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642 Milnor Rd
D Composite 40.64
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$350,000

642 Milnor Rd · State Line, PA 17225
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,450 sqft · Other · 361 Days on market
Built 2004 2.60 ac lot ↓ 30% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This property sits between 195 acres of Industrial Ground (currently actively listed under contract) it is next to a Norfolk Southern Railway Intermodel Rail Yard, is 4 miles from Hagerstown Regional Airport, close to 2 major Route 81 Interchanges (Exit #1 & Exit #3) and very close proximity to Route 11-Molly Pitcher Highway. Property sits directly across the road from Walmart Fulfillment Center. Subject property being sold along with the adjacent parcel #01-0A27.. 010.000000. Zoning-Industrial District of Antrim Township, Franklin County, PA: please contact Antrim Twp. for final accepted uses. Accepted uses: Manufacturing, assembling, converting, altering, finishing, cleaning or any other processing, handling or storage of products and materials. Building materials' storage, lumber yards and lumber mills. Freight and truck terminals, distribution plants, warehousing and wholesaling facilities. Printing, bookbinding and newspaper publishing. Research and design offices and laboratories. All uses that are similar to the previously stated and not otherwise prohibited. Accessory uses and buildings customarily incidental to the previously stated uses, including dwellings only for bona fide caretakers or watchmen. Lodges and fraternal orders. Health clubs, health spas and other similar establishments, subject to the requirements of Public utilities (i. e. sewere, water, gas, etc. ) Federal state and local government offices and accessory uses, and other municipal essential services (i. e. fire, police, nonprofit recreational facilities, etc. ) Public schools and essential uses, provided that all outside active play areas are screened from adjacent properties. Truck stops. A facility designed especially to be used for long-distance truck drivers that may include but is not limited to restaurants, fuel pumps, repair garage, truck service etc. Truck, semi trailer and full trailer sales. Uses where the primary business involves truck traffic, including but not limited to semi trucks, tractor-trailers, eighteen - wheelers, etc. Building site #1-3 bed, 2 bath double wide on precast concrete wall basement, steel equipment shed and chicken pen.

Key facts

  • 2.6 acre lot
  • 4 garage spots
  • Built 2004

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-17 ($-209/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $347k (0.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $290k (17.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $290k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#1,231 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Greencastle-Antrim SD (suburban): math 43% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #118 of 539 in PA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Greencastle-Antrim El Sch (math 45% / reading 63%, grade C, #557 of 1,518 statewide, top 37%, 680 students, 40% FRL); Greencastle-Antrim Ms (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #137 of 512 statewide, top 27%, 689 students, 37% FRL); Greencastle-Antrim Shs (math 74% / reading 24%, grade D, #149 of 437 statewide, top 34%, 1,047 students, 32% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 126 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 361 days — a 12% lower offer ($308k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $150k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $290,000 (17.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 361 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.23%
Cash-on-cash
-0.21%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.7%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-57,850
Equity at exit
$52,186
10-year hold
IRR
-8.5%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-51,902
Equity at exit
$30,262

Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17225

Home prices YoY
-19.0%
Active inventory
126
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,900 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$327 /mo · $3,926/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$609
Net cashflow
$-17

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,922
Max offer price $346,920
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $181 -5% $82 +0% $-17 +5% $-117 +10% $-216
Rent -10% $-247 -5% $-132 +0% $-17 +5% $97 +10% $212
Rate -1.0pp $159 -0.5pp $72 base $-17 +0.5pp $-108 +1.0pp $-200

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,500
Closing costs
$10,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
287 Paradise View Dr Greencastle, PA 4.0 3.5 2800 $2,900 $1.04 15d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2024-06-14
    status Pending 2176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2176 chars)

    This property sits between 195 acres of Industrial Ground (currently actively listed under contract) it is next to a Norfolk Southern Railway Intermodel Rail Yard, is 4 miles from Hagerstown Regional Airport, close to 2 major Route 81 Interchanges (Exit #1 & Exit #3) and very close proximity to Route 11-Molly Pitcher Highway. Property sits directly across the road from Walmart Fulfillment Center. Subject property being sold along with the adjacent parcel #01-0A27.. 010.000000. Zoning-Industrial District of Antrim Township, Franklin County, PA: please contact Antrim Twp. for final accepted uses. Accepted uses: Manufacturing, assembling, converting, altering, finishing, cleaning or any other processing, handling or storage of products and materials. Building materials' storage, lumber yards and lumber mills. Freight and truck terminals, distribution plants, warehousing and wholesaling facilities. Printing, bookbinding and newspaper publishing. Research and design offices and laboratories. All uses that are similar to the previously stated and not otherwise prohibited. Accessory uses and buildings customarily incidental to the previously stated uses, including dwellings only for bona fide caretakers or watchmen. Lodges and fraternal orders. Health clubs, health spas and other similar establishments, subject to the requirements of Public utilities (i. e. sewere, water, gas, etc. ) Federal state and local government offices and accessory uses, and other municipal essential services (i. e. fire, police, nonprofit recreational facilities, etc. ) Public schools and essential uses, provided that all outside active play areas are screened from adjacent properties. Truck stops. A facility designed especially to be used for long-distance truck drivers that may include but is not limited to restaurants, fuel pumps, repair garage, truck service etc. Truck, semi trailer and full trailer sales. Uses where the primary business involves truck traffic, including but not limited to semi trucks, tractor-trailers, eighteen - wheelers, etc. Building site #1-3 bed, 2 bath double wide on precast concrete wall basement, steel equipment shed and chicken pen.

