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3573 SW Sunset Trace Cir 🌊 Lakefront
C- Composite 51.21
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.8/30.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

3573 SW Sunset Trace Cir · Palm City, FL 34990
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,236 sqft · Townhouse public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1984 1,238 sqft lot $170/sqft · 19% below area Est $260k · 19% under $640/mo HOA · 27% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Hurry - won't last! Great location, close to lake with partial views. Sold "AS IS". Need quick closing and pre-approval letter from buyer with contract.

Key facts

  • Private patio
  • In unit laundry
  • New roof

Tags

NEW ROOFPRIVATE PATIOBALCONIES OFF EACH BEDROOMIN UNIT LAUNDRYLIGHT AND BRIGHT LIVING ROOMPRIVATE GARDEN LIKE PATIO

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association amenities include pool, clubhouse, basketball and tennis courts, playground, jogging path, picnic area, management, on-site manager, sidewalks and street lights; Association fee covers cable TV, insurance, grounds maintenance, security, sewer, trash, water, common areas and recreation facility; Pets allowed (with number limit)

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned, guest and open parking; 2 total parking spaces
  • Security: Gated community with guard; On-site security/manager
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Phone connected; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: Townhouse; Multi/split levels; Faces west; Resale property
  • Construction: Built with stucco and CBS; Flat, mansard and wood roof; 2 total stories
  • Exterior features: Open patio; Patio; Fenced yard with gate; Many trees; Sidewalks; Paved road; Waterfront (no waterfront features specified)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal; Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: No main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom; 1 bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Bedroom layout: stacked
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry in a laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-234/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (1.6% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
  • Recommended offer: $204k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.6% in Palm City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#140 in FL, #2,113 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Citrus Grove Elementary (math 69% / reading 69%, grade A-, #399 of 2,144 statewide, top 19%, 600 students, 25% FRL); Hidden Oaks Middle School (math 82% / reading 71%, grade A, #33 of 571 statewide, top 6%, 940 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools average 24% FRL vs 41% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 73% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Martin average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 446 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $78k; list at $210k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $203,700 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.40%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$259,772
List price
$210,000
Delta
-19.16%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3611 SW Sunset Trace Cir 0.06mi 2/2.5 1,236 (0%) 2mo $230,000 $186 95
3699 SW Sunset Trace Cir 0.10mi 2/2.5 1,236 (0%) 1mo $237,900 $192 94
2959 SW Sunset Trace Cir 0.12mi 2/2.5 1,236 (0%) 2mo $215,000 $174 93
3675 SW Sunset Trace Cir 0.12mi 2/2.5 1,236 (0%) 2mo $175,000 $142 93
3584 SW Sunset Trace Cir 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,296 (+5%) 3mo $279,000 $215 79
3537 SW Sunset Trace Cir 0.05mi 2/2.5 1,374 (+11%) 2mo $170,000 $124 77
3527 SW Sunset Trace Cir 0.09mi 2/2.5 1,374 (+11%) 1mo $265,000 $193 76
3752 SW Sunset Trace Cir 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,296 (+5%) 3mo $365,000 $282 71
2913 SW Lakemont Pl 0.56mi 2/2.5 1,374 (+11%) 3mo $265,000 $193 53
2902 SW Lakemont Pl 0.60mi 2/2.0 1,374 (+11%) 1mo $236,500 $172 50
3990 SW Greenwood Way Unit C 0.75mi 2/2.0 1,337 (+8%) 3mo $227,000 $170 47
3785 SW Quail Meadow Trl Unit F 0.62mi 2/2.0 1,421 (+15%) 2mo $255,000 $179 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.3%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-41,850
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
-28.1%
Equity multiple
-0.08×
Total profit
$-63,403
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34990

Home prices YoY
-29.7%
Rents YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
446
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,344 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $514/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$640
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$492
Net cashflow
$-20

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,369
Max offer price $206,549
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $99 -5% $40 +0% $-20 +5% $-79 +10% $-138
Rent -10% $-205 -5% $-112 +0% $-20 +5% $73 +10% $166
Rate -1.0pp $86 -0.5pp $34 base $-20 +0.5pp $-74 +1.0pp $-129

