437 Jackson St · Gary, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.4/10.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for a home with some sweat equity? This is the one you want to take a look at. This home is livable, and there are many areas in which the new owner can put their own touches on this home to make it a show piece. There are tall ceilings, lots of bedrooms and bathrooms all on a quiet street. Come and take a look today!
Key facts
- 4,486 sq ft lot
- Built 1916
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property listed as a fixer
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service
- Home design: Two-story property; Built in 1916; Above-grade finished living area 1,536
- Construction: Has basement
- Exterior features: Neighborhood view
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3; Bedroom 4
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: High ceilings; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $644 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,365/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 336% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.49%
- DSCR
- 2.76
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $90,248
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 441 Tyler St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,426 (-8%) | 4mo | $20,000 | $14 | 73 |
| 456 Tyler St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,534 (-1%) | 19mo | $75,000 | $49 | 71 |
| 572 Jefferson St | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,591 (+2%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $116 | 70 |
| 823 Pierce St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,612 (+4%) | 5mo | $9,000 | $6 | 61 |
| 365 Fillmore St | 0.34mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,598 (+3%) | 17mo | $163,000 | $102 | 60 |
| 530 Connecticut St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,503 (-3%) | 13mo | $43,000 | $29 | 60 |
| 327 Buchanan St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,390 (-11%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $129 | 54 |
| 817 Tyler St | 0.52mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,452 (-7%) | 19mo | $55,000 | $38 | 44 |
| 805 Buchanan St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (-13%) | 0mo | $100,000 | $74 | 43 |
| 346 Richard Gordon Hatcher Blvd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (-12%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $58 | 41 |
| 766 Fillmore St | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,675 (+8%) | 15mo | $235,000 | $140 | 40 |
| 833 Tyler St | 0.54mi | 4/— (+1) | 1,778 (+14%) | 9mo | $30,000 | $17 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $29,685
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 42.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.02×
- Total profit
- $78,633
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46402
- Home prices YoY
- -2.8%
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,365 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $468/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $644
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 Madison St Gary, IN | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0 | 883 | $1,362 | $1.54 | 1d | 11 | 0.14mi |
| 672 Connecticut St Apt 1S Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1247 | $875 | $0.70 | 15d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 803 Pierce St Gary, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,400 | $0.88 | 1d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 765 Garfield St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1688 | $1,500 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1030 E 6th Ave Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 1d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1109 Maryland St Unit 1 Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1982 | $1,000 | $0.50 | 1d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1109 Maryland St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1982 | $1,000 | $0.50 | 1d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1329 Delaware St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 373 Taft Pl Gary, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1984 | $1,800 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1572 Polk St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 1d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1744 Tyler St Unit 2 Gary, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,700 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 329-char remark
-
2026-06-17$69,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $468 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $531 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$63/yr (+$5/mo · 13.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,386
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$468
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,311
- − Management
- −$1,311
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $6,998
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,679
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,049/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gary Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803870
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,739
- Composite
- 4.98/100
- National rank
- #10039
- State rank
- #299 of 301 in IN
Livability — Gary
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #5592
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gary, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 63,701
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,836
- Household income
- $33,529
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 336.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 87% Two or more races 5% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Ukrainian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.21%
- Current HPI
- 250.2464
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $69,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2024): $468 · +21.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…