270 N Clark Rd #12 · Show Low, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$67,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautifully appointed fully furnished super clean park model with an open floorplan, Arizona Room, Washer & dryer, office area and shop. Located in Venture In's pristine 55+ seasonal park with {too many to mention} amenities. Watch the beautiful Arizona sunsets from the back deck while barbequing and relaxing under the folding triple umbrella. Home backs up to the Torreon community.
Key facts
- Arizona room
- Open floorplan
- Back deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $67k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $658 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $67k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 3.2% in Show Low — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#90 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Show Low Unified District (4393) (rural): math 32% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #89 of 249 in AZ (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Nikolaus Homestead Elementary School (math 40% / reading 44%, grade F, #371 of 1,109 statewide, top 34%, 389 students, 42% FRL); Show Low Junior High School (math 29% / reading 34%, grade F, #78 of 218 statewide, top 36%, 587 students, 45% FRL); Show Low High School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #120 of 381 statewide, top 34%, 877 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: 1067 active listings in the ZIP; 485 units permitted in Navajo County in 2024 (11 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $463 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Navajo County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 266 days — a 12% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 266 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.11%
- DSCR
- 2.87
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $199,633
- List price
- $67,000
- Delta
- -66.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 N Clark Rd #224 | 0.15mi | 1/1.0 | 670 (-1%) | 5mo | $27,000 | $40 | 88 |
| 270 N Clark Rd #312 | 0.15mi | 1/1.0 | 644 (-5%) | 9mo | $80,000 | $124 | 78 |
| 4201 W Adams | 0.60mi | 1/1.0 | 728 (+8%) | 10mo | $167,000 | $229 | 50 |
| 931 N 43Rd Cul | 0.69mi | 1/1.0 | 624 (-8%) | 6mo | $148,000 | $237 | 50 |
| 2220 W Whipple St | 1.00mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 728 (+8%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $179 | 47 |
| 4381 W Adams | 0.68mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 728 (+8%) | 6mo | $187,500 | $258 | 44 |
| 2251 W Savage Cir | 1.08mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 768 (+14%) | 1mo | $181,500 | $236 | 37 |
| 2560 W Young | 0.86mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 728 (+8%) | 11mo | $243,000 | $334 | 36 |
| 2381 W Willis | 0.96mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 816 (+21%) | 4mo | $252,000 | $309 | 32 |
| 4710 W Cottage Loop | 1.34mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 840 (+24%) | 10mo | $369,000 | $439 | 27 |
| 1142 N 43rd Dr | 0.83mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 833 (+23%) | 16mo | $225,000 | $270 | 22 |
| 4810 W Cottage Loop | 1.39mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 840 (+24%) | 17mo | $342,500 | $408 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.66×
- Total profit
- $31,097
- Equity at exit
- $9,990
- IRR
- 45.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.33×
- Total profit
- $81,161
- Equity at exit
- $5,793
Cash invested: $18,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active
- Months of supply
- 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $59,900 ($99/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 54 d
- This list price
- 50% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +197.7% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 85901
- Home prices YoY
- -14.5%
- Active inventory
- 1067
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,420 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$351
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$84 /mo · $1,005/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $658
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $705 | -5% $682 | +0% $658 | +5% $635 | +10% $612 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $546 | -5% $602 | +0% $658 | +5% $714 | +10% $771 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $692 | -0.5pp $675 | base $658 | +0.5pp $641 | +1.0pp $623 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,750
- Closing costs
- $2,010
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $67,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $67,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $67,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $67,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $67,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $67,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-14pricedays on market $67,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,900 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,900 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-05-02price $79,900 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Beautifully appointed fully furnished super clean park model with an open floorplan, Arizona Room, Washer & dryer, office area and shop. Located in Venture In's pristine 55+ seasonal park with {too many to mention} amenities. Watch the beautiful Arizona sunsets from the back deck while barbequing and relaxing under the folding triple umbrella. Home backs up to the Torreon community.
-
2026-03-02price $69,900 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Beautifully appointed fully furnished super clean park model with an open floorplan, Arizona Room, Washer & dryer, office area and shop. Located in Venture In's pristine 55+ seasonal park with {too many to mention} amenities. Watch the beautiful Arizona sunsets from the back deck while barbequing and relaxing under the folding triple umbrella. Home backs up to the Torreon community.
-
2025-09-28$79,900 Active 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Beautifully appointed fully furnished super clean park model with an open floorplan, Arizona Room, Washer & dryer, office area and shop. Located in Venture In's pristine 55+ seasonal park with {too many to mention} amenities. Watch the beautiful Arizona sunsets from the back deck while barbequing and relaxing under the folding triple umbrella. Home backs up to the Torreon community.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,034
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,753
- − Property taxes
- −$1,005
- − Insurance
- −$335
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,363
- − Management
- −$1,363
- − Depreciation
- −$1,949
- Taxable income
- $7,266
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,744
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,157/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home is in average condition with some cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen appliances — microwave, stove, oven need cleaning
- Minor bathroom fixtures — bathroom needs cleaning
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both replace kitchen appliances — new appliances improve functionality and appeal ↑
- Both update bathroom fixtures — new fixtures enhance functionality and appeal ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Show Low Unified District (4393)
- NCES district ID
- 0407700
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,240
- Composite
- 29.9/100
- National rank
- #6387
- State rank
- #89 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Show Low
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #13573
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Show Low, AZ
- County
- Navajo · 105,760 people
- City population
- 18,821
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,821
- Household income
- $60,313
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Navajo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,760 people
- By 2030
- 103,301 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 97,070 · -8.2%
- By 2050
- 88,850 · -16.0%
- By 2075
- 65,180 · -38.4%
- By 2100
- 37,281 · -64.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Navajo
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.2) · D 40.9% · R 58.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.5pp toward R · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -17.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.2 2020: R+8.2 2016: R+7.9 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.52%
- Current HPI
- 386.3007
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $79,900 WMMLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $69,900 WMMLS
- 2025-09-28 Listed $79,900 WMMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…