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4 Oak St Triplex
C- Composite 50.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.8/30.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.8/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$550,000

4 Oak St · Derby, CT 06418
7 bd · 3.5 ba · 2,800 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1988 0.25 ac lot $196/sqft · 21% above area Est $519k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

* * * Multiple Offers received, seller is requesting Best and Final Offers by 5pm Monday 05/04. * * * Located in the heart of Derby, 4 Oak Street presents a fantastic multi-family investment opportunity just moments from the city's revitalizing downtown district. This well-maintained property features three units, each with separate utilities and washer/dryer hookups for added convenience. The lower-level unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, with a combination of electric heat and a gas heater, and has been recently updated with new flooring, fresh paint, and a modernized kitchen and bath. The second and third units are townhouse-style, including a spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath layout a

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • 6 parking spots
  • Built 1988

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; 6 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected
  • Home design: Multi-family property (3-family)
  • Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Deck; Corner lot; Private driveway

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 7 bedrooms total
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air and window unit cooling; Hot air heating fueled by natural gas
  • Interior features: Partial, partially finished basement; Total of 11 rooms (multi-family)
  • Laundry & utility: All units have laundry hook-ups; Domestic hot water

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $550k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $853 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $284/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $550k).
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.8% in Derby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#64 in CT, #4,574 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Derby School District (suburban): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #127 of 153 in CT (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Irving School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #459 of 553 statewide, top 84%, 306 students, 65% FRL); Derby Middle School (math 20% / reading 40%, grade F, #139 of 175 statewide, top 79%, 291 students, 54% FRL); Derby High School (math 5% / reading 34%, grade F, #165 of 194 statewide, top 87%, 369 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,649/mo this rent would consume 86% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 711% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $156k; list at $550k implies a 254% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $550,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.15%
Cash-on-cash
6.65%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$518,656
List price
$550,000
Delta
6.04%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
141 Hawkins St 0.35mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,814 (+0%) 3mo $450,000 $160 70
154 Hawthorne Ave 0.44mi 6/3.5 (-1) 2,652 (-5%) 5mo $549,000 $207 62
199 Elizabeth St 0.21mi 7/2.5 2,453 (-12%) 11mo $475,000 $194 56
15 Cherry St 0.35mi 6/3.0 (-1) 2,632 (-6%) 13mo $439,000 $167 56
140 Hawthorne Ave 0.40mi 6/4.0 (-1) 3,127 (+12%) 8mo $645,000 $206 48
183 Caroline St 0.29mi 6/3.0 (-1) 2,526 (-10%) 19mo $545,000 $216 47
154-156 Hawthorne Ave 0.44mi 6/3.0 (-1) 2,652 (-5%) 23mo $410,000 $155 45
140-142 Hawthorne Ave 0.40mi 6/3.0 (-1) 2,503 (-11%) 20mo $475,000 $190 41
201 Derby Ave 0.67mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,669 (-5%) 16mo $490,000 $184 37
15 Atwater Ave 0.58mi 7/3.0 3,210 (+15%) 14mo $580,000 $181 35
165 Derby Ave 0.66mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,614 (-7%) 22mo $422,500 $162 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-34,815
Equity at exit
$82,007
10-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$39,524
Equity at exit
$47,554

Cash invested: $154,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06418

Home prices YoY
-19.5%
Active inventory
40
Price-to-rent
24.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,649 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,884
Tax from tax record
$496 /mo · $5,953/yr
Insurance
$229
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,186
Net cashflow
$853

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,569
Max offer price $550,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,165 -5% $1,009 +0% $853 +5% $698 +10% $542
Rent -10% $407 -5% $630 +0% $853 +5% $1,076 +10% $1,299
Rate -1.0pp $1,130 -0.5pp $993 base $853 +0.5pp $711 +1.0pp $566

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $5,649

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$137,500
Closing costs
$16,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Under Contract 1065-char remark
  2. 2026-05-02
    listed $550,000 Active 1065-char remark
  3. 2026-04-29
    historical $550,000 1065-char remark
  4. 1997-01-31
    soldstatus $155,500
  5. 1996-05-04
    listed $164,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,953 · $496/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,862 · $738/mo
Expected delta
+$2,908/yr (+$242/mo · 48.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$67,788
− Mortgage interest
−$30,809
− Property taxes
−$5,953
− Insurance
−$2,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,423
− Management
−$5,423
− Depreciation
−$16,000
Taxable income
$1,430
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$343
After-tax cash flow
$9,895/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Derby School District
NCES district ID
0901110
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$52,988
Composite
25.61/100
National rank
#7410
State rank
#127 of 153 in CT

Livability — Derby

Score
74/100
State rank
#64
US rank
#4574

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D- Cost of living B Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Derby, CT
County
New Haven County · 688,236 people
City population
12,205
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
Population (ZIP)
12,205
Household income
$78,542
Rent vs Own
38.4% rent · 61.6% own
Severe rent burden
711.0

Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
496,846

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Russian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
All cycles
2024: R+7.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.06%
Current HPI
202.3832
Rent YoY
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+233.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $550,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Coming Soon $550,000 Smart MLS
  • 1997-01-31 Sold (MLS) $155,500 Smart MLS
  • 1996-05-04 Listed $164,900 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2022): $5,953 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…