CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
16705 E 3rd St N
D Composite 42.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

16705 E 3rd St N · Independence, MO 64056
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1958 0.31 ac lot Est $171k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Sold On private office listing agreement

Key facts

  • Large yard
  • Utility sink
  • Breakfast area

Tags

SPACIOUS LIVING ROOMBREAKFAST AREAEXTRA RECREATION SPACEOVERSIZED BACK PATIOLARGE YARDUTILITY SINK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area approximately 1,540 (above and below grade finished areas reported); Lot about 0.31 acres; Inside city limits; Age estimate: 51–75 years
  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 stall)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Single-family residential, ranch floor plan; One story (ranch)
  • Construction: Wood siding; Composition roof; Has basement
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Paved road with public maintenance

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the first floor)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Breakfast area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $6 ($76/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (16.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $147k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 5.0% in Independence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#10 in MO, #1,296 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
  • Independence 30 (suburban): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #252 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 106 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $147,059 (16.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.72%
Cash-on-cash
1.52%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$171,360
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
129 N Davidson Ave 0.24mi 3/1.0 840 (0%) 5mo $175,000 $208 85
16109 E Cogan Ln 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (+3%) 19mo $165,000 $191 52
16001 E 2nd St 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 744 (-11%) 11mo $152,000 $204 40
15915 E Cogan Ln 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 780 (-7%) 22mo $110,000 $141 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.76% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-26,831
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-5.5%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-18,167
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64056

Rents YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
106
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,471 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,311/yr
Insurance
$73
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$6

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,463
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $105 -5% $56 +0% $6 +5% $-43 +10% $-93
Rent -10% $-110 -5% $-52 +0% $6 +5% $64 +10% $123
Rate -1.0pp $94 -0.5pp $51 base $6 +0.5pp $-39 +1.0pp $-85

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16005 E Cogan Ln Independence, MO 4.0 2.0 1080 $1,851 $1.71 2d 1 0.53mi
17013 E US Highway 24 Independence, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 686 $1,050 $1.53 5d 4 0.58mi
17013 E US Highway 24 Apt 9 Independence, MO 2.0 1.0 780 $1,050 $1.35 24d 1 0.58mi
17013 E US Highway 24 Independence, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 687 $1,050 $1.53 11d 4 0.58mi
16012 E T C Lea Rd Unit C Independence, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $795 $0.99 24d 1 0.92mi
1314 E Frederick St Independence, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $999 $1.25 44d 1 1.34mi
414 Hillside Dr Independence, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 627 $1,199 $1.91 44d 3 1.41mi
18717 E Blackhawk Trl Independence, MO 2.0 1.0 780 $1,100 $1.41 44d 1 1.48mi
1043 Arrowhead Rdg Independence, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,095 $1.37 2d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    listed $175,000 Active
  2. 2022-05-27
    soldstatus Closed 40-char remark
    Show marketing remark (40 chars)

    Sold On private office listing agreement

  3. 2022-05-27
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (40 chars)

    Sold On private office listing agreement

  4. 2022-05-26
    historical 40-char remark
    Show marketing remark (40 chars)

    Sold On private office listing agreement

  5. 2022-05-01
    listed $140,000 40-char remark
    Show marketing remark (40 chars)

    Sold On private office listing agreement

  6. 2005-05-04
    soldstatus
  7. 2005-04-29
    soldstatus 246-char remark
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Nice ranch with a finished walk-out basement. Vinyl siding , large living-dining area. This home is in excellent shape. Seller has lowered price $10,000 and is selling as-is. Home in good shape -just does not want to do any repairs at this price.

  8. 2005-01-26
    listed $89,900 246-char remark
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Nice ranch with a finished walk-out basement. Vinyl siding , large living-dining area. This home is in excellent shape. Seller has lowered price $10,000 and is selling as-is. Home in good shape -just does not want to do any repairs at this price.

  9. 1982-09-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,311 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,698 · $141/mo
Expected delta
+$387/yr (+$32/mo · 29.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,647
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$1,311
− Insurance
−$1,542
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,412
− Management
−$1,412
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$2,922
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$701
After-tax cash flow
$778/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Independence 30
NCES district ID
2915480
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,843
Composite
27.04/100
National rank
#7054
State rank
#252 of 324 in MO

Livability — Independence

Score
82/100
State rank
#10
US rank
#1296

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Independence, MO
County
Jackson County · 687,798 people
City population
117,675
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
17,395
Household income
$67,685
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
747.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 9% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -163.60%
Current HPI
286.349
Rent YoY
▲ 3.76%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+94.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $175,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-05-27 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-26 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-01 Listed $140,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-05-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-04-29 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-01-26 Listed $89,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1982-09-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+10.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,311 · -22.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…