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437 Jackson St
B+ Composite 75.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.4/10.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0

$69,900

437 Jackson St · Gary, IN 46402
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,556 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1916 4,486 sqft lot Est $90k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for a home with some sweat equity? This is the one you want to take a look at. This home is livable, and there are many areas in which the new owner can put their own touches on this home to make it a show piece. There are tall ceilings, lots of bedrooms and bathrooms all on a quiet street. Come and take a look today!

Key facts

  • 4,486 sq ft lot
  • Built 1916

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property listed as a fixer

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service
  • Home design: Two-story property; Built in 1916; Above-grade finished living area 1,536
  • Construction: Has basement
  • Exterior features: Neighborhood view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3; Bedroom 4
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $644 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,365/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 336% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $69,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
17.35%
Cash-on-cash
39.49%
DSCR
2.76
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$90,248
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
441 Tyler St 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,426 (-8%) 4mo $20,000 $14 73
456 Tyler St 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,534 (-1%) 19mo $75,000 $49 71
572 Jefferson St 0.24mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,591 (+2%) 8mo $185,000 $116 70
823 Pierce St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,612 (+4%) 5mo $9,000 $6 61
365 Fillmore St 0.34mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,598 (+3%) 17mo $163,000 $102 60
530 Connecticut St 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,503 (-3%) 13mo $43,000 $29 60
327 Buchanan St 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,390 (-11%) 3mo $180,000 $129 54
817 Tyler St 0.52mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,452 (-7%) 19mo $55,000 $38 44
805 Buchanan St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,350 (-13%) 0mo $100,000 $74 43
346 Richard Gordon Hatcher Blvd 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,372 (-12%) 4mo $80,000 $58 41
766 Fillmore St 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,675 (+8%) 15mo $235,000 $140 40
833 Tyler St 0.54mi 4/— (+1) 1,778 (+14%) 9mo $30,000 $17 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.8%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$29,685
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
42.5%
Equity multiple
5.02×
Total profit
$78,633
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46402

Home prices YoY
-2.8%
Active inventory
46
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,365 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $468/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$644

Break-even live

Break-even rent $550
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
501 Madison St Gary, IN 1.0–4.0 1.0 883 $1,362 $1.54 1d 11 0.14mi
672 Connecticut St Apt 1S Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1247 $875 $0.70 15d 1 0.56mi
803 Pierce St Gary, IN 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,400 $0.88 1d 1 0.61mi
765 Garfield St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1688 $1,500 $0.89 13d 1 0.89mi
1030 E 6th Ave Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,600 $1.14 1d 1 1.07mi
1109 Maryland St Unit 1 Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 1982 $1,000 $0.50 1d 1 1.07mi
1109 Maryland St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1982 $1,000 $0.50 1d 1 1.07mi
1329 Delaware St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 1.14mi
373 Taft Pl Gary, IN 4.0 2.0 1984 $1,800 $0.91 43d 1 1.16mi
1572 Polk St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,250 $0.83 1d 1 1.18mi
1744 Tyler St Unit 2 Gary, IN 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,700 $1.06 44d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 329-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $69,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$468 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$531 · $44/mo
Expected delta
+$63/yr (+$5/mo · 13.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,386
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$468
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,311
− Management
−$1,311
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$6,998
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,679
After-tax cash flow
$6,049/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
5,836
Household income
$33,529
Rent vs Own
56.6% rent · 43.4% own
Severe rent burden
336.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 87% Two or more races 5% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Ukrainian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.21%
Current HPI
250.2464
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $69,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-1.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $468 · +21.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…