🌊 Lakefront
3573 SW Sunset Trace Cir · Palm City, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.8/30.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Hurry - won't last! Great location, close to lake with partial views. Sold "AS IS". Need quick closing and pre-approval letter from buyer with contract.
Key facts
- Private patio
- In unit laundry
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association amenities include pool, clubhouse, basketball and tennis courts, playground, jogging path, picnic area, management, on-site manager, sidewalks and street lights; Association fee covers cable TV, insurance, grounds maintenance, security, sewer, trash, water, common areas and recreation facility; Pets allowed (with number limit)
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned, guest and open parking; 2 total parking spaces
- Security: Gated community with guard; On-site security/manager
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Phone connected; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Townhouse; Multi/split levels; Faces west; Resale property
- Construction: Built with stucco and CBS; Flat, mansard and wood roof; 2 total stories
- Exterior features: Open patio; Patio; Fenced yard with gate; Many trees; Sidewalks; Paved road; Waterfront (no waterfront features specified)
Interior
- Kitchen: Disposal; Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: No main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom; 1 bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Bedroom layout: stacked
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry in a laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-234/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (1.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
- Recommended offer: $204k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.6% in Palm City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#140 in FL, #2,113 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Citrus Grove Elementary (math 69% / reading 69%, grade A-, #399 of 2,144 statewide, top 19%, 600 students, 25% FRL); Hidden Oaks Middle School (math 82% / reading 71%, grade A, #33 of 571 statewide, top 6%, 940 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools average 24% FRL vs 41% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 73% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Martin average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 446 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $210k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.40%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $259,772
- List price
- $210,000
- Delta
- -19.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3611 SW Sunset Trace Cir | 0.06mi | 2/2.5 | 1,236 (0%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $186 | 95 |
| 3699 SW Sunset Trace Cir | 0.10mi | 2/2.5 | 1,236 (0%) | 1mo | $237,900 | $192 | 94 |
| 2959 SW Sunset Trace Cir | 0.12mi | 2/2.5 | 1,236 (0%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $174 | 93 |
| 3675 SW Sunset Trace Cir | 0.12mi | 2/2.5 | 1,236 (0%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $142 | 93 |
| 3584 SW Sunset Trace Cir | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+5%) | 3mo | $279,000 | $215 | 79 |
| 3537 SW Sunset Trace Cir | 0.05mi | 2/2.5 | 1,374 (+11%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $124 | 77 |
| 3527 SW Sunset Trace Cir | 0.09mi | 2/2.5 | 1,374 (+11%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $193 | 76 |
| 3752 SW Sunset Trace Cir | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+5%) | 3mo | $365,000 | $282 | 71 |
| 2913 SW Lakemont Pl | 0.56mi | 2/2.5 | 1,374 (+11%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $193 | 53 |
| 2902 SW Lakemont Pl | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,374 (+11%) | 1mo | $236,500 | $172 | 50 |
| 3990 SW Greenwood Way Unit C | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 | 1,337 (+8%) | 3mo | $227,000 | $170 | 47 |
| 3785 SW Quail Meadow Trl Unit F | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 1,421 (+15%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $179 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-41,850
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- -28.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.08×
- Total profit
- $-63,403
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34990
- Home prices YoY
- -29.7%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 446
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,344 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $514/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$640
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$492
- Net cashflow
- $-20
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $99 | -5% $40 | +0% $-20 | +5% $-79 | +10% $-138 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-205 | -5% $-112 | +0% $-20 | +5% $73 | +10% $166 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $86 | -0.5pp $34 | base $-20 | +0.5pp $-74 | +1.0pp $-129 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3579 SW Sunset Trace Cir Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1236 | $2,300 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 3599 SW Sunset Trace Cir Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1236 | $2,200 | $1.78 | 22d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 3662 SW Sunset Trace Cir Palm City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $2,500 | $1.93 | 14d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 3505 SW Quail Meadow Trl Unit A Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1331 | $2,500 | $1.88 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3641 SW Coquina Cove Way Palm City, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 987 | $2,312 | $2.34 | 14d | 11 | 0.44mi |
| 3821 SW Coquina Cove Way Unit 205 Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,220 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2868 SW Shinnecock Hills Ct Palm City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $3,000 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2621 SW Egret Pond Cir Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $2,475 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2703 SW Matheson Ave Unit 116- B1 Palm City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $1,750 | $2.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2703 SW Matheson Ave Unit 116-G2 Palm City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $1,400 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1605 SW Silver Pine Way Unit F2 Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1544 SW Silver Pine Way Unit F-104 Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $2,500 | $2.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1485 SW Silver Pine Way Unit 107 B-2 Palm City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,650 | $1.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $640 · $7,680/yr
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $210,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $210,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $210,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $210,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $210,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-14$210,000 Active 557-char remark
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2025-09-06historical
-
2025-09-02status Active
-
2025-09-02historical
-
2025-05-22price $258,000
-
2025-02-28$273,000 Active
-
2002-04-02soldstatus $78,000
-
2002-03-29soldstatus $78,000
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
Hurry - won't last! Great location, close to lake with partial views. Sold "AS IS". Need quick closing and pre-approval letter from buyer with contract.
-
2001-03-14$78,000
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
Hurry - won't last! Great location, close to lake with partial views. Sold "AS IS". Need quick closing and pre-approval letter from buyer with contract.
-
1995-11-20soldstatus $61,000
-
1985-04-01soldstatus $71,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $514 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,743 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,229/yr (+$102/mo · 239.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,133
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$514
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,251
- − Management
- −$2,251
- − HOA
- −$7,680
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$3,485
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$836
- After-tax cash flow
- $602/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martin
- NCES district ID
- 1201290
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,482
- Composite
- 45.1/100
- National rank
- #2690
- State rank
- #24 of 73 in FL
Livability — Palm City
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #2113
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm City, FL
- County
- Martin County · 165,223 people
- City population
- 30,592
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,592
- Household income
- $129,560
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 249.0
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 172,383 people
- By 2030
- 180,192 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 194,114 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 204,992 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 229,641 · +33.2%
- By 2100
- 232,146 · +34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.81%
- Current HPI
- 328.9662
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.09%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+192.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $210,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-09-06 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2025-09-02 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2025-09-02 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2025-05-22 Price Changed $258,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-02-28 Listed $273,000 Beaches MLS
- 2002-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 2002-03-29 Sold (MLS) $78,000 MCRTC
- 2001-03-14 Listed $78,000 MCRTC
- 1995-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
- 1985-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $71,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $514 · -3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…