2415 Vivian Dr · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31206

$60,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 792 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market

Built 1955 7,840 sqft lot Est $57k · 5% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +5.2/15.0
• Rent growth +3.8/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Cute 3BR/1BA home on a shaded lot, perfect for as a starter home or as an investment. * * PLEASE DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANT! * *

Key facts

• 7,840 sq ft lot
• Built 1955
• Listed 38 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Single total unit (1); Lot about 0.18 acres; Public records used for lot size
• Financial info: Listed as resale; Gross income reported: 10,776; Listing terms: Cash, Conventional; Special conditions: Sold as-is, Investor owned, Short sale
• HOA & community: No association

Exterior

• Parking: Carport
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer connected
• Home design: Residential income property (multi-family house); Built in 1955
• Construction: Vinyl siding construction; House structure
• Exterior features: Vinyl siding

Interior

• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: One-level layout; No basement; No fireplaces

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $522 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
• Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 5.5% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Veterans Elementary School (math 3% / reading 9%, grade F, #1,154 of 1,228 statewide, top 94%, 697 students, 100% FRL); Southwest High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #365 of 424 statewide, top 88%, 800 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $28k; list at $60k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $58,200 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.90% ✓
• Cap rate: 16.74%
• Cash-on-cash: 37.31%
• DSCR: 2.66
• GRM: 4.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $57,024
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2431 Rosen Ave	0.26mi	3/1.0	810 (+2%)	0mo	$73,000	$90	84
2408 S Groveland Cir	0.49mi	3/1.0	792 (0%)	13mo	$64,000	$81	66
2435 Adger Rd	0.07mi	4/1.0 (+1)	864 (+9%)	15mo	$32,000	$37	64
5756 Satterfield Dr	0.57mi	3/1.0	828 (+4%)	3mo	$25,000	$30	63
5770 Satterfield Dr	0.57mi	2/1.0 (-1)	828 (+4%)	5mo	$75,000	$91	57
4524 Dorset Dr	0.63mi	3/1.0	864 (+9%)	1mo	$58,000	$67	55
5714 Satterfield Dr	0.55mi	3/1.0	828 (+4%)	18mo	$59,875	$72	52
5746 Sterling Pl	0.72mi	3/1.0	864 (+9%)	5mo	$20,000	$23	47
5771 Satterfield Dr	0.60mi	3/1.0	888 (+12%)	5mo	$65,000	$73	47
5711 Sterling Pl	0.74mi	3/2.0	864 (+9%)	2mo	$120,000	$139	45
5779 Satterfield Dr	0.60mi	3/1.0	888 (+12%)	14mo	$55,000	$62	40
2723 Reynolds Dr	0.74mi	3/1.0	880 (+11%)	17mo	$44,400	$50	33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 35.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.54×
• Total profit: $25,918
• Equity at exit: $8,946

10-year hold

• IRR: 43.2%
• Equity multiple: 5.50×
• Total profit: $75,550
• Equity at exit: $5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31206

• Rents YoY: 5.0%
• Active inventory: 209
• Price-to-rent: 4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,140 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$315
• Tax from tax record: −$39 /mo · $462/yr
• Insurance: −$25
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$239
• Net cashflow: $522

Break-even live

Break-even rent $479

Max offer price $60,000

Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $556	-5% $539	+0% $522	+5% $505	+10% $488
Rent	-10% $432	-5% $477	+0% $522	+5% $567	+10% $612
Rate	-1.0pp $553	-0.5pp $538	base $522	+0.5pp $507	+1.0pp $491

