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13194 Monica St
B+ Composite 76.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$38,900

13194 Monica St · Detroit, MI 48238
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,000 sqft · Townhouse public records · 70 Days on market
Built 1926 3,920 sqft lot $19/sqft · 39% below area Est $64k · 39% under ↓ 49% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special on Detroit's west side. This 2-unit brick duplex features two spacious units, each with 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. Property requires a full renovation - ideal for seasoned investors or rehabbers looking to add value. Separate entrances, large rooms, and original layout intact. Features include a full basement, upper balcony, and covered front porch. Excellent potential for long-term cash flow or future resale. Hold Harmless must be signed prior to showing. Sold as-is. BATVAI.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Brick duplex
  • Full basement

Tags

BRICK DUPLEXFULL RENOVATIONSEPARATE ENTRANCESFULL BASEMENTUPPER BALCONYCOVERED FRONT PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $39k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $972 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $39k).
  • Recommended offer: $37k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 36.3% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 348 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,570/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 2172% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $269 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 24 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $39k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $36,566 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.04%
Cap rate
36.27%
Cash-on-cash
107.06%
DSCR
5.76
GRM
2.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$64,128
List price
$38,900
Delta
-39.34%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.58×
Total profit
$60,731
Equity at exit
$5,800
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.24×
Total profit
$155,077
Equity at exit
$3,363

Cash invested: $10,892 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48238

Home prices YoY
-14.4%
Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
348
Price-to-rent
2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,570 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$204
Tax est. 1.5%
$49 /mo · $584/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$330
Net cashflow
$972

Break-even live

Break-even rent $340
Max offer price $38,900
Occupancy floor 33%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $999 -5% $985 +0% $972 +5% $958 +10% $945
Rent -10% $848 -5% $910 +0% $972 +5% $1,034 +10% $1,096
Rate -1.0pp $991 -0.5pp $982 base $972 +0.5pp $962 +1.0pp $951

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,725
Closing costs
$1,167
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13225 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 2100 $1,700 $0.81 6d 1 0.06mi
4341 Glendale St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.5 1832 $1,680 $0.92 6d 1 0.33mi
12546 Broadstreet Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1899 $1,250 $0.66 45d 1 0.39mi
3747 Tyler St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2600 $1,700 $0.65 24d 1 0.61mi
12303 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1454 $1,400 $0.96 44d 1 0.65mi
14242 Ohio St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,000 $0.71 44d 1 0.84mi
3209 W Grand St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1550 $1,103 $0.71 44d 1 0.85mi
Ohio St Unit 4 Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1400 $750 $0.54 44d 1 0.98mi
3322 Webb St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1600 $1,250 $0.78 17d 1 1.03mi
3322 Webb St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1656 $1,350 $0.82 44d 1 1.04mi
3322 Webb St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1656 $1,350 $0.82 44d 1 1.04mi
2986 Richton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2600 $1,200 $0.46 17d 1 1.04mi
12650 Griggs St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1628 $1,375 $0.84 25d 1 1.04mi
3241 Lawrence St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2636 $1,800 $0.68 17d 1 1.20mi
3031 Lawrence St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1700 $1,600 $0.94 17d 1 1.25mi
2474 Fullerton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,300 $0.93 16d 1 1.32mi
2925 Calvert St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,300 $0.93 17d 1 1.41mi
2655 Collingwood St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1881 $2,700 $1.44 2d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (512 chars)

    Investor special on Detroit’s west side. This 2-unit brick duplex features two spacious units, each with 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. Property requires a full renovation—ideal for seasoned investors or rehabbers looking to add value. Separate entrances, large rooms, and original layout intact. Features include a full basement, upper balcony, and covered front porch. Excellent potential for long-term cash flow or future resale. Hold Harmless must be signed prior to showing. Sold as-is. BATVAI.

  2. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 512-char remark
    Show marketing remark (512 chars)

    Investor special on Detroit’s west side. This 2-unit brick duplex features two spacious units, each with 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. Property requires a full renovation—ideal for seasoned investors or rehabbers looking to add value. Separate entrances, large rooms, and original layout intact. Features include a full basement, upper balcony, and covered front porch. Excellent potential for long-term cash flow or future resale. Hold Harmless must be signed prior to showing. Sold as-is. BATVAI.

  3. 2026-03-02
    listed $38,900 Active 512-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    Investor special on Detroit's west side. This 2-unit brick duplex features two spacious units, each with 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. Property requires a full renovation - ideal for seasoned investors or rehabbers looking to add value. Separate entrances, large rooms, and original layout intact. Features include a full basement, upper balcony, and covered front porch. Excellent potential for long-term cash flow or future resale. Hold Harmless must be signed prior to showing. Sold as-is. BATVAI.

