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15748 Hubbell St
D Composite 43.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

15748 Hubbell St · Detroit, MI 48227
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,281 sqft · Townhouse public records · 197 Days on market
Built 1954 4,356 sqft lot ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in a quiet, tree-lined Detroit neighborhood. Perfect for first-time buyers, small families, or anyone looking for a cozy urban retreat, this home combines comfort, style, and convenience. Both bedrooms offer generous closet space and natural light, while the full bathroom has been tastefully updated with contemporary finishes. One of the standout features is the private balcony - perfect for morning coffee, evening relaxation, or taking in the neighborhood view. Additional highlights include a full basement with storage potential, off-street parking, and a fenced backyard ideal for pets, gardening, or outdoor gatherings. Located just minutes from downtown Detroit, major highways, and local parks, this home offers the perfect blend of suburban tranquility and city access. * * One unit-upstairs is currently occupied with tenants * *

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1954

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick exterior; Approximately 2,281 above-grade finished square feet
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $25 ($295/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Coleman A Young Elementary School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #980 of 1,397 statewide, top 74%, 416 students, 93% FRL); Henry Ford High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 712 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools at 90% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 392 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,655/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 2371% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 197 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 197 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
6.49%
Cash-on-cash
0.70%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.6%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-18,141
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
1.8%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$6,083
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48227

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
392
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,655 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$434 /mo · $5,208/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$348
Net cashflow
$25

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,624
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $109 -5% $67 +0% $25 +5% $-18 +10% $-60
Rent -10% $-106 -5% $-41 +0% $25 +5% $90 +10% $155
Rate -1.0pp $100 -0.5pp $63 base $25 +0.5pp $-14 +1.0pp $-54

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,345 $0.79 45d 1 0.45mi
16230 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1653 $1,450 $0.88 45d 1 0.78mi
14669 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2359 $1,950 $0.83 45d 1 1.09mi
14800 Woodmont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1612 $1,525 $0.95 16d 1 1.17mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-02
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-01
    status Pending 914-char remark
    Show marketing remark (914 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in a quiet, tree-lined Detroit neighborhood. Perfect for first-time buyers, small families, or anyone looking for a cozy urban retreat, this home combines comfort, style, and convenience. Both bedrooms offer generous closet space and natural light, while the full bathroom has been tastefully updated with contemporary finishes. One of the standout features is the private balcony - perfect for morning coffee, evening relaxation, or taking in the neighborhood view. Additional highlights include a full basement with storage potential, off-street parking, and a fenced backyard ideal for pets, gardening, or outdoor gatherings. Located just minutes from downtown Detroit, major highways, and local parks, this home offers the perfect blend of suburban tranquility and city access. * * One unit-upstairs is currently occupied with tenants * *

  3. 2025-11-20
    price $150,000 914-char remark
    Show marketing remark (914 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in a quiet, tree-lined Detroit neighborhood. Perfect for first-time buyers, small families, or anyone looking for a cozy urban retreat, this home combines comfort, style, and convenience. Both bedrooms offer generous closet space and natural light, while the full bathroom has been tastefully updated with contemporary finishes. One of the standout features is the private balcony - perfect for morning coffee, evening relaxation, or taking in the neighborhood view. Additional highlights include a full basement with storage potential, off-street parking, and a fenced backyard ideal for pets, gardening, or outdoor gatherings. Located just minutes from downtown Detroit, major highways, and local parks, this home offers the perfect blend of suburban tranquility and city access. * * One unit-upstairs is currently occupied with tenants * *

  4. 2025-11-20
    price $150,000
    Show marketing remark (914 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in a quiet, tree-lined Detroit neighborhood. Perfect for first-time buyers, small families, or anyone looking for a cozy urban retreat, this home combines comfort, style, and convenience. Both bedrooms offer generous closet space and natural light, while the full bathroom has been tastefully updated with contemporary finishes. One of the standout features is the private balcony - perfect for morning coffee, evening relaxation, or taking in the neighborhood view. Additional highlights include a full basement with storage potential, off-street parking, and a fenced backyard ideal for pets, gardening, or outdoor gatherings. Located just minutes from downtown Detroit, major highways, and local parks, this home offers the perfect blend of suburban tranquility and city access. * * One unit-upstairs is currently occupied with tenants * *

  5. 2025-10-17
    listed $160,000 Active 914-char remark
    Show marketing remark (914 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in a quiet, tree-lined Detroit neighborhood. Perfect for first-time buyers, small families, or anyone looking for a cozy urban retreat, this home combines comfort, style, and convenience. Both bedrooms offer generous closet space and natural light, while the full bathroom has been tastefully updated with contemporary finishes. One of the standout features is the private balcony - perfect for morning coffee, evening relaxation, or taking in the neighborhood view. Additional highlights include a full basement with storage potential, off-street parking, and a fenced backyard ideal for pets, gardening, or outdoor gatherings. Located just minutes from downtown Detroit, major highways, and local parks, this home offers the perfect blend of suburban tranquility and city access. * * One unit-upstairs is currently occupied with tenants * *

  6. 2025-10-17
    listed $160,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (914 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in a quiet, tree-lined Detroit neighborhood. Perfect for first-time buyers, small families, or anyone looking for a cozy urban retreat, this home combines comfort, style, and convenience. Both bedrooms offer generous closet space and natural light, while the full bathroom has been tastefully updated with contemporary finishes. One of the standout features is the private balcony - perfect for morning coffee, evening relaxation, or taking in the neighborhood view. Additional highlights include a full basement with storage potential, off-street parking, and a fenced backyard ideal for pets, gardening, or outdoor gatherings. Located just minutes from downtown Detroit, major highways, and local parks, this home offers the perfect blend of suburban tranquility and city access. * * One unit-upstairs is currently occupied with tenants * *

  7. 2025-10-16
    historical $160,000 914-char remark
    Show marketing remark (914 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in a quiet, tree-lined Detroit neighborhood. Perfect for first-time buyers, small families, or anyone looking for a cozy urban retreat, this home combines comfort, style, and convenience. Both bedrooms offer generous closet space and natural light, while the full bathroom has been tastefully updated with contemporary finishes. One of the standout features is the private balcony - perfect for morning coffee, evening relaxation, or taking in the neighborhood view. Additional highlights include a full basement with storage potential, off-street parking, and a fenced backyard ideal for pets, gardening, or outdoor gatherings. Located just minutes from downtown Detroit, major highways, and local parks, this home offers the perfect blend of suburban tranquility and city access. * * One unit-upstairs is currently occupied with tenants * *

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,208 · $434/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,208 · $434/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,863
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$5,208
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,589
− Management
−$1,589
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$2,039
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$489
After-tax cash flow
$784/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
40,302
Household income
$36,527
Rent vs Own
40.9% rent · 59.1% own
Severe rent burden
2371.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.00%
Current HPI
186.4158
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-01 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $150,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-17 Listed $160,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-17 Listed $160,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-16 Coming Soon $160,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,208 · +106.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…