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5060 Pioneer Pkwy
D- Composite 39.67
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.4/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$274,900

5060 Pioneer Pkwy · McDonough, GA 30253
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,970 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 301 Days on market
Built 2008 4,051 sqft lot $140/sqft · 9% below area Est $301k · 9% under ↓ 54% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BACK ON MARKET AT NO FAULT OF SELLER. Welcome to this well-maintained two-story home nestled in the charming Avalon community of McDonough! This spacious property features four bedrooms and two and a half bathrooms, offering a comfortable layout. The main level boasts a bright and inviting living room with a cozy fireplace, flowing seamlessly into the open-concept living areas. Upstairs, the generous primary suite includes a walk-in closet and a private ensuite bathroom. Additional highlights include stainless steel appliances in the kitchen, a spacious dining area and an attached garage. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and easy highway access.

Key facts

  • Avalon community
  • Cozy fireplace
  • Walk in closet

Tags

TWO STORY HOMEAVALON COMMUNITYCOZY FIREPLACESTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESWALK IN CLOSETPRIVATE ENSUITE BATHROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-108 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $256k (7.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (17.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $226k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.9% in McDonough — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#279 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Oakland Elementary School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,032 of 1,228 statewide, top 85%, 931 students, 70% FRL); Luella Middle School (math 12% / reading 29%, grade F, #345 of 470 statewide, top 74%, 870 students, 53% FRL); Luella High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #277 of 424 statewide, top 67%, 1,373 students, 44% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 682 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 301 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $226,044 (17.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 301 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.82%
Cash-on-cash
-1.69%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$300,807
List price
$274,900
Delta
-8.61%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
212 Magnaview Dr 0.11mi 4/2.5 1,869 (-5%) 4mo $274,900 $147 83
5045 Pioneer Pkwy 0.07mi 4/2.5 1,864 (-5%) 8mo $299,900 $161 81
219 Magnaview Dr 0.13mi 4/2.5 1,834 (-7%) 7mo $299,900 $164 76
120 Magnaview Dr 0.32mi 4/2.5 1,944 (-1%) 10mo $298,850 $154 75
251 Magnaview Dr 0.20mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,771 (-10%) 3mo $290,000 $164 66
784 Galveston Way 0.39mi 4/2.5 2,139 (+9%) 3mo $308,000 $144 65
157 Parkview Place Dr 0.31mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,852 (-6%) 8mo $285,000 $154 64
161 Parkview Place Dr 0.30mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,850 (-6%) 9mo $285,000 $154 64
789 Galveston Way 0.37mi 4/2.5 2,186 (+11%) 8mo $314,000 $144 58
1218 Heartwood Ave 0.55mi 4/2.5 2,091 (+6%) 12mo $300,000 $143 54
264 Magnaview Dr 0.21mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,698 (-14%) 13mo $269,500 $159 51
1281 Heartwood Ave 0.62mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,242 (+14%) 10mo $271,000 $121 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.5%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-58,036
Equity at exit
$40,988
10-year hold
IRR
-26.8%
Equity multiple
-0.10×
Total profit
$-84,894
Equity at exit
$23,768

Cash invested: $76,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30253

Home prices YoY
-29.4%
Rents YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
682
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,260 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$338 /mo · $4,055/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$475
Net cashflow
$-108

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,398
Max offer price $255,772
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $47 -5% $-30 +0% $-108 +5% $-186 +10% $-264
Rent -10% $-287 -5% $-198 +0% $-108 +5% $-19 +10% $70
Rate -1.0pp $30 -0.5pp $-38 base $-108 +0.5pp $-180 +1.0pp $-252

