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23 Redwood Ln
D- Composite 38.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.9/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.2/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -3.4

$208,000

23 Redwood Ln · Weymouth, NJ 08330
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · Manufactured · 13 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 2017 Good condition $139/sqft · 8% below area Est $225k · 8% under $820/mo HOA · 36% of rent ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PRICE ADJUSTMENT. .. .. .. Welcome Home to 23 Redwood Lane in The Oaks of Weymouth. Move in and settle into your completely remodeled home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. The entire home has been transformed with all new flooring thru out. Every room has been freshly painted in a neutral palette creating a bright and airy atmosphere. Spacious layout offers an open concept from the living area to the kitchen and dining space. Kitchen is complete with appliance package and center island for casual eating. Primary suite offers a private full bath completely updated and guest bath offers a clean & modern theme. Laundry room offers new washer and dryer, storage and side yard entrance. Sliding glass doors from the dining area opens to screened in porch leading to the completely private yard with views of the open space. Completely private back yard!! This home is move in ready waiting for your personal touches. Amenities offered include Pool, fitness room, pickle ball courts, Clubhouse and more. Water & sewer are included in the land rent.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • New appliances
  • Large laundry room

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHMASSIVE GRANITE ISLANDNEW APPLIANCESDESIGNER CABINETRYSCREENED-IN SIDE PORCHLARGE LAUNDRY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $208k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-471 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (32.7% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $208k).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (32.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 3.6% vs local median 6.8% in Weymouth — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Weymouth Township School District (rural): math 50% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #351 of 612 in NJ (top 57%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Weymouth Township Elementary School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #528 of 1,303 statewide, top 43%, 156 students, 45% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Weymouth Township School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 476 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $22k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
Recommended offer $139,882 (32.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09% ✓
Cap rate
3.58%
Cash-on-cash
-9.70%
DSCR
0.57
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$224,913
List price
$208,000
Delta
-7.52%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5 Redwood Ct 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,500 (0%) 3mo $209,000 $139 93
13 Holly Ct 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-7%) 0mo $112,900 $81 70
100 Pinetree Ln 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,708 (+14%) 2mo $205,000 $120 67
16 Dogwood Ln 0.32mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (-7%) 3mo $190,000 $136 66
49 Dogwood Ln 0.18mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,680 (+12%) 5mo $220,000 $131 62
6179 Towhee Ln 1.34mi 3/2.5 1,380 (-8%) 0mo $330,000 $239 50
6171 Robin Dr 1.41mi 3/1.5 1,626 (+8%) 5mo $380,000 $234 44
166 Canterbury Ct 1.12mi 3/2.5 1,838 (+22%) 1mo $440,000 $239 38
143 Rainbow 1.15mi 3/2.5 1,822 (+22%) 6mo $435,000 $239 33
6138 Robin Dr 1.41mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,810 (+21%) 1mo $359,000 $198 32
6321 Crocus St 1.48mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,784 (+19%) 4mo $256,000 $143 29
3 Lafayette Ave 1.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,285 (-14%) 5mo $195,000 $152 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$83,838
Equity at exit
$187,383
10-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
5.66×
Total profit
$271,538
Equity at exit
$404,098

Cash invested: $58,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
5 active · 3 under contract
Months of supply
15.0 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$205,000 ($125/sqft)
Median days on market
79 d
This list price
60% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+20.3% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 08330

Home prices YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
476
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,262 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,091
Tax est. 1.5%
−$260 /mo · $3,120/yr
Insurance
−$87
HOA
−$820
Lot rent leased land?
−$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$475
Net cashflow
$-471

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,858
Max offer price $139,882
Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-327 -5% $-399 +0% $-471 +5% $-543 +10% $-614
Rent -10% $-649 -5% $-560 +0% $-471 +5% $-381 +10% $-292
Rate -1.0pp $-366 -0.5pp $-418 base $-471 +0.5pp $-525 +1.0pp $-579

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,000
Closing costs
$6,240
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1309 Loretta Ave Mays Landing, NJ 3.0 2.0 1440 $2,900 $2.01 0d 1 1.42mi
1309 Loretta Ave Mays Landing, NJ 3.0 2.0 1440 $2,900 $2.01 12d 1 1.42mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
HOA fee of $820Adult community (55+)

Exterior

Parking
Two-car exterior parking
Utilities
Private waterPrivate sewer
Home design
Vinyl sidingProperty offered for sale
Exterior features
Enclosed porchShedSidewalksStone driveway

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherGas stoveMicrowaveRefrigeratorSelf-cleaning oven
Bedrooms
Master bedroom on first floor
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central air conditioningNatural gas heating
Interior features
Cathedral ceilingCarbon monoxide detectorKitchen center islandStorage spaceSmoke/Fire alarm
Laundry & utility
WasherDryerDedicated laundry/utility room

