1743 Harrison St · Paducah, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Unlock the potential in this investment opportunity! This property is ready for a full renovation and is ideal for investors or flippers looking to add value. With solid bones and a desirable location right in the heart of Midtown, this home offers potential for those who have a vision! Property is being sold as-is. Asking for highest and best offer by Monday, April 13th, 2026
Key facts
- Solid bones
- Desirable location
- Heart of midtown
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $945 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $24k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 51.6% vs local median 4.5% in Paducah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#197 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, employment D.
- Paducah Independent (town): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #122 of 165 in KY (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 252 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 187 units permitted in McCracken County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- McCracken County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 51.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 161.94%
- DSCR
- 8.21
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $154,499
- List price
- $25,000
- Delta
- -83.82%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2222 Madison St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,451 (+3%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $124 | 76 |
| 1758 Jefferson St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (-10%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $119 | 65 |
| 2557 Clay St | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 | 1,365 (-3%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $143 | 62 |
| 2432 Madison St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,522 (+8%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $46 | 61 |
| 1152 N 14th St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,250 (-11%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $72 | 57 |
| 2400 Harrison St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,582 (+12%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $130 | 57 |
| 1135 Martin Luther King Jr. Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,497 (+6%) | 0mo | $95,000 | $63 | 56 |
| 2501 Clay St | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,573 (+12%) | 2mo | $194,000 | $123 | 56 |
| 2535 Laclede Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-8%) | 3mo | $119,000 | $92 | 55 |
| 501 Harahan Blvd | 0.31mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,609 (+14%) | 1mo | $248,000 | $154 | 52 |
| 2001 Washington St | 0.48mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,220 (-13%) | 2mo | $128,500 | $105 | 49 |
| 1035 Harrison St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,240 (-12%) | 2mo | $30,000 | $24 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.02×
- Total profit
- $56,126
- Equity at exit
- $3,728
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 19.06×
- Total profit
- $126,393
- Equity at exit
- $2,162
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42001
- Home prices YoY
- -24.8%
- Active inventory
- 252
- Price-to-rent
- 1.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,394 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$15 /mo · $180/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $945
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $959 | -5% $952 | +0% $945 | +5% $938 | +10% $931 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $835 | -5% $890 | +0% $945 | +5% $1,000 | +10% $1,055 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $957 | -0.5pp $951 | base $945 | +0.5pp $938 | +1.0pp $932 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1643 Monroe St Apt A Paducah, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1127 | $1,250 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2991 Clay St Unit 06 Paducah, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $715 | $0.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 415 N 6th St #100 Paducah, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $25,000 Pending 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $25,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $25,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $25,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $25,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $25,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $25,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-09$25,000 Active 379-char remark
Show marketing remark (379 chars)
Unlock the potential in this investment opportunity! This property is ready for a full renovation and is ideal for investors or flippers looking to add value. With solid bones and a desirable location right in the heart of Midtown, this home offers potential for those who have a vision! Property is being sold as-is. Asking for highest and best offer by Monday, April 13th, 2026
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $180 · $15/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $215 · $18/mo
- Expected delta
- +$35/yr (+$3/mo · 19.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,727
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$180
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,338
- − Management
- −$1,338
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $11,618
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,788
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,548/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paducah Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2104650
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,067
- Composite
- 23.41/100
- National rank
- #7896
- State rank
- #122 of 165 in KY
Livability — Paducah
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #197
- US rank
- #9780
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paducah, KY
- County
- McCracken County · 30,856 people
- City population
- 30,856
- Metro
- Paducah, KY-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,856
- Household income
- $71,365
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1001.0
Population outlook (McCracken County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 64,237 people
- By 2030
- 63,468 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 61,221 · -4.7%
- By 2050
- 58,432 · -9.0%
- By 2075
- 52,668 · -18.0%
- By 2100
- 44,517 · -30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 13% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McCracken
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.9) · D 31.9% · R 66.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -34.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.9 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+37.2 2012: R+32.5 2008: R+25.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.23%
- Current HPI
- 258.1706
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Paducah, KY-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Listed $25,000 WKRMLS
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $180 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…