711 S Bond St · Saginaw, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$87,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment property. Two units each pay own consumers & owner pays water. Unit 1 $550 & unit 2 $450. Call today for your personal showing!
Key facts
- 2 unit property
- Renovated unit
- 7,440 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in subdivision: 13 JEROME
- Financial info: Annual property tax listed
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer / sewer available
- Home design: Multi-family residential property; Two levels
- Construction: Above-grade finished area about 2,075 square feet
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 62 x 120
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Separate meters for heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Basement present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 8.2% in Saginaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $608 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 14 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1889 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1889 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.48%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $114,180
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1421 Mackinaw St | 0.24mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 2,134 (+3%) | 12mo | $155,000 | $73 | 67 |
| 1209 S Fayette St | 0.41mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 2,058 (-1%) | 9mo | $35,000 | $17 | 63 |
| 202 Braley St | 0.22mi | 5/2.0 | 2,275 (+10%) | 14mo | $88,821 | $39 | 62 |
| 1530 Ottawa Blvd | 0.46mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,136 (+3%) | 11mo | $137,000 | $64 | 57 |
| 1323 S Michigan Ave | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,125 (+2%) | 17mo | $25,000 | $12 | 54 |
| 124 N Woodbridge St | 0.50mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,144 (+3%) | 19mo | $122,000 | $57 | 50 |
| 1715 S Michigan Ave | 0.68mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 2,146 (+3%) | 16mo | $118,000 | $55 | 42 |
| 412 N Oakley St | 0.65mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,905 (-8%) | 7mo | $36,000 | $19 | 42 |
| 210 N Bond St | 0.53mi | 5/2.0 | 1,864 (-10%) | 21mo | $69,900 | $38 | 41 |
| 1827 Gratiot Ave | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,000 (-4%) | 19mo | $265,000 | $133 | 40 |
| 516 N Granger St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,862 (-10%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $81 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $13,889
- Equity at exit
- $13,106
- IRR
- 23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $52,300
- Equity at exit
- $7,600
Cash invested: $24,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48602
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,341 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$461
- Tax from tax record
- −$141 /mo · $1,698/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $420
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $470 | -5% $445 | +0% $420 | +5% $395 | +10% $370 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $314 | -5% $367 | +0% $420 | +5% $473 | +10% $526 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $464 | -0.5pp $442 | base $420 | +0.5pp $397 | +1.0pp $374 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,975
- Closing costs
- $2,637
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $87,900 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $87,900 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $87,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $87,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $87,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $87,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $87,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $87,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $87,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $87,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $87,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $87,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $87,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $87,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $87,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $87,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-04-27$89,900 Active
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2025-02-22historical $795
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2024-12-27$795
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2020-09-03soldstatus $500,000
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2016-09-27soldstatus $36,999
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2016-09-16soldstatus $12,333 Sold 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Great investment property. Two units each pay own consumers & owner pays water. Unit 1 $550 & unit 2 $450. Call today for your personal showing!
-
2016-09-16soldstatus $12,333 Closed 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Great investment property. Two units each pay own consumers & owner pays water. Unit 1 $550 & unit 2 $450. Call today for your personal showing!
-
2016-06-24status Pending 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Great investment property. Two units each pay own consumers & owner pays water. Unit 1 $550 & unit 2 $450. Call today for your personal showing!
-
2016-05-23status Active 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Great investment property. Two units each pay own consumers & owner pays water. Unit 1 $550 & unit 2 $450. Call today for your personal showing!
-
2016-05-11historical 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Great investment property. Two units each pay own consumers & owner pays water. Unit 1 $550 & unit 2 $450. Call today for your personal showing!
-
2016-04-29historical Contingent - Continue To Show 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Great investment property. Two units each pay own consumers & owner pays water. Unit 1 $550 & unit 2 $450. Call today for your personal showing!
-
2016-04-28historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Great investment property. Two units each pay own consumers & owner pays water. Unit 1 $550 & unit 2 $450. Call today for your personal showing!
-
2016-04-22$19,900 Active 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Great investment property. Two units each pay own consumers & owner pays water. Unit 1 $550 & unit 2 $450. Call today for your personal showing!
-
2016-03-25$19,900 Active 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Great investment property. Two units each pay own consumers & owner pays water. Unit 1 $550 & unit 2 $450. Call today for your personal showing!
-
2012-06-04soldstatus $5,000
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2012-06-04soldstatus $5,000
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2012-05-29historical
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2012-04-04$6,900
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2012-04-04$6,900
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2009-06-30historical
-
2008-01-14historical
-
2008-01-11$72,000
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2007-07-30$74,900
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2007-07-20historical
-
2007-04-17$79,000
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2007-04-15historical
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2007-01-03$79,000
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2006-12-31historical
-
2006-10-03$79,000
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2004-02-04soldstatus $65,000
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2003-11-03historical
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2003-10-31soldstatus $65,000
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2003-08-18$69,900
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2002-07-10soldstatus $54,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,698 · $141/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,698 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,089
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,924
- − Property taxes
- −$1,698
- − Insurance
- −$440
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,287
- − Management
- −$1,287
- − Depreciation
- −$2,557
- Taxable income
- $3,897
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$935
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,106/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saginaw School District
- NCES district ID
- 2630390
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,940
- Composite
- 19.6/100
- National rank
- #8755
- State rank
- #444 of 540 in MI
Livability — Saginaw
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #15424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saginaw, MI
- County
- Saginaw County · 54,884 people
- City population
- 54,884
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,127
- Household income
- $46,984
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1416.0
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.15%
- Current HPI
- 159.8807
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.98%
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+50.1% since first listed36 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-02-22 Rental Removed $795 BUILDIUM
- 2024-12-27 Listed for Rent $795 BUILDIUM
- 2020-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $500,000 Public Records
- 2016-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $36,999 Public Records
- 2016-09-16 Sold (MLS) $12,333 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-09-16 Sold (MLS) $12,333 REALCOMP
- 2016-06-24 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-05-23 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-05-11 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-04-29 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2016-04-28 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-04-22 Listed $19,900 REALCOMP
- 2016-03-25 Listed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-06-04 Sold (MLS) $5,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-06-04 Sold (MLS) $5,000 REALCOMP
- 2012-05-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-04-04 Listed $6,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-04-04 Listed $6,900 REALCOMP
- 2009-06-30 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-01-14 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-01-11 Listed $72,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-07-30 Listed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-07-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-04-17 Listed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-04-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-01-03 Listed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-12-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-10-03 Listed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2003-11-03 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-10-31 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-08-18 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $54,900 Public Records
- 2002-06-07 Sold (MLS) $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-04-13 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,698 · -16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…