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $15,000
• Closing costs: $1,800
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 17 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2427 Vivian Dr Macon, GA	4.0	1.0	1056	$1,150	$1.09	45d	1	0.04mi
2459 Vivian Dr Macon, GA	3.0	1.0	792	$850	$1.07	14d	1	0.12mi
4278 Vinson Ave Macon, GA	4.0	2.0	1104	$1,550	$1.40	22d	1	0.15mi
2423 Thrasher Ave Macon, GA	3.0	1.0	1056	$725	$0.69	45d	1	0.18mi
2477 Thrasher Ave Macon, GA	3.0	1.0	960	$825	$0.86	14d	1	0.23mi
4331 Ashland Dr Macon, GA	3.0	1.0	864	$1,025	$1.19	45d	1	0.33mi
4386 Thrasher Cir Macon, GA	3.0	2.0	1120	$1,400	$1.25	45d	1	0.48mi
5487 Bloomfield Rd Macon, GA	3.0	2.0	1050	$1,200	$1.14	22d	1	0.58mi
5771 Satterfield Dr Macon, GA	3.0	1.0	888	$1,250	$1.41	45d	1	0.61mi
2641 Leone Dr N Macon, GA	3.0	1.0	864	$1,100	$1.27	45d	1	0.65mi
2665 Chatsworth Ct Macon, GA	3.0	1.5	1056	$1,175	$1.11	45d	1	0.71mi
5711 Sterling Pl Macon, GA	3.0	1.0	864	$1,500	$1.74	22d	1	0.75mi
5708 Edwina Dr Macon, GA	3.0	1.0	925	$1,275	$1.38	45d	1	0.77mi
2961 Deeb Dr Macon, GA	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,000	$1.00	45d	1	1.01mi
4069 Blair Ct Macon, GA	3.0	1.0	864	$850	$0.98	45d	1	1.15mi
5161 Nisbet Dr Macon, GA	2.0	1.5	1040	$975	$0.94	45d	1	1.25mi
4995 Bloomfield Rd Macon, GA	2.0	1.5	900	$997	$1.11	22d	1	1.33mi

Listing history 24 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $60,000 Active 39 DOM
2. 2026-06-19
   days on market $60,000 Active 37 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $60,000 Active 36 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $60,000 Active 35 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $60,000 Active 34 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $60,000 Active 33 DOM
7. 2026-06-14
   days on market $60,000 Active 31 DOM
8. 2026-06-13
   days on market $60,000 Active 30 DOM
9. 2026-06-10
   days on market $60,000 Active 28 DOM
10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 27 DOM
11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 26 DOM
12. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $60,000 Active 25 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $60,000 Price Change 21 DOM
14. 2026-06-03
    pricestatus $60,000 Price Change 20 DOM
15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 18 DOM
18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $75,000 Active 17 DOM
19. 2026-05-12
    listed $75,000 New 158-char remark
20. 2018-04-17
    soldstatus $28,000 129-char remark

    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    Cute 3BR/1BA home on a shaded lot, perfect for as a starter home or as an investment. * * PLEASE DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANT! * *

21. 2017-12-07
    listed $32,500 129-char remark

    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    Cute 3BR/1BA home on a shaded lot, perfect for as a starter home or as an investment. * * PLEASE DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANT! * *

22. 2017-08-31
    soldstatus $15,000

    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    Cute 3BR/1BA home on a shaded lot, perfect for as a starter home or as an investment. Please call agent, Tee Young at 478-731-1846 to show.

23. 2017-08-15
    listed $24,900

    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    Cute 3BR/1BA home on a shaded lot, perfect for as a starter home or as an investment. Please call agent, Tee Young at 478-731-1846 to show.

24. 1987-01-16
    soldstatus $25,250

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $462 · $39/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $552 · $46/mo
• Expected delta: +$90/yr (+$7/mo · 19.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,679
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,361
• − Property taxes: −$462
• − Insurance: −$300
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,094
• − Management: −$1,094
• − Depreciation: −$1,745
• Taxable income: $5,622
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,349
• After-tax cash flow: $4,919/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Bibb County
• NCES district ID: 1300420
• Math proficiency: 11% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 18% ▼ -11.00%
• Median HH income: $37,426
• Composite: 12.13/100
• National rank: #9654
• State rank: #161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: Macon-Bibb County, GA
• County: Bibb County · 164,332 people
• City population: 143,186
• Metro: Macon-Bibb County, GA
• Population (ZIP): 24,310
• Household income: $30,042
• Rent vs Own: 56.5% rent · 43.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 1335.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 148,772 people
• By 2030: 145,904 · -1.9%
• By 2040: 139,404 · -6.3%
• By 2050: 131,603 · -11.5%
• By 2075: 111,050 · -25.4%
• By 2100: 83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (76%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -80.17%
• Current HPI: 148.6765
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.03%
• Metro: Macon-Bibb County, GA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

+137.6% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-02 Price Changed $60,000 GAMLS
• 2026-05-12 Listed $75,000 GAMLS
• 2018-04-17 Sold (MLS) $28,000 MGMLS
• 2017-12-07 Listed $32,500 MGMLS
• 2017-08-31 Sold (MLS) $15,000 MGMLS
• 2017-08-15 Listed $24,900 MGMLS
• 1987-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $25,250 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $462 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.