204 Kellys Heroes Way · Sonterra, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +6.3/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- DSCR +0.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Seller offering up to $5,000 toward buyer’s closing costs with lender approval—great opportunity to reduce out-of-pocket expenses! Welcome to 204 Kelly’s Heroes Way, a well-maintained single-story home in the Sonterra community of Jarrell. This inviting residence features an open-concept layout with neutral finishes, abundant natural light, and wood-look flooring throughout the main living areas. The kitchen offers white cabinetry, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, subway tile backsplash, and a large center island with bar seating. The kitchen opens seamlessly to the living and dining areas, creating a functional layout ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The primary bedroom includes plush carpeting, a private bathroom with an extended vanity, and a spacious walk-in closet. Secondary bedrooms are well-sized and versatile for guests, a home office, or additional living space. A separate laundry room provides added convenience and storage. The fully fenced backyard features a private patio and no rear neighbors, offering added privacy while still maintaining neighboring homes on either side. The home also includes a two-car garage and attractive curb appeal. Conveniently located near I-35 with easy access to Georgetown, Round Rock, and Austin, along with nearby schools, parks, and community amenities. This move-in ready home is a great opportunity for a primary residence or investment property in a growing area.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Large center island
- White cabinetry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-400 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $154k (31.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (19.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $154k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Jarrell ISD (rural): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #713 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Jarrell El (math 19% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,277 of 4,322 statewide, top 77%, 785 students, 62% FRL); Jarrell Middle (math 21% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,258 of 1,662 statewide, top 77%, 741 students, 64% FRL); Jarrell H S (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,632 statewide, top 70%, 868 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 915 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 42d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 69% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 7,543 units permitted in Williamson County in 2024 (1,425 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Williamson County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.62%
- DSCR
- 0.66
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $269,823
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -16.61%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 Rowdy Yates Way | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,237 (+2%) | 0mo | $195,000 | $158 | 76 |
| 209 Alcatraz Loop | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (+6%) | 12mo | $267,490 | $208 | 72 |
| 280 Alcatraz Loop | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,343 (+11%) | 10mo | $220,000 | $164 | 68 |
| 312 The Bad Way | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,276 (+5%) | 4mo | $199,999 | $157 | 63 |
| 237 Alcatraz Loop | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,388 (+14%) | 12mo | $259,990 | $187 | 62 |
| 217 Escape Way | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,388 (+14%) | 9mo | $259,990 | $187 | 61 |
| 205 Escape Way | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,388 (+14%) | 9mo | $264,990 | $191 | 61 |
| 205 Alcatraz Loop | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,388 (+14%) | 10mo | $269,990 | $195 | 60 |
| 217 Alcatraz Loop | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,388 (+14%) | 11mo | $269,490 | $194 | 60 |
| 672 The Ugly Way | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,267 (+4%) | 12mo | $240,000 | $189 | 52 |
| 240 Line Of Fire Way | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,367 (+13%) | 7mo | $234,900 | $172 | 47 |
| 317 Perfect World Loop | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,367 (+13%) | 9mo | $239,000 | $175 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -33.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.06×
- Total profit
- $-67,063
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -70.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.76×
- Total profit
- $-110,994
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 10 active · 6 under contract
- Months of supply
- 10.0 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $233,745 ($166/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 268 d
- This list price
- 40% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +33.8% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 76537
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Rents YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 915
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,821 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$539 /mo · $6,463/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$26
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $-400
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-273 | -5% $-336 | +0% $-400 | +5% $-464 | +10% $-527 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-544 | -5% $-472 | +0% $-400 | +5% $-328 | +10% $-256 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-287 | -0.5pp $-343 | base $-400 | +0.5pp $-458 | +1.0pp $-517 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 137 Kellys Heroes Way Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1214 | $1,695 | $1.40 | 93d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 241 Alcatraz Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,795 | $1.39 | 9d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 608 Magnum Force Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1401 | $1,995 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 420 Perfect World Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 53d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 128 Dollars Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 31d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 376 Rae Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,795 | $1.50 | 17d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 376 Rae Ln Unit A Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,695 | $1.41 | 71d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 149 Vulcan Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,799 | $1.24 | 73d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 873 Circle Way Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 