188 Saipan Ave · Stanaford, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Motivated Seller! This well-maintained home offers a fantastic location just minutes from Beckley, the New River Gorge, and the Summit Bechtel Reserve. Whether you're searching for a primary residence, vacation getaway, or investment property, this home provides excellent versatility and potential. Nestled at the end of a quiet dead-end street, you'll enjoy added privacy and minimal traffic while still being conveniently close to shopping, dining, entertainment, and all the amenities Beckley has to offer. Don't miss this opportunity to own a home in a desirable location with easy access to some of Southern West Virginia's most popular destinations.
Key facts
- Close to beckley
- Low traffic area
- Close to new river
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking; No garage; Gravel parking area
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Metal roof; Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation; Built area approximately 1,232 square feet
- Exterior features: Covered rear porch; Porch; Level lot; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Ceiling fan(s); No central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (2.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#233 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Raleigh County Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #14 of 55 in WV (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Stanaford Elementary School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #148 of 377 statewide, top 49%, 233 students, 0% FRL); Beckley-Stratton Middle School (math 14% / reading 27%, grade F, #102 of 109 statewide, top 94%, 674 students, 0% FRL); Woodrow Wilson High School (math 24% / reading 56%, grade F, #20 of 110 statewide, top 17%, 1,330 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 112 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Raleigh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Raleigh County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $135k implies a 440% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.31%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $158,928
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 241 Hughes St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (+6%) | 5mo | $174,500 | $134 | 67 |
| 145 Borneo St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,360 (+10%) | 15mo | $185,000 | $136 | 54 |
| 108 Oahu St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (+4%) | 21mo | $179,000 | $140 | 53 |
| 165 New Guinea Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,104 (-10%) | 10mo | $142,000 | $129 | 51 |
| 123 Rogar Ln | 0.31mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,380 (+12%) | 24mo | $149,900 | $109 | 41 |
| 168 Hoist Rd | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (-8%) | 15mo | $99,000 | $87 | 40 |
| 206 Hoist Rd | 0.71mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,104 (-10%) | 17mo | $123,000 | $111 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-5,584
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $20,892
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25801
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,323 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $609/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $230
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $135,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 656-char remark
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $135,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $135,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $139,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-05-09price $139,000
-
2026-03-26price $145,000
-
2026-03-11status Active
-
2025-09-12price $149,000
-
2025-08-20$160,000 Active
-
1997-08-29soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $609 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $796 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- +$188/yr (+$16/mo · 30.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,875
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$609
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,270
- − Management
- −$1,270
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $562
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$135
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,627/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Raleigh County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5401230
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,828
- Composite
- 29.74/100
- National rank
- #6445
- State rank
- #14 of 55 in WV
Livability — Stanaford
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #233
- US rank
- #20493
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stanaford, WV
- County
- Raleigh County · 31,128 people
- Metro
- Beckley, WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,128
- Household income
- $56,836
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1384.0
Population outlook (Raleigh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 73,505 people
- By 2030
- 70,954 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 66,038 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 61,919 · -15.8%
- By 2075
- 51,954 · -29.3%
- By 2100
- 39,724 · -46.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Raleigh
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.0% · R 76.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+50.4 2016: R+52.8 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+25.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.60%
- Current HPI
- 210.0114
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.25%
- Metro
- Beckley, WV
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+456.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $139,000 BBOR
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $145,000 BBOR
- 2026-03-11 Relisted — BBOR
- 2025-09-12 Price Changed $149,000 BBOR
- 2025-08-20 Listed $160,000 BBOR
- 1997-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $609 · +22.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…