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1743 Harrison St
D Composite 43.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$25,000

1743 Harrison St · Paducah, KY 42001
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,407 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1897 8,276 sqft lot $18/sqft · 84% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Unlock the potential in this investment opportunity! This property is ready for a full renovation and is ideal for investors or flippers looking to add value. With solid bones and a desirable location right in the heart of Midtown, this home offers potential for those who have a vision! Property is being sold as-is. Asking for highest and best offer by Monday, April 13th, 2026

Key facts

  • Solid bones
  • Desirable location
  • Heart of midtown

Tags

FULL RENOVATIONDESIRABLE LOCATIONSOLID BONESHEART OF MIDTOWN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $945 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $24k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 51.6% vs local median 4.5% in Paducah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#197 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, employment D.
  • Paducah Independent (town): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #122 of 165 in KY (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 252 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 187 units permitted in McCracken County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • McCracken County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $23,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.58%
Cap rate
51.64%
Cash-on-cash
161.94%
DSCR
8.21
GRM
1.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$154,499
List price
$25,000
Delta
-83.82%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2222 Madison St 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,451 (+3%) 2mo $180,000 $124 76
1758 Jefferson St 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,260 (-10%) 4mo $150,000 $119 65
2557 Clay St 0.59mi 3/2.5 1,365 (-3%) 2mo $195,000 $143 62
2432 Madison St 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,522 (+8%) 4mo $70,000 $46 61
1152 N 14th St 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,250 (-11%) 2mo $90,000 $72 57
2400 Harrison St 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,582 (+12%) 2mo $205,000 $130 57
1135 Martin Luther King Jr. Dr 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,497 (+6%) 0mo $95,000 $63 56
2501 Clay St 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,573 (+12%) 2mo $194,000 $123 56
2535 Laclede Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-8%) 3mo $119,000 $92 55
501 Harahan Blvd 0.31mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,609 (+14%) 1mo $248,000 $154 52
2001 Washington St 0.48mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,220 (-13%) 2mo $128,500 $105 49
1035 Harrison St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,240 (-12%) 2mo $30,000 $24 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.02×
Total profit
$56,126
Equity at exit
$3,728
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
19.06×
Total profit
$126,393
Equity at exit
$2,162

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42001

Home prices YoY
-24.8%
Active inventory
252
Price-to-rent
1.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,394 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax from tax record
$15 /mo · $180/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$945

Break-even live

Break-even rent $198
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 27%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $959 -5% $952 +0% $945 +5% $938 +10% $931
Rent -10% $835 -5% $890 +0% $945 +5% $1,000 +10% $1,055
Rate -1.0pp $957 -0.5pp $951 base $945 +0.5pp $938 +1.0pp $932

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1643 Monroe St Apt A Paducah, KY 2.0 1.0 1127 $1,250 $1.11 44d 1 0.22mi
2991 Clay St Unit 06 Paducah, KY 2.0 1.0 974 $715 $0.73 44d 1 0.97mi
415 N 6th St #100 Paducah, KY 2.0 2.0 1500 $2,000 $1.33 44d 1 1.15mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $25,000 Pending 61 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $25,000 Active 60 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $25,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $25,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $25,000 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $25,000 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-05-30
    days on market $25,000 Active 52 DOM
  8. 2026-04-09
    listed $25,000 Active 379-char remark
    Show marketing remark (379 chars)

    Unlock the potential in this investment opportunity! This property is ready for a full renovation and is ideal for investors or flippers looking to add value. With solid bones and a desirable location right in the heart of Midtown, this home offers potential for those who have a vision! Property is being sold as-is. Asking for highest and best offer by Monday, April 13th, 2026

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$180 · $15/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$215 · $18/mo
Expected delta
+$35/yr (+$3/mo · 19.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,727
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$180
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,338
− Management
−$1,338
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$11,618
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,788
After-tax cash flow
$8,548/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Paducah Independent
NCES district ID
2104650
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$30,067
Composite
23.41/100
National rank
#7896
State rank
#122 of 165 in KY

Livability — Paducah

Score
68/100
State rank
#197
US rank
#9780

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Paducah, KY
County
McCracken County · 30,856 people
City population
30,856
Metro
Paducah, KY-IL
Population (ZIP)
30,856
Household income
$71,365
Rent vs Own
36.5% rent · 63.5% own
Severe rent burden
1001.0

Population outlook (McCracken County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
64,237 people
By 2030
63,468 · -1.2%
By 2040
61,221 · -4.7%
By 2050
58,432 · -9.0%
By 2075
52,668 · -18.0%
By 2100
44,517 · -30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 13% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McCracken

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.9) · D 31.9% · R 66.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-9.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -34.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.9 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+37.2 2012: R+32.5 2008: R+25.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.23%
Current HPI
258.1706
Rent YoY
Metro
Paducah, KY-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $25,000 WKRMLS

Property tax history

-1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $180 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…