HOA detail $820/mo · $9,840/yr

Likely covers
watersewerpool

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-11-08
    days on market $208,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-11-07
    days on market $208,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-11-06
    days on market $208,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-11-05
    days on market $208,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-11-04
    pricedays on market $208,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-11-02
    days on market $214,900 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-11-01
    days on market $214,900 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-10-31
    days on market $214,900 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-10-30
    days on market $214,900 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-10-29
    days on market $214,900 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-10-28
    days on market $214,900 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-10-27
    days on marketlisting id $214,900 Active 1 DOM
  13. 2026-10-26
    days on market $214,900 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-10-25
    days on market $214,900 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-10-24
    days on market $214,900 Active 30 DOM
  16. 2026-10-23
    days on market $214,900 Active 29 DOM
  17. 2026-10-22
    days on market $214,900 Active 28 DOM
  18. 2026-10-21
    days on market $214,900 Active 27 DOM
  19. 2026-10-20
    days on market $214,900 Active 26 DOM
  20. 2026-10-19
    days on market $214,900 Active 25 DOM
  21. 2026-10-18
    days on market $214,900 Active 24 DOM
  22. 2026-10-17
    days on market $214,900 Active 23 DOM
  23. 2026-10-16
    days on market $214,900 Active 22 DOM
  24. 2026-10-15
    pricedays on market $214,900 Active 21 DOM
  25. 2026-10-14
    days on market $224,900 Active 20 DOM
  26. 2026-10-13
    days on market $224,900 Active 19 DOM
  27. 2026-10-13
    price $224,900 Active 18 DOM
  28. 2026-10-12
    days on market $214,900 Active 18 DOM
  29. 2026-10-11
    days on market $214,900 Active 17 DOM
  30. 2026-10-10
    days on market $214,900 Active 16 DOM
  31. 2026-10-09
    days on market $214,900 Active 15 DOM
  32. 2026-10-08
    days on market $214,900 Active 14 DOM
  33. 2026-10-07
    days on market $214,900 Active 13 DOM
  34. 2026-10-06
    days on market $214,900 Active 12 DOM
  35. 2026-10-05
    days on market $214,900 Active 11 DOM
  36. 2026-10-04
    days on market $214,900 Active 10 DOM
  37. 2026-10-04
    days on market $214,900 Active 9 DOM
  38. 2026-10-02
    days on market $214,900 Active 8 DOM
  39. 2026-10-01
    days on market $214,900 Active 7 DOM
  40. 2026-10-01
    price $214,900 Active 6 DOM
  41. 2026-09-30
    days on market $224,900 Active 6 DOM
  42. 2026-09-29
    days on market $224,900 Active 5 DOM
  43. 2026-09-28
    days on market $224,900 Active 4 DOM
  44. 2026-09-27
    days on market $224,900 Active 3 DOM
  45. 2026-09-26
    days on market $224,900 Active 2 DOM
  46. 2026-09-25
    remarks 699-char remark
  47. 2026-09-25
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $224,900 Active 1 DOM
  48. 2026-07-16
    days on market $219,900 Under Contract 84 DOM
  49. 2026-07-14
    days on market $219,900 Under Contract 83 DOM
  50. 2026-07-13
    days on market $219,900 Under Contract 82 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,140
− Mortgage interest
−$11,651
− Property taxes
−$3,120
− Insurance
−$1,040
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,171
− Management
−$2,171
− HOA
−$9,840
− Depreciation
−$6,051
Taxable loss
−$8,905
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,137
After-tax cash flow
$-3,512/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,500–$22,500 screening

This home is in excellent condition with recent renovations, featuring new flooring, appliances, and paint. It is move-in ready and would benefit from minor exterior and interior painting to enhance curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value. ↑
  • Both New outdoor lighting — Enhances safety and curb appeal. ↑
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves functionality and aesthetics in bathrooms. ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 37/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Weymouth Township Elementary School F NJ #528/1,303 Nat'l #21,438/41,679

Schools (NCES district)

District
Weymouth Township School District
NCES district ID
3417850
Math proficiency
50% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$54,908
Composite
47.23/100
National rank
#5081
State rank
#351 of 612 in NJ

Livability — Weymouth

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Atlantic County · 268,948 people
Metro
Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
Population (ZIP)
29,972
Household income
$77,167
Rent vs Own
27.1% rent · 72.9% own
Severe rent burden
3% of renters

Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
268,948 people
By 2030
264,497 · -1.7%
By 2040
252,261 · -6.2%
By 2050
237,846 · -11.6%
By 2075
210,650 · -21.7%
By 2100
180,234 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 4%
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

-4.4% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-10-14 Price Changed $214,900 SJSRMLS
  • 2026-10-13 Price Changed $224,900 SJSRMLS
  • 2026-10-01 Price Changed $214,900 SJSRMLS
  • 2026-09-24 Listed $224,900 SJSRMLS
  • 2026-06-30 Sold (MLS) $203,975 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-30 Sold (MLS) $203,975 SJSRMLS
  • 2026-06-18 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-01 Contingent — SJSRMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $219,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $219,900 SJSRMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $224,900 SJSRMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $224,900 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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