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23 Redwood Ln
B- Composite 65.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$219,900

23 Redwood Ln · Estell Manor, NJ 08330
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · Manufactured · 70 Days on market
Built 2017 Good condition $200/sqft · 49% above area Est $147k · 49% over ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome Home to 23 Redwood Lane in The Oaks of Weymouth. Move in and settle into your completely remodeled home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. The entire home has been transformed with all new flooring thru out. Every room has been freshly painted in a neutral palette creating a bright and airy atmosphere. Spacious layout offers an open concept from the living room to the kitchen and dining space. Kitchen is complete with appliance package and center island for casual eating. Primary suite offers a private full bath completely updated and guest bath offers a clean and modern theme. Laundry room offers new Washer & Dryer, storage and side yard entrance. Sliding glass doors from the dining area opens to screened in porch leading to the completely private back yard with views of the open space. Completely private back yard. This home is move in ready and waiting for your personal touches. Amenities offered include Pool, fitness room, pickle ball courts, Clubhouse and more. Water and sewer is included in the land rent.

Key facts

  • Open concept
  • New flooring
  • Appliance package

Tags

COMPLETELY REMODELED HOMENEW FLOORINGOPEN CONCEPTAPPLIANCE PACKAGECENTER ISLANDPRIVATE FULL BATH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $522 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $220k).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 6.1% in Estell Manor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#414 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Weymouth Township School District (rural): math 50% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #351 of 612 in NJ (top 57%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $206,706 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.14%
Cash-on-cash
10.17%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$147,144
List price
$219,900
Delta
49.45%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8 Walnut Ct 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+9%) 18mo $212,000 $177 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.7%
Equity multiple
3.49×
Total profit
$153,021
Equity at exit
$198,103
10-year hold
IRR
27.4%
Equity multiple
7.90×
Total profit
$424,577
Equity at exit
$427,217

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08330

Home prices YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
244
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,584 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax est. 1.5%
$275 /mo · $3,298/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$543
Net cashflow
$522

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,924
Max offer price $219,900
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $674 -5% $598 +0% $522 +5% $446 +10% $370
Rent -10% $317 -5% $420 +0% $522 +5% $624 +10% $726
Rate -1.0pp $632 -0.5pp $577 base $522 +0.5pp $465 +1.0pp $407

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $219,900 Pending 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $219,900 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $219,900 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $219,900 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $219,900 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $219,900 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $219,900 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $219,900 Active 62 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,900 Active 61 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,900 Active 60 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,900 Active 59 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $219,900 Active 56 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $219,900 Active 55 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,900 Active 54 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $219,900 Active 53 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,900 Active 52 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $219,900 Active 51 DOM
  18. 2026-05-05
    price $219,900 1039-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1039 chars)

    Welcome Home to 23 Redwood Lane in The Oaks of Weymouth. Move in and settle into your completely remodeled home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. The entire home has been transformed with all new flooring thru out. Every room has been freshly painted in a neutral palette creating a bright and airy atmosphere. Spacious layout offers an open concept from the living room to the kitchen and dining space. Kitchen is complete with appliance package and center island for casual eating. Primary suite offers a private full bath completely updated and guest bath offers a clean and modern theme. Laundry room offers new Washer & Dryer, storage and side yard entrance. Sliding glass doors from the dining area opens to screened in porch leading to the completely private back yard with views of the open space. Completely private back yard. This home is move in ready and waiting for your personal touches. Amenities offered include Pool, fitness room, pickle ball courts, Clubhouse and more. Water and sewer is included in the land rent.

  19. 2026-05-02
    price $219,900 1065-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1065 chars)

    PRICE ADJUSTMENT. .. .. .. Welcome Home to 23 Redwood Lane in The Oaks of Weymouth. Move in and settle into your completely remodeled home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. The entire home has been transformed with all new flooring thru out. Every room has been freshly painted in a neutral palette creating a bright and airy atmosphere. Spacious layout offers an open concept from the living area to the kitchen and dining space. Kitchen is complete with appliance package and center island for casual eating. Primary suite offers a private full bath completely updated and guest bath offers a clean & modern theme. Laundry room offers new washer and dryer, storage and side yard entrance. Sliding glass doors from the dining area opens to screened in porch leading to the completely private yard with views of the open space. Completely private back yard!! This home is move in ready waiting for your personal touches. Amenities offered include Pool, fitness room, pickle ball courts, Clubhouse and more. Water & sewer are included in the land rent.

  20. 2026-04-21
    listed $224,900 Active 1065-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1065 chars)

    PRICE ADJUSTMENT. .. .. .. Welcome Home to 23 Redwood Lane in The Oaks of Weymouth. Move in and settle into your completely remodeled home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. The entire home has been transformed with all new flooring thru out. Every room has been freshly painted in a neutral palette creating a bright and airy atmosphere. Spacious layout offers an open concept from the living area to the kitchen and dining space. Kitchen is complete with appliance package and center island for casual eating. Primary suite offers a private full bath completely updated and guest bath offers a clean & modern theme. Laundry room offers new washer and dryer, storage and side yard entrance. Sliding glass doors from the dining area opens to screened in porch leading to the completely private yard with views of the open space. Completely private back yard!! This home is move in ready waiting for your personal touches. Amenities offered include Pool, fitness room, pickle ball courts, Clubhouse and more. Water & sewer are included in the land rent.

  21. 2026-04-09
    listed $224,900 Active 1039-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1039 chars)

    Welcome Home to 23 Redwood Lane in The Oaks of Weymouth. Move in and settle into your completely remodeled home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. The entire home has been transformed with all new flooring thru out. Every room has been freshly painted in a neutral palette creating a bright and airy atmosphere. Spacious layout offers an open concept from the living room to the kitchen and dining space. Kitchen is complete with appliance package and center island for casual eating. Primary suite offers a private full bath completely updated and guest bath offers a clean and modern theme. Laundry room offers new Washer & Dryer, storage and side yard entrance. Sliding glass doors from the dining area opens to screened in porch leading to the completely private back yard with views of the open space. Completely private back yard. This home is move in ready and waiting for your personal touches. Amenities offered include Pool, fitness room, pickle ball courts, Clubhouse and more. Water and sewer is included in the land rent.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,006
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$3,298
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,481
− Management
−$2,481
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable income
$2,932
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$704
After-tax cash flow
$5,555/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in excellent condition with recent renovations, featuring new flooring, appliances, and paint. It is move-in ready and would benefit from minor exterior and interior painting to enhance curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value.
  • Both New outdoor lighting — Enhances safety and curb appeal.
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves functionality and aesthetics in bathrooms.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value.
  • Both New outdoor lighting — Enhances safety and curb appeal.
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves functionality and aesthetics in bathrooms.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Weymouth Township School District
NCES district ID
3417850
Math proficiency
50% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$54,908
Composite
47.23/100
National rank
#5081
State rank
#351 of 612 in NJ

Livability — Estell Manor

Score
64/100
State rank
#414
US rank
#14535

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Atlantic County · 143,611 people
City population
1,269
Metro
Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
Population (ZIP)
29,972
Household income
$77,167
Rent vs Own
27.1% rent · 72.9% own
Severe rent burden
1003.0

Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
268,948 people
By 2030
264,497 · -1.7%
By 2040
252,261 · -6.2%
By 2050
237,846 · -11.6%
By 2075
210,650 · -21.7%
By 2100
180,234 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.58%
Current HPI
308.5148
Rent YoY
Metro
Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $219,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $219,900 SJSRMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $224,900 SJSRMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $224,900 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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