64d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 117 Galaxy Way Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 41d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 600 Shimek St Unit 19A Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 67d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 344 Circle Way Unit 35E Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $1,575 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 137 Hematite Ln Unit 1 Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1323 | $1,650 | $1.25 | 27d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 244 Circle Way Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,545 | $1.24 | 69d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 224 Amber Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $1,475 | $1.30 | 69d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 216 The Duke Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $1,700 | $1.20 | 30d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 105 McLintock Rd Jarrell, TX | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 1773 | $2,055 | $1.16 | 9d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 104 Fighting Seabees Run Unit NA Jarrell, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 51d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 140 Calcite Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1401 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 73d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 317 Moonstone Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $1,650 | $1.49 | 31d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 236 Moonstone Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $1,450 | $1.31 | 18d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 125 Paradise Canyon Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1305 | $2,095 | $1.61 | 31d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 829 Ibis Falls Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1473 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 41d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 252 Wild Wind Trl Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $1,650 | $1.33 | 67d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 221 Barbary Coast Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 9d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 154 Hammond Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,799 | $1.20 | 41d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 400 Major Lee Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,600 | $1.28 | 38d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 107 Wild Wind Cv Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1214 | $1,700 | $1.40 | 93d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 400 Captain Grumbles Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1463 | $1,550 | $1.06 | 73d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 153 Star Pass Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $1,700 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 149 Star Pass Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $1,700 | $1.20 | 9d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 137 Star Pass Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $1,700 | $1.20 | 9d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 360 Brannigan Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1409 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 46d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 113 Star Pass Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1417 | $1,500 | $1.06 | 32d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 112 Ragnar Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $1,495 | $1.20 | 68d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 112 Ragnar Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $1,495 | $1.20 | 65d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-03-23price $225,000 1475-char remark
Show marketing remark (1475 chars)
Seller offering up to $5,000 toward buyer’s closing costs with lender approval—great opportunity to reduce out-of-pocket expenses! Welcome to 204 Kelly’s Heroes Way, a well-maintained single-story home in the Sonterra community of Jarrell. This inviting residence features an open-concept layout with neutral finishes, abundant natural light, and wood-look flooring throughout the main living areas. The kitchen offers white cabinetry, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, subway tile backsplash, and a large center island with bar seating. The kitchen opens seamlessly to the living and dining areas, creating a functional layout ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The primary bedroom includes plush carpeting, a private bathroom with an extended vanity, and a spacious walk-in closet. Secondary bedrooms are well-sized and versatile for guests, a home office, or additional living space. A separate laundry room provides added convenience and storage. The fully fenced backyard features a private patio and no rear neighbors, offering added privacy while still maintaining neighboring homes on either side. The home also includes a two-car garage and attractive curb appeal. Conveniently located near I-35 with easy access to Georgetown, Round Rock, and Austin, along with nearby schools, parks, and community amenities. This move-in ready home is a great opportunity for a primary residence or investment property in a growing area.
-
2026-01-17$235,000 Active 1475-char remark
Show marketing remark (1475 chars)
Seller offering up to $5,000 toward buyer’s closing costs with lender approval—great opportunity to reduce out-of-pocket expenses! Welcome to 204 Kelly’s Heroes Way, a well-maintained single-story home in the Sonterra community of Jarrell. This inviting residence features an open-concept layout with neutral finishes, abundant natural light, and wood-look flooring throughout the main living areas. The kitchen offers white cabinetry, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, subway tile backsplash, and a large center island with bar seating. The kitchen opens seamlessly to the living and dining areas, creating a functional layout ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The primary bedroom includes plush carpeting, a private bathroom with an extended vanity, and a spacious walk-in closet. Secondary bedrooms are well-sized and versatile for guests, a home office, or additional living space. A separate laundry room provides added convenience and storage. The fully fenced backyard features a private patio and no rear neighbors, offering added privacy while still maintaining neighboring homes on either side. The home also includes a two-car garage and attractive curb appeal. Conveniently located near I-35 with easy access to Georgetown, Round Rock, and Austin, along with nearby schools, parks, and community amenities. This move-in ready home is a great opportunity for a primary residence or investment property in a growing area.
