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5861 Oakdale Village Rd
F Composite 17.08
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +5.2/30.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.3/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$799,990

5861 Oakdale Village Rd · Linganore, MD 21754
5 bd · 4.5 ba · 3,380 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 2018 5,400 sqft lot Est $662k · 21% over $84/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Contemporary Salinger floor plan built to customer's specifications. Featuring over 3,000 sq. ft. 2 car rear attached garage, 5 bedrooms, 4.5 baths, gourmet kitchen, stainless steel appliances, granite counter tops, hardwood throughout entire main level. Images Shown Are Representative Only.

Key facts

  • 5,400 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2018

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Irrigation water rights; Below-grade finished area approximately 1,200 (finished basement ~95%); Above-grade finished area approximately 3,380
  • HOA & community: HOA fee of $84 per month; HOA includes trash and snow removal; Community amenities include bike trail, common grounds, jogging/walking path, and playgrounds

Exterior

  • Parking: Rear-entry attached garage with 2 garage spaces; Asphalt driveway with 2 driveway spaces; 3 off-street spaces; Total of 7 garage and parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Detached home; Excellent property condition; Built by RYAN HOMES; Shingle roof; Not in a federal flood zone; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Frame construction; Concrete perimeter foundation; Double-pane insulated vinyl-clad windows with screens; Year built (source: assessor)
  • Exterior features: Porch(es); Sidewalks; Landscaping; Above-grade and below-grade outdoor structures

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Icemaker; Microwave; Self-cleaning oven; Cooktop; Wall oven; Refrigerator; Water dispenser
  • Bedrooms: Five bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Three full bathrooms on the main upper level; One full bathroom on lower level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating fuel; Central air conditioning; Electric cooling fuel; Tankless natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Open floor plan with family room off the kitchen; Kitchen with table/breakfast area; Dining area; Upgraded countertops; 9'+ ceilings; Drywall walls and ceilings; Insulated doors
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/4.5-bath single-family listed at $800k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-22k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $477k (40.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $426k (46.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $426k (46.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#257 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Frederick County Public Schools (other): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #4 of 24 in MD (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Oakdale Elementary (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #92 of 860 statewide, top 11%, 1,028 students, 16% FRL); Oakdale Middle (math 24% / reading 58%, grade F, #20 of 225 statewide, top 10%, 1,057 students, 11% FRL); Oakdale High (math 77% / reading 87%, grade A, #15 of 222 statewide, top 6%, 1,622 students, 14% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 55% at this address vs 35% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Frederick County Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,562 units permitted in Frederick County in 2024 (374 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Frederick County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 67% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $479k; list at $800k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $425,699 (46.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.53%
Cap rate
3.55%
Cash-on-cash
-9.80%
DSCR
0.56
GRM
15.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$662,480
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5721 Meyer Ave 0.67mi 4/3.0 (-1) 3,578 (+6%) 6mo $700,000 $196 43
5631 Jordan Blvd 0.61mi 4/2.5 (-1) 3,536 (+5%) 11mo $700,000 $198 42
5933 Yeagertown Rd 0.72mi 6/3.5 (+1) 3,728 (+10%) 2mo $714,000 $192 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-33.9%
Equity multiple
-0.10×
Total profit
$-246,254
Equity at exit
$119,281
10-year hold
IRR
-42.7%
Equity multiple
-0.63×
Total profit
$-364,997
Equity at exit
$69,169

Cash invested: $223,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21754

Home prices YoY
-27.5%
Active inventory
48
Price-to-rent
15.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,257 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,195
Tax from tax record
$579 /mo · $6,951/yr
Insurance
$333
HOA
$84
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$894
Net cashflow
$-1,829

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,572
Max offer price $476,922
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-1,376 -5% $-1,602 +0% $-1,829 +5% $-2,055 +10% $-2,282
Rent -10% $-2,165 -5% $-1,997 +0% $-1,829 +5% $-1,661 +10% $-1,493
Rate -1.0pp $-1,426 -0.5pp $-1,625 base $-1,829 +0.5pp $-2,036 +1.0pp $-2,247

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$199,998
Closing costs
$24,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5951 Eaglehead Dr New Market, MD 4.0 3.5 2800 $4,100 $1.46 26d 1 0.40mi
6032 Goshawk St New Market, MD 5.0 4.5 2900 $3,600 $1.24 7d 1 0.43mi
6042 Fallfish Ct New Market, MD 4.0 3.5 2420 $3,300 $1.36 46d 1 0.51mi
6242 Walleye Pl New Market, MD 4.0 4.5 4636 $7,500 $1.62 24d 1 0.52mi
5927 Pecking Stone St New Market, MD 4.0 3.5 2280 $3,100 $1.36 14d 1 0.53mi
6348 Quinn Rd Frederick, MD 4.0 3.5 2708 $4,400 $1.62 7d 1 1.22mi
6430 Bellevue Pl Frederick, MD 5.0 3.5 3950 $4,000 $1.01 7d 1 1.40mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$84 · $1,008/yr

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $799,990 Coming Soon 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $799,990 Coming Soon 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $799,990 Coming Soon 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $799,990 Coming Soon 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $799,990 Coming Soon 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $799,990 Coming Soon 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $799,990 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $799,990 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-10
    listed $799,990 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,951 · $579/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,836 · $653/mo
Expected delta
+$884/yr (+$74/mo · 12.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$51,084
− Mortgage interest
−$44,812
− Property taxes
−$6,951
− Insurance
−$4,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,087
− Management
−$4,087
− HOA
−$1,008
− Depreciation
−$23,272
Taxable loss
−$37,133
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$8,912
After-tax cash flow
$-13,034/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Frederick County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400330
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$84,020
Composite
33.54/100
National rank
#5429
State rank
#4 of 24 in MD

Livability — Linganore

Score
65/100
State rank
#257
US rank
#13191

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Linganore, MD
City population
16,515
Population (ZIP)
7,439

Population outlook (Frederick County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
269,438 people
By 2030
280,160 · +4.0%
By 2040
298,408 · +10.8%
By 2050
311,062 · +15.4%
By 2075
342,819 · +27.2%
By 2100
351,361 · +30.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 8% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Frederick

2024 margin
Lean D (+8.8) · D 53.2% · R 44.4% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+9.9pp toward D · 2008: -1.0pp · 2024: 8.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+8.8 2020: D+9.6 2016: R+4.0 2012: R+3.9 2008: R+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.25%
Current HPI
283.0295
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+82.2% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Coming Soon $799,990 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-04-13 Sold (MLS) $478,553 MRIS
  • 2018-04-13 Sold (MLS) $478,553 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-03-06 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-03-04 Delisted MRIS
  • 2018-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $253,764 Public Records
  • 2017-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $392,704 Public Records
  • 2017-10-24 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2017-10-18 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2017-09-28 Listed $478,553 MRIS
  • 2017-09-28 Delisted MRIS
  • 2017-09-28 Listed $478,553 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-09-28 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-07-10 Listed MRIS
  • 2017-07-10 Listed $439,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+34.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,951 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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