  2. 2024-06-14
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (2176 chars)

    This property sits between 195 acres of Industrial Ground (currently actively listed under contract) it is next to a Norfolk Southern Railway Intermodel Rail Yard, is 4 miles from Hagerstown Regional Airport, close to 2 major Route 81 Interchanges (Exit #1 & Exit #3) and very close proximity to Route 11-Molly Pitcher Highway. Property sits directly across the road from Walmart Fulfillment Center. Subject property being sold along with the adjacent parcel #01-0A27.. 010.000000. Zoning-Industrial District of Antrim Township, Franklin County, PA: please contact Antrim Twp. for final accepted uses. Accepted uses: Manufacturing, assembling, converting, altering, finishing, cleaning or any other processing, handling or storage of products and materials. Building materials' storage, lumber yards and lumber mills. Freight and truck terminals, distribution plants, warehousing and wholesaling facilities. Printing, bookbinding and newspaper publishing. Research and design offices and laboratories. All uses that are similar to the previously stated and not otherwise prohibited. Accessory uses and buildings customarily incidental to the previously stated uses, including dwellings only for bona fide caretakers or watchmen. Lodges and fraternal orders. Health clubs, health spas and other similar establishments, subject to the requirements of Public utilities (i. e. sewere, water, gas, etc. ) Federal state and local government offices and accessory uses, and other municipal essential services (i. e. fire, police, nonprofit recreational facilities, etc. ) Public schools and essential uses, provided that all outside active play areas are screened from adjacent properties. Truck stops. A facility designed especially to be used for long-distance truck drivers that may include but is not limited to restaurants, fuel pumps, repair garage, truck service etc. Truck, semi trailer and full trailer sales. Uses where the primary business involves truck traffic, including but not limited to semi trucks, tractor-trailers, eighteen - wheelers, etc. Building site #1-3 bed, 2 bath double wide on precast concrete wall basement, steel equipment shed and chicken pen.

  3. 2023-12-21
    price $350,000
    Show marketing remark (2176 chars)

    This property sits between 195 acres of Industrial Ground (currently actively listed under contract) it is next to a Norfolk Southern Railway Intermodel Rail Yard, is 4 miles from Hagerstown Regional Airport, close to 2 major Route 81 Interchanges (Exit #1 & Exit #3) and very close proximity to Route 11-Molly Pitcher Highway. Property sits directly across the road from Walmart Fulfillment Center. Subject property being sold along with the adjacent parcel #01-0A27.. 010.000000. Zoning-Industrial District of Antrim Township, Franklin County, PA: please contact Antrim Twp. for final accepted uses. Accepted uses: Manufacturing, assembling, converting, altering, finishing, cleaning or any other processing, handling or storage of products and materials. Building materials' storage, lumber yards and lumber mills. Freight and truck terminals, distribution plants, warehousing and wholesaling facilities. Printing, bookbinding and newspaper publishing. Research and design offices and laboratories. All uses that are similar to the previously stated and not otherwise prohibited. Accessory uses and buildings customarily incidental to the previously stated uses, including dwellings only for bona fide caretakers or watchmen. Lodges and fraternal orders. Health clubs, health spas and other similar establishments, subject to the requirements of Public utilities (i. e. sewere, water, gas, etc. ) Federal state and local government offices and accessory uses, and other municipal essential services (i. e. fire, police, nonprofit recreational facilities, etc. ) Public schools and essential uses, provided that all outside active play areas are screened from adjacent properties. Truck stops. A facility designed especially to be used for long-distance truck drivers that may include but is not limited to restaurants, fuel pumps, repair garage, truck service etc. Truck, semi trailer and full trailer sales. Uses where the primary business involves truck traffic, including but not limited to semi trucks, tractor-trailers, eighteen - wheelers, etc. Building site #1-3 bed, 2 bath double wide on precast concrete wall basement, steel equipment shed and chicken pen.

