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1863-1865 Emerson Ave Duplex
C Composite 58.27
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

1863-1865 Emerson Ave · Dayton, OH 45406
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,956 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1926 5,602 sqft lot $79/sqft · 36% above area Est $114k · 36% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Discover an investment opportunity in Dayton with this updated, fully occupied duplex, perfectly positioned to offer both immediate income and future growth potential. Each side of this multi-family dwelling features three comfortable bedrooms and a full bathroom, providing ample living space across its two stories. Tenants have established long-term residency, with one side generating $800.00 monthly and the other $900.00 monthly, including the valuable addition of a two-car garage. Both units are currently on month-to-month leases, presenting an excellent opportunity for rental income adjustments and increased profitability in the future. Situated on a generous 0.13-acre lot, this propert

Key facts

  • 5,602 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1926

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Gross rental income listed as $1,700; Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached two-car garage
  • Home design: Multi-unit property with 2 units in 1 building; 2 stories; Frame construction
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Residential lot (approximately 0.13 acres)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three-bedroom unit(s)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (total)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Full unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $606 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $303/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,010/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 1504% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $37k; list at $155k implies a 319% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $150,350 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.99%
Cash-on-cash
16.76%
DSCR
1.75
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$114,097
List price
$155,000
Delta
35.85%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1263 Linda Vista Ave 0.40mi 4/2.0 1,944 (-1%) 24mo $110,000 $57 61
960 Sherwood Dr 0.63mi 4/2.0 2,080 (+6%) 8mo $145,000 $70 53
10 Marie Ave 0.37mi 4/2.0 2,200 (+12%) 16mo $179,000 $81 49
605 Delaware Ave 0.54mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,240 (+14%) 5mo $180,000 $80 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.0%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$13,532
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$61,652
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45406

Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
156
Price-to-rent
12.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,010 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,251/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$422
Net cashflow
$606

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,243
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $694 -5% $650 +0% $606 +5% $562 +10% $519
Rent -10% $447 -5% $527 +0% $606 +5% $686 +10% $765
Rate -1.0pp $684 -0.5pp $646 base $606 +0.5pp $566 +1.0pp $525

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,010

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1743 Radcliffe Rd Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1729 $1,200 $0.69 44d 1 0.21mi
439 W Fairview Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,200 $0.80 44d 1 0.25mi
2232 Salem Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,200 $0.96 4d 1 0.30mi
2247 Salem Ave Unit 2247 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,350 $1.04 4d 1 0.32mi
2247 Salem Ave Unit 2249 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,400 $1.08 44d 1 0.32mi
201 W Norman Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1424 $1,200 $0.84 44d 1 0.35mi
181 W Norman Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1228 $1,150 $0.94 44d 1 0.37mi
167 W Hudson Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1344 $1,185 $0.88 44d 1 0.40mi
1927 Burroughs Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1409 $1,245 $0.88 15d 1 0.47mi
234 Santa Clara Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1368 $1,125 $0.82 44d 1 0.48mi
101 W Norman Ave Unit 101 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1600 $945 $0.59 44d 1 0.52mi
41 W Fairview Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1452 $1,200 $0.83 15d 1 0.60mi
26 W Beechwood Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1468 $1,050 $0.72 44d 1 0.65mi
1225 Amherst Pl Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1548 $1,300 $0.84 15d 1 0.67mi
2141 Philadelphia Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1736 $1,395 $0.80 44d 1 0.69mi
39 E Maplewood Ave Dayton, OH 4.0 1.5 1560 $1,050 $0.67 4d 1 0.82mi
2327 Eastview Ave Dayton, OH 5.0 1.0 1290 $1,300 $1.01 44d 1 0.83mi
42 Pointview Ave Unit 42 Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1240 $1,200 $0.97 4d 1 0.84mi
942 Harvard Blvd Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1596 $1,200 $0.75 4d 1 0.90mi
932 Harvard Blvd Dayton, OH 5.0 2.0 1986 $1,500 $0.76 44d 1 0.90mi
338 Kenwood Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1512 $1,195 $0.79 44d 1 0.92mi
101 E Bruce Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1455 $1,150 $0.79 3d 1 0.99mi
1501 Viola Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1952 $1,175 $0.60 15d 1 1.02mi
253 E Hillcrest Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 2.5 2569 $1,800 $0.70 3d 1 1.04mi
424 Lexington Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1536 $1,025 $0.67 44d 1 1.06mi
132 Wroe Ave Unit 132 Dayton, OH 3.0 2.5 1934 $1,297 $0.67 44d 1 1.08mi
317 Fernwood Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1320 $1,100 $0.83 12d 1 1.12mi
1011 N Broadway St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1700 $950 $0.56 44d 1 1.15mi
138 Rockwood Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1439 $1,200 $0.83 24d 1 1.19mi
136 Rockwood Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1439 $1,200 $0.83 44d 1 1.19mi
1119 Superior Ave Unit 1119 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1435 $1,350 $0.94 4d 1 1.20mi
1045 Shakespeare Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1435 $1,275 $0.89 44d 1 1.22mi
534 Geyer St Dayton, OH 4.0 1.0 1640 $1,530 $0.93 24d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $155,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $155,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    pricedays on market $155,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $165,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $165,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $165,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-13
    listed $170,000 Active 865-char remark
  17. 2022-07-13
    soldstatus $37,000
  18. 1993-07-02
    soldstatus $37,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,251 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,834 · $153/mo
Expected delta
+$584/yr (+$49/mo · 46.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,120
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$1,251
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,930
− Management
−$1,930
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable income
$5,044
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,210
After-tax cash flow
$6,065/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
19,991
Household income
$41,796
Rent vs Own
52.9% rent · 47.1% own
Severe rent burden
1504.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -113.75%
Current HPI
197.1302
Rent YoY
▲ 3.03%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+313.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $155,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $165,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $170,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2022-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
  • 1993-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,251 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…