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3579 SW Sunset Trace Cir Palm City, FL 2.0 2.5 1236 $2,300 $1.86 24d 1 0.01mi
3599 SW Sunset Trace Cir Palm City, FL 2.0 2.5 1236 $2,200 $1.78 22d 1 0.05mi
3662 SW Sunset Trace Cir Palm City, FL 3.0 2.0 1296 $2,500 $1.93 14d 1 0.15mi
3505 SW Quail Meadow Trl Unit A Palm City, FL 2.0 2.0 1331 $2,500 $1.88 14d 1 0.39mi
3641 SW Coquina Cove Way Palm City, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 987 $2,312 $2.34 14d 11 0.44mi
3821 SW Coquina Cove Way Unit 205 Palm City, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,220 $2.02 24d 1 0.63mi
2868 SW Shinnecock Hills Ct Palm City, FL 3.0 2.0 1451 $3,000 $2.07 24d 1 0.79mi
2621 SW Egret Pond Cir Palm City, FL 2.0 2.0 1442 $2,475 $1.72 24d 1 1.03mi
2703 SW Matheson Ave Unit 116- B1 Palm City, FL 1.0 1.0 842 $1,750 $2.08 14d 1 1.17mi
2703 SW Matheson Ave Unit 116-G2 Palm City, FL 1.0 1.0 842 $1,400 $1.66 24d 1 1.17mi
1605 SW Silver Pine Way Unit F2 Palm City, FL 2.0 2.0 1111 $2,000 $1.80 24d 1 1.32mi
1544 SW Silver Pine Way Unit F-104 Palm City, FL 2.0 2.0 1170 $2,500 $2.14 14d 1 1.34mi
1485 SW Silver Pine Way Unit 107 B-2 Palm City, FL 1.0 1.0 830 $1,650 $1.99 24d 1 1.44mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$640 · $7,680/yr

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,000 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $210,000 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $210,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,000 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,000 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $210,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 15 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    listed $210,000 Active 557-char remark
  17. 2025-09-06
    historical
  18. 2025-09-02
    status Active
  19. 2025-09-02
    historical
  20. 2025-05-22
    price $258,000
  21. 2025-02-28
    listed $273,000 Active
  22. 2002-04-02
    soldstatus $78,000
  23. 2002-03-29
    soldstatus $78,000
    Show marketing remark (162 chars)

    Hurry - won't last! Great location, close to lake with partial views. Sold "AS IS". Need quick closing and pre-approval letter from buyer with contract.

  24. 2001-03-14
    listed $78,000
    Show marketing remark (162 chars)

    Hurry - won't last! Great location, close to lake with partial views. Sold "AS IS". Need quick closing and pre-approval letter from buyer with contract.

  25. 1995-11-20
    soldstatus $61,000
  26. 1985-04-01
    soldstatus $71,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$514 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,743 · $145/mo
Expected delta
+$1,229/yr (+$102/mo · 239.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,133
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$514
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,251
− Management
−$2,251
− HOA
−$7,680
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable loss
−$3,485
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$836
After-tax cash flow
$602/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Martin
NCES district ID
1201290
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$52,482
Composite
45.1/100
National rank
#2690
State rank
#24 of 73 in FL

Livability — Palm City

Score
79/100
State rank
#140
US rank
#2113

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Palm City, FL
County
Martin County · 165,223 people
City population
30,592
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
Population (ZIP)
30,592
Household income
$129,560
Rent vs Own
9.2% rent · 90.8% own
Severe rent burden
249.0

Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
172,383 people
By 2030
180,192 · +4.5%
By 2040
194,114 · +12.6%
By 2050
204,992 · +18.9%
By 2075
229,641 · +33.2%
By 2100
232,146 · +34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Italian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Martin

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.81%
Current HPI
328.9662
Rent YoY
▼ -0.09%
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+192.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $210,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-09-06 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2025-09-02 Relisted Beaches MLS
  • 2025-09-02 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2025-05-22 Price Changed $258,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-02-28 Listed $273,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2002-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 2002-03-29 Sold (MLS) $78,000 MCRTC
  • 2001-03-14 Listed $78,000 MCRTC
  • 1995-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
  • 1985-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $71,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $514 · -3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…