01
    listed $100,000 Active 18-char remark
    Show marketing remark (18 chars)

    SOLD BEFORE PRINT!

  19. 2018-06-01
    historical
  20. 2017-10-31
    listed $74,900 New
  21. 2017-10-31
    historical
  22. 2017-04-20
    listed $79,900 New
  23. 2009-05-01
    historical
  24. 2008-09-15
    listed $79,900
  25. 2002-09-06
    soldstatus $30,000
  26. 2002-08-30
    soldstatus $30,000
  27. 2002-07-07
    historical
  28. 1996-10-15
    listed $34,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,237 · $520/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,237 · $520/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$51,348
− Mortgage interest
−$17,645
− Property taxes
−$6,237
− Insurance
−$1,575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,108
− Management
−$4,108
− Depreciation
−$9,164
Taxable income
$8,512
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,043
After-tax cash flow
$10,887/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Schenectady City School District
NCES district ID
3626010
Math proficiency
38% ▲ 12.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$39,453
Composite
30.2/100
National rank
#6309
State rank
#556 of 590 in NY

Livability — Schenectady

Score
78/100
State rank
#167
US rank
#2597

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Schenectady, NY
County
Schenectady County · 141,369 people
City population
141,369
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
Population (ZIP)
15,511
Household income
$63,434
Rent vs Own
55.0% rent · 45.0% own
Severe rent burden
1016.0

Population outlook (Schenectady County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
155,046 people
By 2030
154,322 · -0.5%
By 2040
151,796 · -2.1%
By 2050
148,621 · -4.1%
By 2075
141,229 · -8.9%
By 2100
126,014 · -18.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Schenectady

2024 margin
D (+10.8) · D 55.4% · R 44.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.8pp toward R · 2008: 12.7pp · 2024: 10.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.8 2020: D+15.7 2016: D+5.8 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+12.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.17%
Current HPI
344.8675
Rent YoY
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+831.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-03 Listed $325,000 Global MLS
  • 2022-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2022-03-01 Listed $100,000 Global MLS
  • 2018-06-01 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2017-10-31 Listed $74,900 Global MLS
  • 2017-10-31 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2017-04-20 Listed $79,900 Global MLS
  • 2009-05-01 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2008-09-15 Listed $79,900 Global MLS
  • 2002-09-06 Sold (MLS) $30,000 Global MLS
  • 2002-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2002-07-07 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 1996-10-15 Listed $34,900 Global MLS

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,237 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…