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,725
Closing costs
$8,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5048 Pioneer Pkwy McDonough, GA 3.0 2.5 1904 $1,901 $1.00 26d 1 0.05mi
203 Magnaview Dr McDonough, GA 4.0 2.5 1926 $2,129 $1.11 12d 1 0.09mi
221 Magnaview Dr McDonough, GA 4.0 2.5 2118 $2,320 $1.10 5d 1 0.16mi
169 Magnaview Dr McDonough, GA 4.0 2.0 2505 $2,379 $0.95 6d 1 0.18mi
415 Parkside Way McDonough, GA 4.0 2.5 1891 $1,970 $1.04 14d 1 0.28mi
139 Magnaview Dr McDonough, GA 4.0 2.5 2245 $2,315 $1.03 45d 1 0.29mi
149 Parkview Place Dr McDonough, GA 3.0 2.5 1830 $2,120 $1.16 26d 1 0.30mi
408 Parkside Way McDonough, GA 4.0 2.5 1881 $1,995 $1.06 45d 1 0.31mi
297 Parkview Place Dr McDonough, GA 4.0 3.0 2296 $2,349 $1.02 4d 1 0.37mi
808 Royal Red Ct McDonough, GA 4.0 3.0 2400 $2,399 $1.00 14d 1 0.41mi
360 Paulownia Cir McDonough, GA 4.0 3.0 2392 $2,350 $0.98 45d 1 0.46mi
1281 Heartwood Ave McDonough, GA 3.0 2.5 2242 $2,385 $1.06 45d 1 0.64mi
1405 Veranda Ln McDonough, GA 4.0 2.5 2350 $2,359 $1.00 6d 1 0.79mi
1801 Marcelina Ln McDonough, GA 5.0 3.0 2433 $2,350 $0.97 26d 1 0.80mi
134 Shaker Hollow Dr McDonough, GA 5.0 3.0 2613 $2,616 $1.00 45d 1 0.83mi
1433 Veranda Ln McDonough, GA 4.0 2.5 2050 $2,269 $1.11 4d 1 0.88mi
401 Edgewood Dr McDonough, GA 5.0 3.0 1862 $2,090 $1.12 6d 1 0.95mi
401 Edgewood Dr McDonough, GA 5.0 3.0 1862 $2,195 $1.18 18d 1 0.95mi
2845 Marlin Dr McDonough, GA 3.0 2.5 1334 $1,781 $1.34 6d 1 1.04mi
2835 Marlin Dr McDonough, GA 3.0 2.5 1334 $1,831 $1.37 26d 1 1.04mi
300 Stones Throw Dr McDonough, GA 4.0 3.0 1678 $1,950 $1.16 3d 1 1.05mi
1690 Georgia Crown Dr McDonough, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1170 $2,120 $1.81 0d 14 1.06mi
172 Regency Park Dr McDonough, GA 3.0 2.0 1283 $1,875 $1.46 26d 1 1.13mi
2435 Marlin Dr McDonough, GA 3.0 2.5 1386 $1,781 $1.28 6d 1 1.16mi
100 Crossing Blvd McDonough, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1271 $2,245 $1.77 21d 15 1.20mi
2205 Marlin Dr McDonough, GA 3.0 2.0 1334 $1,831 $1.37 14d 1 1.22mi
2105 Marlin Dr McDonough, GA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,781 $1.27 6d 1 1.25mi
601 Nail Rd McDonough, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1060 $2,257 $2.13 0d 15 1.31mi
333 Southpoint Blvd McDonough, GA 3.0 2.5 1788 $2,200 $1.23 1d 1 1.35mi
1126 McConaughy Ct McDonough, GA 3.0 3.0 1782 $1,971 $1.11 1d 1 1.40mi
189 Hunters Chase McDonough, GA 4.0 3.0 2377 $2,631 $1.11 14d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $274,900 Active 301 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $274,900 Active 300 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $274,900 Active 299 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $274,900 Active 298 DOM
  5. 2026-01-02
    status Back On Market 673-char remark
    Show marketing remark (673 chars)

    BACK ON MARKET AT NO FAULT OF SELLER. Welcome to this well-maintained two-story home nestled in the charming Avalon community of McDonough! This spacious property features four bedrooms and two and a half bathrooms, offering a comfortable layout. The main level boasts a bright and inviting living room with a cozy fireplace, flowing seamlessly into the open-concept living areas. Upstairs, the generous primary suite includes a walk-in closet and a private ensuite bathroom. Additional highlights include stainless steel appliances in the kitchen, a spacious dining area and an attached garage. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and easy highway access.

  6. 2026-01-01
    historical 673-char remark
    Show marketing remark (673 chars)

    BACK ON MARKET AT NO FAULT OF SELLER. Welcome to this well-maintained two-story home nestled in the charming Avalon community of McDonough! This spacious property features four bedrooms and two and a half bathrooms, offering a comfortable layout. The main level boasts a bright and inviting living room with a cozy fireplace, flowing seamlessly into the open-concept living areas. Upstairs, the generous primary suite includes a walk-in closet and a private ensuite bathroom. Additional highlights include stainless steel appliances in the kitchen, a spacious dining area and an attached garage. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and easy highway access.

  7. 2025-10-15
    price $274,900 673-char remark
    Show marketing remark (673 chars)

    BACK ON MARKET AT NO FAULT OF SELLER. Welcome to this well-maintained two-story home nestled in the charming Avalon community of McDonough! This spacious property features four bedrooms and two and a half bathrooms, offering a comfortable layout. The main level boasts a bright and inviting living room with a cozy fireplace, flowing seamlessly into the open-concept living areas. Upstairs, the generous primary suite includes a walk-in closet and a private ensuite bathroom. Additional highlights include stainless steel appliances in the kitchen, a spacious dining area and an attached garage. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and easy highway access.