  4. 2026-03-02
    listed $38,900 Active 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    Investor special on Detroit's west side. This 2-unit brick duplex features two spacious units, each with 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. Property requires a full renovation - ideal for seasoned investors or rehabbers looking to add value. Separate entrances, large rooms, and original layout intact. Features include a full basement, upper balcony, and covered front porch. Excellent potential for long-term cash flow or future resale. Hold Harmless must be signed prior to showing. Sold as-is. BATVAI.

  5. 2026-02-27
    historical
  6. 2026-02-27
    historical
  7. 2026-02-17
    price $39,500
  8. 2026-02-17
    price $39,500
  9. 2025-11-03
    price $39,990
  10. 2025-11-03
    price $39,990
  11. 2025-08-06
    listed $49,990 Active
  12. 2025-08-06
    listed $49,990 Active
  13. 2025-02-04
    historical
  14. 2025-02-04
    historical
  15. 2024-10-22
    listed $59,900 Active
  16. 2024-10-22
    listed $59,900 Active
  17. 2023-08-31
    soldstatus $25,000 Sold
  18. 2023-08-31
    soldstatus $25,000 Closed
  19. 2023-07-26
    status Pending
  20. 2023-07-26
    status Pending
  21. 2023-07-17
    listed $35,000 Active
  22. 2023-07-17
    historical
  23. 2023-07-17
    listed $35,000 Active
  24. 2023-07-17
    historical
  25. 2023-05-18
    historical
  26. 2023-05-18
    listed $28,000 Active
  27. 2023-05-18
    listed $28,000 Active
  28. 2023-05-18
    historical
  29. 2023-01-31
    listed $38,000 Active
  30. 2023-01-31
    historical
  31. 2023-01-31
    listed $38,000 Active
  32. 2023-01-31
    historical
  33. 2022-12-15
    listed $46,000 Active
  34. 2022-12-15
    listed $46,000 Active
  35. 2021-12-31
    status Pending
  36. 2021-12-23
    historical
  37. 2021-10-22
    status Pending
  38. 2021-10-22
    status Pending
  39. 2021-10-22
    historical
  40. 2021-10-22
    historical
  41. 2021-09-27
    listed $29,000 Active
  42. 2021-09-27
    listed $29,000 Active
  43. 2021-08-01
    historical
  44. 2021-07-31
    historical
  45. 2021-05-25
    price $49,900
  46. 2021-05-25
    price $49,900
  47. 2021-03-15
    listed $60,000 Active
  48. 2021-03-15
    listed $60,000 Active
  49. 2016-02-18
    historical
  50. 2016-02-17
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,845
− Mortgage interest
−$2,179
− Property taxes
−$584
− Insurance
−$194
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,508
− Management
−$1,508
− Depreciation
−$1,132
Taxable income
$11,741
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,818
After-tax cash flow
$8,844/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,731
Household income
$33,315
Rent vs Own
53.0% rent · 47.0% own
Severe rent burden
2172.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.96%
Current HPI
189.6227
Rent YoY
▲ 6.14%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-49.5% since first listed
64 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $38,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $38,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $39,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $39,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $39,990 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $39,990 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-06 Listed $49,990 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-06 Listed $49,990 REALCOMP
  • 2025-02-04 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-02-04 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-10-22 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-10-22 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2023-08-31 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-08-31 Sold (MLS) $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-07-26 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-07-26 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2023-07-17 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-07-17 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-07-17 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-07-17 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-05-18 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-05-18 Listed $28,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-05-18 Listed $28,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-05-18 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-01-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-01-31 Listed $38,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-01-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-01-31 Listed $38,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-12-15 Listed $46,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-12-15 Listed $46,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-12-31 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-23 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-10-22 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-10-22 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-10-22 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-10-22 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-09-27 Listed $29,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-09-27 Listed $29,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-08-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-07-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-05-25 Price Changed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-05-25 Price Changed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-15 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-15 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
  • 2016-02-18 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2016-02-17 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-02-14 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2016-02-09 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2016-01-26 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2015-11-08 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2015-11-04 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2015-09-19 Listed $10 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-09-19 Listed $10 REALCOMP
  • 2012-04-06 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-04-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2012-03-06 Listed $12,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-03-06 Listed $12,000 REALCOMP
  • 2003-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
  • 2002-11-29 Sold (MLS) $72,000 REALCOMP
  • 2002-08-13 Listed $77,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,145 · -38.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…