134 W Baker St · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
First time buyer or Investment Property!!! If you're looking for an investment property or your first house, this is it! A solid 3 bedroom 1 bathroom in a very stable neighborhood!! Bring all reasonable offers.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 11 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Colonial-style single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1920; Aluminum siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Sidewalk on the lot; Public water
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $544 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Cap rate 22.6% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($277 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 58.27%
- DSCR
- 3.59
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $28,336
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 W Baker St | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-3%) | 3mo | $32,000 | $27 | 91 |
| 2217 Francis Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,257 (+2%) | 0mo | $31,500 | $25 | 82 |
| 115 E Genesee St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,160 (-6%) | 2mo | $9,500 | $8 | 75 |
| 317 W Witherbee St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,196 (-3%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $105 | 75 |
| 506 Green St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,312 (+6%) | 1mo | $52,000 | $40 | 74 |
| 501 W Witherbee St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,274 (+3%) | 3mo | $39,000 | $31 | 74 |
| 325 W Dewey St | 0.43mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,224 (-1%) | 7mo | $25,000 | $20 | 68 |
| 617 W Witherbee St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,330 (+8%) | 4mo | $15,525 | $12 | 62 |
| 125 W Paterson St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,368 (+11%) | 8mo | $18,000 | $13 | 54 |
| 2517 Mount Elliot Ave | 0.44mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,088 (-12%) | 8mo | $5,500 | $5 | 48 |
| 3312 Buick St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,384 (+12%) | 7mo | $16,000 | $12 | 44 |
| 1101 W Rankin St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-11%) | 6mo | $25,000 | $23 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.46×
- Total profit
- $38,784
- Equity at exit
- $17,256
- IRR
- 62.7%
- Equity multiple
- 9.07×
- Total profit
- $90,414
- Equity at exit
- $26,040
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48505
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,034 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $561/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$217
- Net cashflow
- $544
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $566 | -5% $555 | +0% $544 | +5% $533 | +10% $521 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $462 | -5% $503 | +0% $544 | +5% $585 | +10% $626 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $564 | -0.5pp $554 | base $544 | +0.5pp $533 | +1.0pp $523 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 711 W Dewey St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1011 | $925 | $0.91 | 22d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1540 Garland St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1344 | $1,017 | $0.76 | 22d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3221 Burgess St Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $875 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 411 W Marengo Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,072 | $0.79 | 15d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $40,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $40,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $40,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $40,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $40,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $40,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $40,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 210-char remark
-
2026-06-10$40,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $561 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $589 · $49/mo
- Expected delta
- +$27/yr (+$2/mo · 4.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,411
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$561
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$993
- − Management
- −$993
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $6,260
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,502
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,024/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,032
- Household income
- $33,283
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 79% White 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.67%
- Current HPI
- 202.4878
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-09 Listed $40,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-09 Listed $40,000 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $561 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…