  8. 2025-10-03
    price $279,900 673-char remark
    Show marketing remark (673 chars)

    BACK ON MARKET AT NO FAULT OF SELLER. Welcome to this well-maintained two-story home nestled in the charming Avalon community of McDonough! This spacious property features four bedrooms and two and a half bathrooms, offering a comfortable layout. The main level boasts a bright and inviting living room with a cozy fireplace, flowing seamlessly into the open-concept living areas. Upstairs, the generous primary suite includes a walk-in closet and a private ensuite bathroom. Additional highlights include stainless steel appliances in the kitchen, a spacious dining area and an attached garage. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and easy highway access.

  9. 2025-08-08
    status Back On Market 673-char remark
    Show marketing remark (673 chars)

    BACK ON MARKET AT NO FAULT OF SELLER. Welcome to this well-maintained two-story home nestled in the charming Avalon community of McDonough! This spacious property features four bedrooms and two and a half bathrooms, offering a comfortable layout. The main level boasts a bright and inviting living room with a cozy fireplace, flowing seamlessly into the open-concept living areas. Upstairs, the generous primary suite includes a walk-in closet and a private ensuite bathroom. Additional highlights include stainless steel appliances in the kitchen, a spacious dining area and an attached garage. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and easy highway access.

  10. 2025-08-01
    status Under Contract 673-char remark
    Show marketing remark (673 chars)

    BACK ON MARKET AT NO FAULT OF SELLER. Welcome to this well-maintained two-story home nestled in the charming Avalon community of McDonough! This spacious property features four bedrooms and two and a half bathrooms, offering a comfortable layout. The main level boasts a bright and inviting living room with a cozy fireplace, flowing seamlessly into the open-concept living areas. Upstairs, the generous primary suite includes a walk-in closet and a private ensuite bathroom. Additional highlights include stainless steel appliances in the kitchen, a spacious dining area and an attached garage. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and easy highway access.

  11. 2025-07-29
    listed $284,900 New 673-char remark
    Show marketing remark (673 chars)

    BACK ON MARKET AT NO FAULT OF SELLER. Welcome to this well-maintained two-story home nestled in the charming Avalon community of McDonough! This spacious property features four bedrooms and two and a half bathrooms, offering a comfortable layout. The main level boasts a bright and inviting living room with a cozy fireplace, flowing seamlessly into the open-concept living areas. Upstairs, the generous primary suite includes a walk-in closet and a private ensuite bathroom. Additional highlights include stainless steel appliances in the kitchen, a spacious dining area and an attached garage. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and easy highway access.

  12. 2021-12-30
    soldstatus $3,714,444
  13. 2018-10-23
    soldstatus $558,600
  14. 2013-02-08
    soldstatus $86,000
  15. 2008-12-04
    soldstatus $147,500
  16. 2008-04-28
    soldstatus $600,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,055 · $338/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,055 · $338/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,125
− Mortgage interest
−$15,399
− Property taxes
−$4,055
− Insurance
−$1,374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,170
− Management
−$2,170
− Depreciation
−$7,997
Taxable loss
−$6,040
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,450
After-tax cash flow
$150/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henry County
NCES district ID
1302820
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$62,594
Composite
26.13/100
National rank
#7279
State rank
#89 of 174 in GA

Livability — McDonough

Score
63/100
State rank
#279
US rank
#14962

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
McDonough, GA
County
Henry County · 316,359 people
City population
114,333
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
64,779
Household income
$81,892
Rent vs Own
34.6% rent · 65.4% own
Severe rent burden
2591.0

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
249,041 people
By 2030
264,369 · +6.2%
By 2040
294,459 · +18.2%
By 2050
322,249 · +29.4%
By 2075
392,310 · +57.5%
By 2100
437,836 · +75.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 61% White 22% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 64.5% · R 34.9%
2008→2024 swing
+37.1pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+7.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.51%
Current HPI
210.679
Rent YoY
▼ -0.35%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-54.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-02 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Price Changed $274,900 GAMLS
  • 2025-10-03 Price Changed $279,900 GAMLS
  • 2025-08-08 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2025-08-01 Pending GAMLS
  • 2025-07-29 Listed $284,900 GAMLS
  • 2021-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $3,714,444 Public Records
  • 2018-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $558,600 Public Records
  • 2013-02-08 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
  • 2008-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $147,500 Public Records
  • 2008-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $600,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,055 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…