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7901 E State Route 69 #72
B- Composite 68.5
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$86,000

7901 E State Route 69 #72 · Prescott Valley, AZ 86314
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily · 133 Days on market
Built 1978 Fair condition $102/sqft · 70% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable 2-bedroom home that's cozy and move-in ready, perfect for easy living .The added Arizona room provides extra space, along with a convenient carport. Low-maintenance and ideally located in this desirable 55+ park-- Lot rent includes water, trash & sewer $693.40 schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Arizona room
  • Carport
  • Parking

Tags

ARIZONA ROOMCARPORT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $86k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $751 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $86k).
  • Recommended offer: $76k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 3.2% in Prescott Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#126 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Humboldt Unified District (4469) (suburban): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #94 of 249 in AZ (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 447 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $595 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($76k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,680 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.98%
Cap rate
16.77%
Cash-on-cash
37.41%
DSCR
2.66
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$283,242
List price
$86,000
Delta
-69.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7901 E State Route 69 #58 0.06mi 2/1.0 784 (-7%) 4mo $101,500 $129 82
7901 E State Route 69 #77 0.06mi 2/2.0 900 (+7%) 1mo $148,000 $164 81
7901 E State Route 69 #38 0.00mi 2/1.5 910 (+8%) 6mo $68,950 $76 79
7901 E State Route 69 #47 0.00mi 2/2.0 896 (+7%) 11mo $55,000 $61 76
11250 E State Route 69 2183 0.46mi 2/2.0 880 (+5%) 14mo $136,000 $155 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.0%
Equity multiple
2.27×
Total profit
$30,489
Equity at exit
$12,823
10-year hold
IRR
37.1%
Equity multiple
4.11×
Total profit
$74,786
Equity at exit
$7,436

Cash invested: $24,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 86314

Home prices YoY
-32.3%
Rents YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
447
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,702 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$451
Tax est. 1.5%
$108 /mo · $1,290/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$751

Break-even live

Break-even rent $752
Max offer price $86,000
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $810 -5% $780 +0% $751 +5% $721 +10% $691
Rent -10% $616 -5% $683 +0% $751 +5% $818 +10% $885
Rate -1.0pp $794 -0.5pp $772 base $751 +0.5pp $728 +1.0pp $706

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,500
Closing costs
$2,580
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2885 N Panorama Dr Prescott Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,800 $1.70 14d 1 0.10mi
2885 N Panorama Dr Prescott Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,800 $1.70 44d 1 0.10mi
3230 N Victor Rd Unit C Prescott Valley, AZ 2.0 1.0 850 $1,350 $1.59 14d 1 0.35mi
3148 N Navajo Dr Unit C Prescott Valley, AZ 2.0 1.5 1024 $1,425 $1.39 22d 1 0.54mi
3131 N Main St Prescott Valley, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 935 $1,722 $1.84 14d 33 0.59mi
3290 N Bumblebee Dr Unit A Prescott Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,550 $1.48 14d 1 0.60mi
8683 E Commons Cir Prescott Valley, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 834 $1,785 $2.14 14d 5 0.78mi
8132 E Lakeshore Dr Unit B Prescott Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 890 $1,400 $1.57 44d 1 0.81mi
3028 N Corrine Dr Unit A Prescott Valley, AZ 2.0 1.0 889 $1,600 $1.80 22d 1 0.82mi
3123 N Corrine Dr Apt B Prescott Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 1111 $1,595 $1.44 44d 1 0.91mi
3830 N Windsong Dr Prescott Valley, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1097 $2,034 $1.85 14d 22 0.94mi
3231 N Corrine Dr Unit B Prescott Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 948 $1,500 $1.58 44d 1 0.98mi
3184 N Truwood Dr Unit D Prescott Valley, AZ 2.0 1.0 600 $1,100 $1.83 22d 1 0.99mi
3279 N Corrine Dr Unit A Prescott Valley, AZ 2.0 1.0 738 $1,400 $1.90 44d 1 1.01mi
8396 E Stevens Dr Unit B Prescott Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 978 $2,000 $2.04 44d 1 1.03mi
8396 E Stevens Dr Unit A Prescott Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 950 $2,000 $2.11 44d 1 1.03mi
3866 E Teri Ct Unit A Prescott Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,675 $1.60 14d 1 1.08mi
3901 N Main St Prescott Valley, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 978 $1,910 $1.95 14d 16 1.34mi
4357 N Miner Rd Prescott Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 960 $1,600 $1.67 44d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $86,000 Active 133 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $86,000 Active 132 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $86,000 Active 131 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $86,000 Active 130 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $86,000 Active 128 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $86,000 Active 127 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $86,000 Active 125 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $86,000 Active 124 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $86,000 Active 123 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $86,000 Active 122 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $86,000 Active 117 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $86,000 Active 116 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $86,000 Active 115 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $86,000 Active 114 DOM
  15. 2026-02-05
    listed $86,000 Active 305-char remark
    Show marketing remark (305 chars)

    Affordable 2-bedroom home that's cozy and move-in ready, perfect for easy living .The added Arizona room provides extra space, along with a convenient carport. Low-maintenance and ideally located in this desirable 55+ park-- Lot rent includes water, trash & sewer $693.40 schedule your showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 1 d/yr ≥94°F today · 4 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,430
− Mortgage interest
−$4,817
− Property taxes
−$1,290
− Insurance
−$430
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,634
− Management
−$1,634
− Depreciation
−$2,502
Taxable income
$8,122
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,949
After-tax cash flow
$7,058/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home is move-in ready with some moderate repairs needed, particularly in the kitchen and exterior. Painting and updating the kitchen and exterior would significantly enhance its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
  • Moderate Bathroom fixtures — Dated appearance
  • Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered appearance

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace worn kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Replace worn exterior siding — Fresh siding enhances curb appeal and structural integrity

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance Moderate $3,000–15,000
Bathroom fixtures · Dated appearance Moderate $3,000–15,000
Exterior siding · Weathered appearance Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $9,000–45,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace worn kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Replace worn exterior siding — Fresh siding enhances curb appeal and structural integrity

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Humboldt Unified District (4469)
NCES district ID
0403870
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$45,326
Composite
29.06/100
National rank
#6605
State rank
#94 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Prescott Valley

Score
62/100
State rank
#126
US rank
#16160

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Prescott Valley, AZ
County
Yavapai County · 190,406 people
City population
63,155
Metro
Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
Population (ZIP)
40,317
Household income
$69,208
Rent vs Own
32.9% rent · 67.1% own
Severe rent burden
1236.0

Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
241,389 people
By 2030
249,523 · +3.4%
By 2040
259,966 · +7.7%
By 2050
264,736 · +9.7%
By 2075
269,334 · +11.6%
By 2100
256,505 · +6.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 15% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 15%

Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
2008→2024 swing
-9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -176.27%
Current HPI
370.04
Rent YoY
▲ 0.97%
Metro
Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $86,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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