  4. 2023-12-21
    price $350,000 2176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2176 chars)

    This property sits between 195 acres of Industrial Ground (currently actively listed under contract) it is next to a Norfolk Southern Railway Intermodel Rail Yard, is 4 miles from Hagerstown Regional Airport, close to 2 major Route 81 Interchanges (Exit #1 & Exit #3) and very close proximity to Route 11-Molly Pitcher Highway. Property sits directly across the road from Walmart Fulfillment Center. Subject property being sold along with the adjacent parcel #01-0A27.. 010.000000. Zoning-Industrial District of Antrim Township, Franklin County, PA: please contact Antrim Twp. for final accepted uses. Accepted uses: Manufacturing, assembling, converting, altering, finishing, cleaning or any other processing, handling or storage of products and materials. Building materials' storage, lumber yards and lumber mills. Freight and truck terminals, distribution plants, warehousing and wholesaling facilities. Printing, bookbinding and newspaper publishing. Research and design offices and laboratories. All uses that are similar to the previously stated and not otherwise prohibited. Accessory uses and buildings customarily incidental to the previously stated uses, including dwellings only for bona fide caretakers or watchmen. Lodges and fraternal orders. Health clubs, health spas and other similar establishments, subject to the requirements of Public utilities (i. e. sewere, water, gas, etc. ) Federal state and local government offices and accessory uses, and other municipal essential services (i. e. fire, police, nonprofit recreational facilities, etc. ) Public schools and essential uses, provided that all outside active play areas are screened from adjacent properties. Truck stops. A facility designed especially to be used for long-distance truck drivers that may include but is not limited to restaurants, fuel pumps, repair garage, truck service etc. Truck, semi trailer and full trailer sales. Uses where the primary business involves truck traffic, including but not limited to semi trucks, tractor-trailers, eighteen - wheelers, etc. Building site #1-3 bed, 2 bath double wide on precast concrete wall basement, steel equipment shed and chicken pen.

  5. 2023-06-19
    listed $500,000 Active
  6. 2023-06-12
    listed $500,000 Active 2176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2176 chars)

    This property sits between 195 acres of Industrial Ground (currently actively listed under contract) it is next to a Norfolk Southern Railway Intermodel Rail Yard, is 4 miles from Hagerstown Regional Airport, close to 2 major Route 81 Interchanges (Exit #1 & Exit #3) and very close proximity to Route 11-Molly Pitcher Highway. Property sits directly across the road from Walmart Fulfillment Center. Subject property being sold along with the adjacent parcel #01-0A27.. 010.000000. Zoning-Industrial District of Antrim Township, Franklin County, PA: please contact Antrim Twp. for final accepted uses. Accepted uses: Manufacturing, assembling, converting, altering, finishing, cleaning or any other processing, handling or storage of products and materials. Building materials' storage, lumber yards and lumber mills. Freight and truck terminals, distribution plants, warehousing and wholesaling facilities. Printing, bookbinding and newspaper publishing. Research and design offices and laboratories. All uses that are similar to the previously stated and not otherwise prohibited. Accessory uses and buildings customarily incidental to the previously stated uses, including dwellings only for bona fide caretakers or watchmen. Lodges and fraternal orders. Health clubs, health spas and other similar establishments, subject to the requirements of Public utilities (i. e. sewere, water, gas, etc. ) Federal state and local government offices and accessory uses, and other municipal essential services (i. e. fire, police, nonprofit recreational facilities, etc. ) Public schools and essential uses, provided that all outside active play areas are screened from adjacent properties. Truck stops. A facility designed especially to be used for long-distance truck drivers that may include but is not limited to restaurants, fuel pumps, repair garage, truck service etc. Truck, semi trailer and full trailer sales. Uses where the primary business involves truck traffic, including but not limited to semi trucks, tractor-trailers, eighteen - wheelers, etc. Building site #1-3 bed, 2 bath double wide on precast concrete wall basement, steel equipment shed and chicken pen.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,926 · $327/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,728 · $394/mo
Expected delta
+$802/yr (+$67/mo · 20.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,800
− Mortgage interest
−$19,605
− Property taxes
−$3,926
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,784
− Management
−$2,784
− Depreciation
−$10,182
Taxable loss
−$6,231
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,495
After-tax cash flow
$1,286/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greencastle-Antrim SD
NCES district ID
4211010
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$62,541
Composite
47.21/100
National rank
#2319
State rank
#118 of 539 in PA

Livability — State Line

Score
64/100
State rank
#1231
US rank
#14691

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
949
Population (ZIP)
20,335

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
157,827 people
By 2030
158,933 · +0.7%
By 2040
159,060 · +0.8%
By 2050
155,132 · -1.7%
By 2075
138,545 · -12.2%
By 2100
112,321 · -28.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Italian 4% American 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.1% · R 71.1%
2008→2024 swing
-10.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.6pp · 2024: -43.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.0 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+32.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.84%
Current HPI
233.5857
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-30.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2024-06-14 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-06-14 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-12-21 Price Changed $350,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-12-21 Price Changed $350,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-06-19 Listed $500,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-06-12 Listed $500,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+15.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,926 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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