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543 Blue Bell Rd
B- Composite 66.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,900

543 Blue Bell Rd · Williamstown, NJ 08094
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,116 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 92 Days on market
Built 1955 0.26 ac lot Est $298k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Handyman Special! 2 Bdrm Rancher featuring Living Room w/ Wood Stove, Gas Heat, Vinyl Siding, Fenced Yard, Wood Deck, Partial Basement & More! Property needs repairs, Being Sold in it's "AS IS" Condition. Buyer responsible for C/O.

Key facts

  • 0.26 acre lot
  • Built 1955
  • Listed 91 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership: Fee simple; Year built source: Assessor

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached structure; Above-grade finished area per assessor (1,116)
  • Construction: Block construction; Block foundation; Other structures above and below grade
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 225

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level); 1 full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Hot water heating; Natural gas heating fuel; Electric cooling; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Full basement; Living area per assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
  • Recommended offer: $173k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.9% in Williamstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#289 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Monroe Township Public School District (suburban): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #302 of 472 in NJ (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Williamstown High School (math 21% / reading 50%, grade F, #234 of 399 statewide, top 59%, 1,782 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools at 26% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 270 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $64k; list at $190k implies a 196% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $172,809 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
8.81%
Cash-on-cash
9.00%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$297,972
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
112 Shisler Ave 0.09mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (-10%) 6mo $290,000 $288 70
63 Linwood Ave 0.31mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,192 (+7%) 2mo $315,000 $264 68
135 Oak St 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (-10%) 6mo $265,000 $263 65
18 Bodine Ave 0.43mi 2/1.0 1,040 (-7%) 6mo $155,000 $149 63
1217 S Beecham Rd 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,104 (-1%) 14mo $314,000 $284 52
1018 Micawber Dr 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,248 (+12%) 2mo $315,000 $252 48
323 Clinton Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,241 (+11%) 17mo $290,000 $234 45
1035 S Beecham Rd 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,040 (-7%) 11mo $315,000 $303 44
422 Winslow Rd 0.59mi 2/2.0 1,032 (-8%) 14mo $321,000 $311 44
1011 S Beecham Rd 0.54mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,275 (+14%) 5mo $340,000 $267 40
1164 S Beecham Rd 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,040 (-7%) 14mo $285,000 $274 38
335 Walnut St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,252 (+12%) 13mo $290,000 $232 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.6%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-5,267
Equity at exit
$28,315
10-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$28,524
Equity at exit
$16,419

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08094

Active inventory
270
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,294 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$338 /mo · $4,059/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$482
Net cashflow
$399

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,789
Max offer price $189,900
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $506 -5% $453 +0% $399 +5% $345 +10% $291
Rent -10% $218 -5% $308 +0% $399 +5% $490 +10% $580
Rate -1.0pp $495 -0.5pp $447 base $399 +0.5pp $350 +1.0pp $300

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
401 Blue Bell Rd Unit C Williamstown, NJ 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,700 $1.70 0d 1 0.16mi
62 Washington Ave Williamstown, NJ 3.0 1.5 1434 $2,600 $1.81 8d 1 0.36mi
401 N Main St Williamstown, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 860 $1,825 $2.12 0d 1 0.93mi
15 Kent Rd Williamstown, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 850 $1,925 $2.26 0d 1 0.96mi
601 N Black Horse Pike Williamstown, NJ 2.0 1.0 760 $1,938 $2.55 0d 1 1.05mi
385 N Tuckahoe Rd Unit 969 Williamstown, NJ 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,999 $2.00 25d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $189,900 Active 92 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,900 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,900 Active 88 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,900 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,900 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricestatusdays on market $189,900 Active 84 DOM
  7. 2026-05-04
    historical Active Under Contract
  8. 2026-04-02
    price $200,000
  9. 2026-02-12
    listed $250,000 Active
  10. 2009-01-26
    soldstatus $64,250 248-char remark
    Show marketing remark (248 chars)

    Handyman Special! 2 Bdrm Rancher featuring Living Room w/ Wood Stove, Gas Heat, Vinyl Siding, Fenced Yard, Wood Deck, Partial Basement & More! Property needs repairs, Being Sold in it's "AS IS" Condition. Buyer responsible for C/O.

  11. 2009-01-07
    historical 248-char remark
    Show marketing remark (248 chars)

    Handyman Special! 2 Bdrm Rancher featuring Living Room w/ Wood Stove, Gas Heat, Vinyl Siding, Fenced Yard, Wood Deck, Partial Basement & More! Property needs repairs, Being Sold in it's "AS IS" Condition. Buyer responsible for C/O.

  12. 2008-08-22
    listed $69,000 248-char remark
    Show marketing remark (248 chars)

    Handyman Special! 2 Bdrm Rancher featuring Living Room w/ Wood Stove, Gas Heat, Vinyl Siding, Fenced Yard, Wood Deck, Partial Basement & More! Property needs repairs, Being Sold in it's "AS IS" Condition. Buyer responsible for C/O.

  13. 2008-07-28
    historical
  14. 2008-04-29
    listed $86,900
  15. 2008-03-28
    historical
  16. 2007-12-13
    listed $98,100
  17. 2000-03-06
    soldstatus $63,000
  18. 2000-03-02
    soldstatus $63,000
  19. 2000-02-28
    historical
  20. 1999-09-15
    listed $63,000
  21. 1986-12-23
    soldstatus $44,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,059 · $338/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,394 · $366/mo
Expected delta
+$335/yr (+$28/mo · 8.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,527
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$4,059
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,202
− Management
−$2,202
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable income
$1,952
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$469
After-tax cash flow
$4,319/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Monroe Township Public School District
NCES district ID
3410470
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$71,557
Composite
30.24/100
National rank
#6295
State rank
#302 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Williamstown

Score
69/100
State rank
#289
US rank
#8603

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Williamstown, NJ
County
Gloucester County · 160,422 people
City population
41,595
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
41,595
Household income
$96,699
Rent vs Own
14.5% rent · 85.5% own
Severe rent burden
721.0

Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
298,895 people
By 2030
299,031 · +0.0%
By 2040
294,020 · -1.6%
By 2050
284,188 · -4.9%
By 2075
260,720 · -12.8%
By 2100
229,565 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -213.12%
Current HPI
278.3849
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+345.4% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $200,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-01-26 Sold (MLS) $64,250 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-01-07 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-08-22 Listed $69,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-07-28 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-04-29 Listed $86,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-03-28 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-12-13 Listed $98,100 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
  • 2000-03-02 Sold (MLS) $63,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-02-28 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 1999-09-15 Listed $63,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1986-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $44,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,059 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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