2247 Cypress Cross Loop · Kathleen, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.5/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Take a look at this 2 bedroom 2 bathroom home located in the guard gated 55+ community of Cypress Lakes. This home features indoor laundry, and a utility room with washer dryer hooks up if you prefer. There is a 1 car carport and outdoor storage room. The home has a front all seasons room to add additional living space. There is a living room and a dinette located off the kitchen. The primary suite is extra spacious with extra sitting room, multiple closets and the bathroom has a stand up shower. The 2nd bathroom is also extra large with a sitting room, double closets and the washer/dryer. The 2nd bathroom features a tub/shower combo. Enjoy this very
Key facts
- All seasons room
- Utility room
- Community pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total acreage reported as 0 to less than 1/4 acre (approx. 0.13 acres); Paved road access
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Has HOA with monthly fee of $406 (includes 24-hour guard, grounds maintenance, management, pool); Association approval required; Community features: clubhouse, deed restrictions, fitness center, golf (golf carts allowed), pool, tennis courts, wheelchair access; Senior community; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Has carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Cable available; Electricity available; Phone available
- Home design: Manufactured double wide home; Single-story; Faces north; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding with frame construction; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a manufactured home (double wide)
- Exterior features: Rain gutters; Storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Thermostat
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry with laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $94k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $94k).
- Recommended offer: $83k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#752 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 504 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $653 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 255 days — a 12% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 255 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.44%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-6,318
- Equity at exit
- $14,090
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $5,955
- Equity at exit
- $8,171
Cash invested: $26,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33810
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 504
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,595 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$496
- Tax from tax record
- −$177 /mo · $2,122/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$406
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $142
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,625
- Closing costs
- $2,835
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2132 Sabal Palm Dr Lakeland, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $1,550 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $406 · $4,872/yr
- Likely covers
- security
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $94,500 Pending 255 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,500 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $94,500 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $94,500 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,500 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,500 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-04-21price $94,500
-
2026-03-11price $99,900
-
2026-02-03price $112,900
-
2025-12-31price $119,900
-
2025-12-02price $124,900
-
2025-11-06price $129,900
-
2025-09-26$139,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,122 · $177/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,122 · $177/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,134
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,293
- − Property taxes
- −$2,122
- − Insurance
- −$472
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,531
- − Management
- −$1,531
- − HOA
- −$4,872
- − Depreciation
- −$2,749
- Taxable income
- $564
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$135
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,568/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Kathleen
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #752
- US rank
- #16450
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Polk County · 740,051 people
- City population
- 277,690
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,137
- Household income
- $69,986
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1208.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -194.94%
- Current HPI
- 320.7366
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-32.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $94,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $99,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $112,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-31 Price Changed $119,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $124,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $129,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-26 Listed $139,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+13.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,122 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…