-
2023-04-20soldstatus Closed 554-char remark
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
This charming Edwards design successfully blends warmth and efficiency, maximizing space in every corner. Two spacious secondary rooms at the front of the home have convenient access to a full bath. Enjoy the open-concept, sun-lit great room overlooking the kitchen and breakfast area. In the kitchen, sharpen your culinary skills over plenty of counterspace, with 42" White painted cabinets, white quartz counters and subway backsplash. Rest after a long day in the private primary bedroom, complete with a walk-in-closet. Edwards plan, elevation A
-
2023-02-28status Pending 554-char remark
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
This charming Edwards design successfully blends warmth and efficiency, maximizing space in every corner. Two spacious secondary rooms at the front of the home have convenient access to a full bath. Enjoy the open-concept, sun-lit great room overlooking the kitchen and breakfast area. In the kitchen, sharpen your culinary skills over plenty of counterspace, with 42" White painted cabinets, white quartz counters and subway backsplash. Rest after a long day in the private primary bedroom, complete with a walk-in-closet. Edwards plan, elevation A
-
2023-01-20$274,990 Active 554-char remark
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
This charming Edwards design successfully blends warmth and efficiency, maximizing space in every corner. Two spacious secondary rooms at the front of the home have convenient access to a full bath. Enjoy the open-concept, sun-lit great room overlooking the kitchen and breakfast area. In the kitchen, sharpen your culinary skills over plenty of counterspace, with 42" White painted cabinets, white quartz counters and subway backsplash. Rest after a long day in the private primary bedroom, complete with a walk-in-closet. Edwards plan, elevation A
-
2022-08-05price
-
2022-07-01Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,463 · $539/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,463 · $539/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,849
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$6,463
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,748
- − Management
- −$1,748
- − HOA
- −$312
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$8,696
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,087
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,712/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained single-story home in Sonterra is move-in ready with good condition and neutral finishes. It offers an open-concept layout, wood-look flooring, and modern kitchen and bathrooms.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale trim bushes — improves landscaping ↑
- Both install smart home devices — increases home's value and convenience ↑
- Both install smart thermostat — improves energy efficiency and comfort ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jarrell ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4824600
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,132
- Composite
- 21.47/100
- National rank
- #8335
- State rank
- #713 of 826 in TX
Livability — Sonterra
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Williamson County · 699,027 people
- City population
- 12,526
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,272
- Household income
- $98,199
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6% of renters
Population outlook (Williamson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 699,027 people
- By 2030
- 795,537 · +13.8%
- By 2040
- 990,683 · +41.7%
- By 2050
- 1,184,292 · +69.4%
- By 2075
- 1,623,825 · +132.3%
- By 2100
- 1,924,153 · +175.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 14% Black 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 26% Chinese 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Williamson
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 50.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -2.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.5 2020: D+1.4 2016: R+9.9 2012: R+21.5 2008: R+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.03%
- Current HPI
- 184.8935
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.73%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-18.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $225,000 Unlock MLS
- 2026-01-17 Listed $235,000 Unlock MLS
- 2023-04-20 Sold (MLS) — Unlock MLS
- 2023-02-28 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2023-01-20 Listed $274,990 Unlock MLS
- 2022-08-05 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2022-07-01 Listed — Unlock MLS
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2026): $6,463 · -2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…